• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 2002년도 ICCAS
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• pp.106.1-106
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• 2002

$\textbullet$ Current status of reliability estimation techniques for robot systems $\textbullet$ Description of Bayesian Belief Nets(BBN) With an example $\textbullet$ Description of proposed reliability estimation method which combines all information necessary $\textbullet$ Application example of the method : the reactor inspection robot $\textbullet$ Results from the reliability estimation of reactor inspection robot $\textbullet$ Discussion on the proposed method (advantages and problems) $\textbullet$ Conclusion

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 2001년도 ICCAS
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• pp.137.5-137
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• 2001

This paper proposes a method that combines diverse evidence relevant to the reliability to evaluate the reliability of complicated systems such as robots. In practice, reliability experts combine diverse evidences relevant to the reliability and infer the answers by using their own way that are mostly informal. The proposed method also combines diverse evidence and performs inferences but informal and quantitative way by using the benefits of Bayesian Belief Nets (BBN). Diverse evidences could be those from dassical analysis techniques, test results, quality assurance about the process of manufacturing, and the quality of the company or development team, etc. Some of these evidences are qualitative and others are quantitative. Both are ...

• 한국원자력학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국원자력학회 2003년도 춘계학술발표대회 요약집
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• pp.88-88
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• 2003

• 한국원자력학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국원자력학회 2001년도 추계학술발표회요약집
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• pp.80.1-80
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• 2001

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제39권1호
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• pp.9-16
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• 2016

The project schedule risk in the engineering and facility construction industry is increasingly considered as important management factor because the risks in terms of schedule or deadline may significantly affect the project cost. Especially, the project-based operating companies attempt to find the best estimate of the project completion time for use at their proposals, and therefore, usually have much interest in accurate estimation of the duration of the projects. In general, the management of projects schedule risk is achieved by modeling project schedule with PERT/CPM techniques, and then performing risk assessment with simulation such as Monte-Carlo simulation method. However, since these approaches require the accumulated executional data, which are not usually available in project-based operating company, and, further, they cannot reflect various schedule constraints, which usually are met during the project execution, the project managers have difficulty in preparing for the project risks in advance of their occurrence in the project execution. As these constraints may affect time and cost which role as the crucial evaluation factors to the quality of the project result, they must be identified and described in advance of their occurrence in the project management. This paper proposes a Bayesian Net based methodology for estimating project schedule risk by identifying and enforcing the project risks and its response plan which may occur in storage tank engineering and construction project environment. First, we translated the schedule network with the project risks and its response plan into Bayesian Net. Second, we analyzed the integrated Bayesian Net and suggested an estimate of project schedule risk with simulation approach. Finally, we applied our approach to a storage tank construction project to validate its feasibility.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1997년도 추계학술대회 논문집 학회본부
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• pp.600-602
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• 1997

In this study, a hybrid neural net consisting of an Adaptive LVQ(ALVQ) algorithm and MLP is proposed to perform speaker identification task. ALVQ is a new learning procedure using adaptively feature vector sequence instead of only one feature vector in training codebooks initialized by LBG algorithm and the optimization criterion of this method is consistent with the speaker classification decision rule. ALVQ aims at providing a compressed, geometrically consistent data representation. It is fit to cover irregular data distributions and computes the distance of the input vector sequence from its nodes. On the other hand, MLP aim at a data representation to fit to discriminate patterns belonging to different classes. It has been shown that MLP nets can approximate Bayesian "optimal" classifiers with high precision, and their output values can be related a-posteriori class probabilities. The different characteristics of these neural models make it possible to devise hybrid neural net systems, consisting of classification modules based on these two different philosophies. The proposed method is compared with LBG algorithm, LVQ algorithm and MLP for performance.

• 한국통신학회논문지
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• 제36권4B호
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• pp.354-361
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• 2011

스마트 홈 분야에 대한 관심의 증가와 기술적인 발전은 상황인지 서비스와 베이시안 네트워크 알고리즘, 트리 구조 알고리즘 그리고 유전자 추측 알고리즘과 같은 예측 알고리즘에 대한 연구가 활발히 이루어지고 있다. 상황 인지 서비스는 개별적인 사용자의 패턴을 고려한 맞춤형 서비스를 제공하는 것은 사용자의 삶의 질을 향상시키는 데 도움 주는 것을 의미한다. 하지만 상황인지 서비스를 구현 하는 것은 상황정보와의 부합성 문제와 예외적인 상황 처리가 고려하는데 어려움을 겪고 있다. 이 문제를 해결하기 위해서, 본 연구에서는 지능형 순차적 매칭 방식 알고리즘(Intelligent Sequential Matching Algorithm : ISMA)을 제안하고, 페트리 넷에 시간 개념을 추가하여 시간 페트리 넷(Timed Petri-net : TPN)으로 모델링한다. 제안한 지능형 순차적 매칭 알고리즘의 유효성을 증명하기 위하여 시나리오를 제시하고, 그것을 모델링 한다. 또한 동일한 실험 조건 아래, 기존의 예측 알고리즘과 비교를 통하여 과 제안된 알고리즘의 예측 정확도가 4~6% 우수함을 보인다.