• Title/Summary/Keyword: Anomalous weather conditions

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A Scheme for Reducing Load Forecast Error During Weekends Near Typhoon Hit (태풍 발생 인접 주말의 수요예측 오차 감소 방안)

  • Park, Jeong-Do;Song, Kyung-Bin
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.9
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    • pp.1700-1705
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    • 2009
  • In general, short term load forecasting is based on the periodical load pattern during a day or a week. Therefore, the conventional methods do not expose stable performance to every day during a year. Especially for anomalous weather conditions such as typhoons, the methods have a tendency to show the conspicuous accuracy deterioration. Furthermore, the tendency raises the reliability and stability problems of the conventional load forecast. In this study, a new load forecasting method is proposed in order to increase the accuracy of the forecast result in case of anomalous weather conditions such as typhoons. For irregular weather conditions, the sensitivity between temperature and daily load is used to improve the accuracy of the load forecast. The proposed method was tested with the actual load profiles during 14 years, which shows that the suggested scheme considerably improves the accuracy of the load forecast results.

Tropospheric Anomaly Detection in Multi-Reference Stations Environment during Localized Atmospheric Conditions-(2) : Analytic Results of Anomaly Detection Algorithm

  • Yoo, Yun-Ja
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.271-278
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    • 2016
  • Localized atmospheric conditions between multi-reference stations can bring the tropospheric delay irregularity that becomes an error terms affecting positioning accuracy in network RTK environment. Imbalanced network error can affect the network solutions and it can corrupt the entire network solution and degrade the correction accuracy. If an anomaly could be detected before the correction message was generated, it is possible to eliminate the anomalous satellite that can cause degradation of the network solution during the tropospheric delay anomaly. An atmospheric grid that consists of four meteorological stations was used to detect an inhomogeneous weather conditions and tropospheric anomaly applied AWSs (automatic weather stations) meteorological data. The threshold of anomaly detection algorithm was determined based on the statistical weather data of AWSs for 5 years in an atmospheric grid. From the analytic results of anomaly detection algorithm it showed that the proposed algorithm can detect an anomalous satellite with an anomaly flag generation caused tropospheric delay anomaly during localized atmospheric conditions between stations. It was shown that the different precipitation condition between stations is the main factor affecting tropospheric anomalies.

Relationship between Low-level Clouds and Large-scale Environmental Conditions around the Globe

  • Sungsu Park;Chanwoo Song;Daeok Youn
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.712-736
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    • 2022
  • To understand the characteristics of low-level clouds (CLs), environmental variables are composited on each CL using individual surface observations and six-hourly upper-air meteorologies around the globe. Individual CLs has its own distinct environmental conditions. Over the eastern subtropical and western North Pacific Ocean in JJA, stratocumulus (CL5) has a colder sea surface temperature (SST), stronger and lower inversion, and more low-level cloud amount (LCA) than the climatology whereas cumulus (CL12) has the opposite characteristics. Over the eastern subtropical Pacific, CL5 and CL12 are influenced by cold and warm advection within the PBL, respectively but have similar cold advection over the western North Pacific. This indicates that the fundamental physical process distinguishing CL5 and CL12 is not the horizontal temperature advection but the interaction with the underlying sea surface, i.e., the deepening-decoupling of PBL and the positive feedback between shortwave radiation and SST. Over the western North Pacific during JJA, sky-obscuring fog (CL11), no low-level cloud (CL0), and fair weather stratus (CL6) are associated with anomalous warm advection, surface-based inversion, mean upward flow, and moist mid-troposphere with the strongest anomalies for CL11 followed by CL0. Over the western North Pacific during DJF, bad weather stratus (CL7) occurs in the warm front of the extratropical cyclone with anomalous upward flow while cumulonimbus (CL39) occurs on the rear side of the cold front with anomalous downward flow. Over the tropical oceans, CL7 has strong positive (negative) anomalies of temperature in the upper troposphere (PBL), relative humidity, and surface wind speed in association with the mesoscale convective system while CL12 has the opposite anomalies and CL39 is in between.

A Study on Abnormal Echoes in a Meteorological Radar (기상레이더에서의 이상에코에 관한 연구)

  • 허택산;강봉수;김흥수
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.41 no.8
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    • pp.131-137
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    • 2004
  • The aim of this paper is to find the weather conditions which make the abnormal propagation of a radar bear In order to analyze the weather conditions which cause superrefraction or ducting, the meteorological data of the west sea and the south sea of Korea are classified which are observed during three years from 2000. Atmospheric indexes of refraction with increasing altitude are calculated and the rate of variation of temperature and hmidity at the altitude where the index is very low are observed. It is found that unwanted radar echoes by anomalous propagation are showed up only when the atmospheric indexes of refraction at a altitude is less than -150/km and the reverse layer of temperature appears with a sudden drop of humidity at the altitude.