• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian estimation

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A Comparison of the Reliability Estimation Accuracy between Bayesian Methods and Classical Methods Based on Weibull Distribution (와이블분포 하에서 베이지안 기법과 전통적 기법 간의 신뢰도 추정 정확도 비교)

  • Cho, HyungJun;Lim, JunHyoung;Kim, YongSoo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.256-262
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    • 2016
  • The Weibull is widely used in reliability analysis, and several studies have attempted to improve estimation of the distribution's parameters. least squares estimation (LSE) or Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) are often used to estimate distribution parameters. However, it has been proven that Bayesian methods are more suitable for small sample sizes than LSE and MLE. In this work, the Weibull parameter estimation accuracy of LSE, MLE, and Bayesian method are compared for sample sets with 3 to 30 data points. The Bayesian method was most accurate for sample sizes under 25, and the accuracy of the Bayesian method was similar to LSE and MLE as the sample size increased.

Bayesian Estimation of the Nakagami-m Fading Parameter

  • Son, Young-Sook;Oh, Mi-Ra
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.345-353
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    • 2007
  • A Bayesian estimation of the Nakagami-m fading parameter is developed. Bayesian estimation is performed by Gibbs sampling, including adaptive rejection sampling. A Monte Carlo study shows that the Bayesian estimators proposed outperform any other estimators reported elsewhere in the sense of bias, variance, and root mean squared error.

Bayesian Estimation of Multinomial and Poisson Parameters Under Starshaped Restriction

  • Oh, Myong-Sik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.185-191
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    • 1997
  • Bayesian estimation of multinomial and Poisson parameters under starshped restriction is considered. Most Bayesian estimations in order restricted statistical inference require the high-dimensional integration which is very difficult to evaluate. Monte Carlo integration and Gibbs sampling are among alternative methods. The Bayesian estimation considered in this paper requires only evaluation of incomplete beta functions which are extensively tabulated.

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Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimation of entropy of the inverse Weibull distribution under generalized type I progressive hybrid censoring

  • Lee, Kyeongjun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.469-486
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    • 2020
  • Entropy is an important term in statistical mechanics that was originally defined in the second law of thermodynamics. In this paper, we consider the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), maximum product spacings estimation (MPSE) and Bayesian estimation of the entropy of an inverse Weibull distribution (InW) under a generalized type I progressive hybrid censoring scheme (GePH). The MLE and MPSE of the entropy cannot be obtained in closed form; therefore, we propose using the Newton-Raphson algorithm to solve it. Further, the Bayesian estimators for the entropy of InW based on squared error loss function (SqL), precautionary loss function (PrL), general entropy loss function (GeL) and linex loss function (LiL) are derived. In addition, we derive the Lindley's approximate method (LiA) of the Bayesian estimates. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to compare the results among MLE, MPSE, and Bayesian estimators. A real data set based on the GePH is also analyzed for illustrative purposes.

Determination of Key Influence Parameters on RC Joint Shear Behavior Using the Bayesian Parameter Estimation (Bayesian parameter estimation을 적용한 RC 접합부 전단거동의 주요영향 요인 결정)

  • Kim, Jae-Hong;Yang, Jong-Ho;Im, Duk-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2011.04a
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    • pp.328-331
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    • 2011
  • 준정적 횡하중을 재하 받는 철근콘크리트 보-기둥 접합부의 전단강도에 대한 주요 영향요인을 Bayesian parameter estimation의 신뢰성 이론 접목을 통해 검토하였다. 이와 같은 연구 scope의 수행을 위해 철근콘크리트 보-기둥의 실험 database가 구축되었다. 실험 database는 일정한 criteria을 적용하여 구축되었으며, 포함된 시편들은 최종적으로 접합부 내의 전단파괴가 지배하는 경우들이다. 포함된 시편들의 상세는 ACI (American Concrete Institute) 352R-02를 기준으로 평가되어졌다. 보-기둥 접합부의 전단강도에 영향 요인을 편중되지 않게 평가하고자, Bayesian parameter estimation의 신뢰성 이론을 적용하였다. Bayesian parameter estimation의 적용을 통해 전단강도에 영향이 적은 변수 (not informative parameter)를 순차적으로 제거 (stepwise removal process)함으로 주요 영향요인의 우선 순위를 확인할 수 있었다. 검토된 8개의 변수들 중에서, 횡하중을 재하 받는 철근콘크리트 보-기둥의 전단강도는 주로 콘크리트 압축강도, in-plane geometry, 종방향 보의 주철근 그리고 접합부 내의 구속철근 순으로 영향을 줌을 알 수 있었다.

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AN EMPIRICAL BAYESIAN ESTIMATION OF MONTHLY LEVEL AND CHANGE IN TWO-WAY BALANCED ROTATION SAMPLING

  • Lee, Seung-Chun;Park, Yoo-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.175-191
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    • 2003
  • An empirical Bayesian approach is discussed for estimation of characteristics from the two-way balanced rotation sampling design which includes U.S. Current Population Survey and Canadian Labor Force Survey as special cases. An empirical Bayesian estimator is derived for monthly effect under presence of two types of biases and correlations It is shown that the marginal distribution of observation provides more general correlation structure than that frequentist has assumed. Consistent estimators are derived for hyper-parameters in Normal priors.

Group-Sparse Channel Estimation using Bayesian Matching Pursuit for OFDM Systems

  • Liu, Yi;Mei, Wenbo;Du, Huiqian
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.583-599
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    • 2015
  • We apply the Bayesian matching pursuit (BMP) algorithm to the estimation of time-frequency selective channels in orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) systems. By exploiting prior statistics and sparse characteristics of propagation channels, the Bayesian method provides a more accurate and efficient detection of the channel status information (CSI) than do conventional sparse channel estimation methods that are based on compressive sensing (CS) technologies. Using a reasonable approximation of the system model and a skillfully designed pilot arrangement, the proposed estimation scheme is able to address the Doppler-induced inter-carrier interference (ICI) with a relatively low complexity. Moreover, to further reduce the computational cost of the channel estimation, we make some modifications to the BMP algorithm. The modified algorithm can make good use of the group-sparse structure of doubly selective channels and thus reconstruct the CSI more efficiently than does the original BMP algorithm, which treats the sparse signals in the conventional manner and ignores the specific structure of their sparsity patterns. Numerical results demonstrate that the proposed Bayesian estimation has a good performance over rapidly time-varying channels.

A Study on the Bayes Estimation Application for Korean Standard-Quality Excellence Index(KS-QEI) (베이즈 추정방식의 품질우수성지수 적용 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Tai Kyoo;Kim, Myung Joon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.747-756
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to apply the Bayesian estimation methodology for producing 'Korean Standard -Quality Excellence Index' model and prove the effectiveness of the new approach based on survey data by comparing the current index with the new index produced by Bayesian estimation method. Methods: The 'Korean Standard -Quality Excellence Index' was produced through the collected survey data by Bayesian estimation method and comparing the deviation with two results for confirming the effectiveness of suggested application. Results: The statistical analysis result shows that suggested estimator, that is, empirical Bayes estimator improves the effectiveness of the index with regard to reduce the error under specific loss function, which is suggested for checking the goodness of fit. Conclusion: Considering the Bayesian techniques such as empirical Bayes estimator for producing the quality excellence index reduces the error for estimating the parameter of interest and furthermore various Bayesian perspective approaches seems to be meaningful for producing the corresponding index.

Objective Bayesian Estimation of Two-Parameter Pareto Distribution (2-모수 파레토분포의 객관적 베이지안 추정)

  • Son, Young Sook
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.713-723
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    • 2013
  • An objective Bayesian estimation procedure of the two-parameter Pareto distribution is presented under the reference prior and the noninformative prior. Bayesian estimators are obtained by Gibbs sampling. The steps to generate parameters in the Gibbs sampler are from the shape parameter of the gamma distribution and then the scale parameter by the adaptive rejection sampling algorism. A numerical study shows that the proposed objective Bayesian estimation outperforms other estimations in simulated bias and mean squared error.

Bayesian in-situ parameter estimation of metallic plates using piezoelectric transducers

  • Asadi, Sina;Shamshirsaz, Mahnaz;Vaghasloo, Younes A.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.735-751
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    • 2020
  • Identification of structure parameters is crucial in Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) context for activities such as model validation, damage assessment and signal processing of structure response. In this paper, guided waves generated by piezoelectric transducers are used for in-situ and non-destructive structural parameter estimation based on Bayesian approach. As Bayesian approach needs iterative process, which is computationally expensive, this paper proposes a method in which an analytical model is selected and developed in order to decrease computational time and complexity of modeling. An experimental set-up is implemented to estimate three target elastic and geometrical parameters: Young's modulus, Poisson ratio and thickness of aluminum and steel plates. Experimental and simulated data are combined in a Bayesian framework for parameter identification. A significant accuracy is achieved regarding estimation of target parameters with maximum error of 8, 11 and 17 percent respectively. Moreover, the limitation of analytical model concerning boundary reflections is addressed and managed experimentally. Pulse excitation is selected as it can excite the structure in a wide frequency range contrary to conventional tone burst excitation. The results show that the proposed non-destructive method can be used in service for estimation of material and geometrical properties of structure in industrial applications.