• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2002.10a
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• pp.106.1-106
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• 2002

$\textbullet$ Current status of reliability estimation techniques for robot systems $\textbullet$ Description of Bayesian Belief Nets(BBN) With an example $\textbullet$ Description of proposed reliability estimation method which combines all information necessary $\textbullet$ Application example of the method : the reactor inspection robot $\textbullet$ Results from the reliability estimation of reactor inspection robot $\textbullet$ Discussion on the proposed method (advantages and problems) $\textbullet$ Conclusion

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2001.10a
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• pp.137.5-137
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• 2001

This paper proposes a method that combines diverse evidence relevant to the reliability to evaluate the reliability of complicated systems such as robots. In practice, reliability experts combine diverse evidences relevant to the reliability and infer the answers by using their own way that are mostly informal. The proposed method also combines diverse evidence and performs inferences but informal and quantitative way by using the benefits of Bayesian Belief Nets (BBN). Diverse evidences could be those from dassical analysis techniques, test results, quality assurance about the process of manufacturing, and the quality of the company or development team, etc. Some of these evidences are qualitative and others are quantitative. Both are ...

• Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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• 2003.05a
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• pp.88-88
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• 2003

• Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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• 2001.10a
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• pp.80.1-80
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• 2001

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.39 no.1
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• pp.9-16
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• 2016

The project schedule risk in the engineering and facility construction industry is increasingly considered as important management factor because the risks in terms of schedule or deadline may significantly affect the project cost. Especially, the project-based operating companies attempt to find the best estimate of the project completion time for use at their proposals, and therefore, usually have much interest in accurate estimation of the duration of the projects. In general, the management of projects schedule risk is achieved by modeling project schedule with PERT/CPM techniques, and then performing risk assessment with simulation such as Monte-Carlo simulation method. However, since these approaches require the accumulated executional data, which are not usually available in project-based operating company, and, further, they cannot reflect various schedule constraints, which usually are met during the project execution, the project managers have difficulty in preparing for the project risks in advance of their occurrence in the project execution. As these constraints may affect time and cost which role as the crucial evaluation factors to the quality of the project result, they must be identified and described in advance of their occurrence in the project management. This paper proposes a Bayesian Net based methodology for estimating project schedule risk by identifying and enforcing the project risks and its response plan which may occur in storage tank engineering and construction project environment. First, we translated the schedule network with the project risks and its response plan into Bayesian Net. Second, we analyzed the integrated Bayesian Net and suggested an estimate of project schedule risk with simulation approach. Finally, we applied our approach to a storage tank construction project to validate its feasibility.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 1997.11a
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• pp.600-602
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• 1997

In this study, a hybrid neural net consisting of an Adaptive LVQ(ALVQ) algorithm and MLP is proposed to perform speaker identification task. ALVQ is a new learning procedure using adaptively feature vector sequence instead of only one feature vector in training codebooks initialized by LBG algorithm and the optimization criterion of this method is consistent with the speaker classification decision rule. ALVQ aims at providing a compressed, geometrically consistent data representation. It is fit to cover irregular data distributions and computes the distance of the input vector sequence from its nodes. On the other hand, MLP aim at a data representation to fit to discriminate patterns belonging to different classes. It has been shown that MLP nets can approximate Bayesian "optimal" classifiers with high precision, and their output values can be related a-posteriori class probabilities. The different characteristics of these neural models make it possible to devise hybrid neural net systems, consisting of classification modules based on these two different philosophies. The proposed method is compared with LBG algorithm, LVQ algorithm and MLP for performance.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.36 no.4B
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• pp.354-361
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• 2011

Increasing interest and technological advances in smart home has led to active research on context-awareness service and prediction algorithms such as Bayesian Networks, Tree-Dimensional Structures and Genetic prediction algorithms. Context-awareness service presents that providing automatic customized service regarding individual user's pattern surely helps users improve the quality of life. However, it is difficult to implement context-awareness service because the problems are that handling coincidence with context information and exceptional cases have to consider. To overcome this problem, we proposes an Intelligent Sequential Matching Algorithm(ISMA), models context-awareness service using Timed Petri-net(TPN) which is petri-net to have time factor. The example scenario illustrates the effectiveness of the Timed Petri-net model and our proposed algorithm improves average 4~6% than traditional in the accuracy and reliability of prediction.