• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimate life-time

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A Study on the Storage Life Estimation Method for Decrease of Muzzle Velocity using Gamma Process Model (감마과정 모델을 적용한 포구속도 저하량에 따른 저장수명 예측기법 연구)

  • Park, Sung-Ho;Kim, Jae-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.639-645
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    • 2013
  • The aim of the study is to investigate the method to estimate a storage life of propelling charge on the decrease of muzzle velocity by stochastic gamma process model. It is required to establish criterion for state failure to estimate the storage life and it is defined in this paper as a muzzle velocity difference between reference value and maximum allowable standard deviation multiplied by 6. The relationship between storage time and muzzle velocity is investigated by nonlinear regression analysis. The stochastic gamma process model is used to estimated the state distribution and the life distribution for storage time for 155mm propelling charge KM4A2 because the regression analysis is a deterministic method and it can't describe the distribution of life for storage time.

Accelerated life test plans with optimum censoring time (최적 관측중단시간을 고려한 가속수명시험 설계)

  • 강창원;강창욱
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.19 no.40
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    • pp.179-186
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    • 1996
  • Previous researches on optimum ALT plans have shown how to find optimum allocation, lowest stress and sample size subject to minimizing the variance of mean life estimate. Those researches have assumed the censoring time constant. But under certain circumstances such assumptions may not be reasonable. In this paper the constraint on constant censoring time is relaxed, and censoring time is considered variable. If all other test parameters remain unvaried, the variance of the mean life estimate reciprocally increases of the censoring time. This idea in this paper extends to the optimum censoring time. Thus, this paper presents the optimal censoring time in such situations, and finds the optimal lowest stress and allocation based on that optimal censoring time.

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Electric Current Accelerated Degradation Test Design for OLED TV (OLED TV Panel의 전류가속열화시험 설계)

  • You, Ji-Sun;Lee, Duek-Jung;Oh, Chang-Suk;Jang, Joong Soon
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.22-27
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to estimate the life time of OLED TV panel through electric current ADT(Accelerated Degradation Test). Methods: We performed accelerated degradation test for OLED TV Panel at the room temperature to avoid high temperature impact on the luminance. Results: we got more accurately the life time of the OLED TV when we applied ADT without temperature factor than including both current and temperature. Conclusion: Until now, the ADT of the OLED TV has been conducted with temperature and current at the same time for reducing test time and costs. We estimate incorrect life time when the temperature is adopted as an accelerated factor. Due to the high temperature impact on the luminance of the OLED TV panel. So as to solve this problem, we discard temperature and use electric current only.

A Study on the Estimation of Shelf Life for Fuze MTSQ KM577A1 from ASRP Data (저장탄약신뢰성평가 데이터를 이용한 기계식시한신관 KM577A1 저장수명 추정 연구)

  • Lee, Dongnyok;Yoon, Keunsig
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.56-65
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to estimate shelf life of fuze MTSQ (Mechanical Time & Super Quick) KM577A1 from Ammunition Stockpile Reliability Program (ASRP) data. Methods: For many years, ammunition test data had been gathered from ASRP. In this study, lot selection criteria and reliability score of functioning time for fuze are proposed. Reliability score of functioning time and failure data are used to estimate shelf life. Results: The results of this study are as follows; The failure modes of fuze MTSQ KM577A1 are dud, inverse function and mechanical time functioning failure (not operating in intended time). Dud and inverse function are major failure modes. Fuze MTSQ KM577A1's shelf life ($B_5$) is estimated 18.2 years conservatively. Conclusion: Degradation of chemical components in fuze MTSQ KM577A1 is major factor for its reliability. And shelf life ($B_5$) of fuze MTSQ KM577A1 is estimated 18.2 years conservatively.

Electrical Life Time Constant Estimation of Ceramic Element for Sensor (센서용 세라믹 소체의 전기적 수명지수 산출)

  • Jeong, Joo-Young;Kang, Dong-Sik;Sun, Jong-Ho;Heo, Jong-Cheol;Choo, Young-Bae;Park, Chung-Hoo
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.10
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    • pp.1995-1999
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    • 2009
  • A partial discharge(PD) measurement is a very effective method to assess the insulation condition of high-voltage machines. It is necessary that the life time of the on-line PD measurement sensor is assessed. Therefore, the electrical life time assessment method of ceramic element was reviewed in order to estimate the life time of the on-line PD measurement sensor. The samples were prepared according to the reviewed method and were tested at 8kV, 9kV and 10kV. Based on the obtained results, the life time constant is shown above 59. Also, it is assumed that the estimated life time constant can be used to anticipate the life time and to assess the conformity of the on-line PD measurement sensor.

Predicting Shelf-life of Ice Cream by Accelerated Conditions

  • Park, Jung-Min;Koh, Jong-Ho;Kim, Jin-Man
    • Food Science of Animal Resources
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.1216-1225
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    • 2018
  • Shelf-life is defined as the amount of time during which a food product retains its desired sensory, chemical, and physical characteristics while remaining safe for consumption. The food industry needs to rapidly obtain the necessary information for determining the shelf life of its products. Here we studied the approaches available for conducting accelerated shelf-life tests. Accelerated shelf-life testing is applied to a variety of products to rapidly estimate change in characteristics with time. The aim of this work was to use accelerated shelf-life testing to study the changes in pH, microbiology, and sensory characteristics of ice cream by the application of a kinetic approach and, based on the observations, to estimate its shelf life. As per the current law, there is no shelf life on ice cream. Our results suggest that the shelf life of an ice cream sample was 24.27 months at $-18^{\circ}C$, 2.29 months at $-6^{\circ}C$, 0.39 months at $-1^{\circ}C$, and 0.15 months at $4^{\circ}C$. Results of this study suggest that a set expiration date on ice cream might also contribute to effective management of ice cream characteristics in the retail chilled chain.

Evaluation of Life Time for Anti-Corrosive Methods for Marine Steel Sheet by Cyclic Corrosion Test (실내 가속부식시험을 통한 해양 강관합성 말뚝의 방식 기법 수명 평가)

  • Park, J.W.;Lee, J.G.;Lee, K.W.;Kim, J.H.;Jung, M.K.;Lee, J.H.
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.243-250
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    • 2009
  • When a steel sheet pipe applied to marine environment, an anti-corrosive coating should be treated to obtain long-term life-time for steels, especially, splash zone. Although anti-corrosive property of coatings is required to be tested in real marine environment, it is difficult because of long test time such as 20 years or more time. Therefore, we used cyclic corrosion tester in a laboratory, which has similar conditions with salt-dry-wet process such as real marine environment. Anti-corrosive properties of the coatings and two steels were tested their anti-corrosive properties under cyclic corrosion test conditions(KS D ISO 14993) and the results were compared with estimate life-time in real marine environment. According to cyclic corrosion test, accelerated corrosive factor of each anti-corrosive coating was investigated accelerated corrosive factor from impedance with EIS method. Accelerated corrosive factor of type SS400 carbon steel and A690 was also investigated their accelerated corrosive factor from the regression curves of weigh loss results. One of the anti-corrosive coatings showed about 50 years life-time compared with standard sample life-time. Carbon steel SS400 showed from 0.1 mm/yr to 0.06 mm/yr as its corrosion rate.

Prediction of Dynamic Expected Time to System Failure

  • Oh, Deog-Yeon;Lee, Chong-Chul
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.244-250
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    • 1997
  • The mean time to failure (MTTF) expressing the mean value of the system life is a measure of system effectiveness. To estimate the remaining life of component and/or system, the dynamic mean time to failure concept is suggested. It is the time-dependent Property depending on the status of components. The Kalman filter is used to estimate the reliability of components using the on-line information (directly measured sensor output or device-specific diagnostics in the intelligent sensor) in form of the numerical value (state factor). This factor considers the persistency of the fault condition and confidence level in measurement. If there is a complex system with many components, each calculated reliability's or components are combined, which results in the dynamic MTTF or system. The illustrative examples are discussed. The results show that the dynamic MTTF can well express the component and system failure behaviour whether any kinds of failure are occurred or not.

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THE MINIMUM VARIANCE UNBIASED ESTIMATION OF SYSTEM RELIABILITY

  • Park, C.J.;Kim, Jae-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.29-32
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    • 1978
  • We obtain the minimum variance unbiased estimate of system reliability when a system consists of n components whose life times are assumed to be independent and identically distributed either negative exponential or geometric random variables. For the case of a negative exponential life time, we obtain the minimum variance unbiased estimate of the probability density function of the i-th order statistic.

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The Prediction of Dynamic Fatigue Life of Multi-axial Loaded Structure (다축 하중 구조물의 동적 피로수명 예측)

  • Yoon, Moon Young;Kim, Kyeung Ho;Park, Jang Soo;Boo, Kwang Seok;Kim, Heung Seob
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.231-235
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this paper is to compare with estimation of equivalent fatigue load in time domain and frequency domain and estimate the fatigue life of structure with multi-axial vibration loading. The fatigue analysis with two methods is implemented with various signals like random, sinusoidal signals. Also an equivalent fatigue life estimated by rainflow cycle counting in time domain is compared with results estimated with probability density function of each signal in frequency domain. In case of frequency domain, equivalent fatigue life can estimate through Dirlik's method with probability density function. And the work proposed in this paper compared the fatigue damage accumulated under uni-axial loading to that induced by multi-axial loading. The comparison is preformed for a simple cantilever beam, which is exposed to vibrations of several directions. For verification of estimation performance of fatigue life, results are compared to those of FEM analysis (ANSYS).