방사성폐기물학회지 (Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT))

한국방사성폐기물학회 (Korean Radioactive Waste Society)
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북한 6차 핵실험으로 생성된 방사성제논의 대기 중 방출 시나리오에 대한 모의실험 연구

Simulation Study on Atmospheric Emission Scenarios of Radioxenon Produced by the North Korea's 6th Nuclear Test

  • 투고 : 2020.05.26
  • 심사 : 2020.08.11
  • 발행 : 2020.08.30
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초록

북한은 2017년 9월 3일 풍계리 핵실험장에서 6차 지하 핵실험을 단행하였다. 이전에 수행했던 핵실험들과 달리 풍계리 핵실험장 주변에서 몇 차례의 유발지진이 발생하였고 이로 인해 지하에 갇혀 있던 방사성제논이 대기 중으로 방출되는데 영향을 끼쳤을 것으로 예상된다. 본 연구에서는 북한의 6차 핵실험 이후에 발생한 유발지진을 고려하여 핵실험으로 발생한 방사성제논의 몇 가지 방출 시나리오에 따른 대기확산 모의실험을 본 연구진이 개발한 LADAS (Lagrangian Atmospheric Dose Assessment System) 모델에 기상청의 수치예보자료를 적용하여 수행하였다. 방사성제논의 가능한 검출 위치와 시간을 찾기 위해, 1일 간격 및 1주일 간격의 지연방출뿐만 아니라 유발지진으로 유출된 지연방출 시나리오도 설정하였다. 포괄적핵실험금지조약기구(Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization)에서 운영중인 전세계관측망(International Monitoring System)과 원자력안전위원회의 133Xe 탐지 결과는 유발지진으로 유출된 방사성제논의 방출 시나리오에 따른 모의실험의 결과와 대체로 부합되었다.

North Korea conducted the sixth underground nuclear test on September 3, 2017 at the Punggye-ri Nuclear Test Site (NTS). In contrast to the previous five nuclear tests, several induced earthquakes occurred around the NTS after the sixth nuclear test and this may have caused radioxenon leakages at the site. Considering these reported earthquakes, we performed atmospheric dispersion simulations on some radioxenon emission scenarios for this event using our Lagrangian Atmospheric Dose Assessment System (LADAS) model by employing the Unified Model (UM) based numerical weather prediction data produced by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). To find out possible detection locations and times, we combined not only daily and weekly based delayed releases but also leakages after the reported earthquakes around the NTS to create emission scenarios. Our simulation results were generally in good agreement with the measured data of the Nuclear Safety and Security Commission and International Monitoring System (IMS) stations operated by the Comprehensive nuclear Test-Ban-Treaty Organization (CTBTO).

키워드

참고문헌

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