KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research (대한토목학회논문집)

Korean Society of Civil Engeneers (대한토목학회)
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Effect of University Closure on the Prices of Nearby Apartments -In the Case of Dong-Pusan College-

대학의 폐교지정이 주변 지역 공동주택 가격에 미치는 영향 -동부산대학교를 중심으로-

  • 김민규 (부산대학교 도시공학과) ;
  • 김현수 (부산대학교 도시문제연구소) ;
  • 최열 (부산대학교 도시공학과)
  • Received : 2021.11.15
  • Accepted : 2021.12.28
  • Published : 2022.04.01
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Abstract

In a recent decade, university closures have been a critical regional issue as a total of 17 universities have been closed while many more are facing closure in Korea. The local impact of university closures in the regions with declining populations has been far more detrimental and considered as one of the significant factors of the declining local economy, especially in the neighboring residential sectors. This study has taken an empirical approach to investigate the local impact of university closure on the housing market through a case of Dong-Pusan College in Busan, Korea. The study utilized Difference-in-Difference (DiD) to analyze the housing prices in proximity to the university and identified several factors associated with the local decline in the housing market in relation to university closure.

현재까지 폐교가 진행된 곳은 전국적으로 총 17개 대학으로 지금도 폐교에 직면한 학교들이 여전히 존재하는 만큼 인구이탈이 빠른 비수도권을 중심으로 대학의 생존위험이 커지고 있는 실정이다. 문제는 폐교가 이루어질 경우 지역사회에 큰 파장을 불러올 수 있어 다양한 도시문제를 발생시킬 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 동부산대학교를 사례로 주택가격과 연계하여 폐교 주변 지역을 주택시장 관점에서 접근하였다. 폐교지정 전후를 비교하기 위해 이중차분법(DiD)을 실시하여 실증 분석한 결과 폐교 위기에 직면한 대학 주변 주택가격은 대학 쇠퇴에 따른 영향으로 아파트가격의 하락 및 정체현상을 보여 주변 지역발전에 부정적인 영향을 미친것으로 나타났다.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

이 논문은 부산대학교 기본연구 지원사업(2년)에 의하여 연구되었음.

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