• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimated Profit

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Item Selection By Estimated Profit Ranking Based on Association Rule (연관규칙을 이용한 상품선택과 기대수익 예측)

  • Hwang, In-Soo
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.87-97
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    • 2004
  • One of the most fundamental problems in business is ranking items with respect to profit based on historical transactions. The difficulty is that the profit of one item comes from its influence on the sales of other items as well as its own sales, and that there is no well-developed algorithm for estimating overall profit of selected items. In this paper, we developed a product network based on association rule and an algorithm for profit estimation and item selection using the estimated profit ranking(EPR). As a result of computer simulation, the suggested algorithm outperforms the individual approach and the hub-authority profit ranking algorithm.

A Repair-Time Limit Replacement Model with Imperfect Repair (불완전 수리에서의 수리시간한계를 가진 교체모형)

  • Chung, Il Han;Yun, Won Young
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.233-238
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    • 2013
  • This article concerns a profit model in a repair limit replacement problem with imperfect repair. If a system fails, we should decide whether we repair the failed system (repair option) or replace it by new one (replacement option with a lead time). We assume that repair times are random variables and can be estimated before repair with estimation error. If the estimated repair time is less than the specified limit (repair time limit), the failed unit is repaired but the unit after repair is different from the new one (imperfect repair). Otherwise, we order a new unit to replace the failed unit. The long run average profit (expected profit rate) is used as an optimization criterion and the optimal repair time limit maximizes the expected profit rate. Some special cases are derived.

Medical Equipment Purchasing Plan and Analysis of Actual Utilization (의료장비 도입계획과 실제이용에 대한 실태분석)

  • Lee, Hag-Sun;Yu, Seung-Hum;Lee, Hae-Jong;Kim, Sung-Kyu
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.22-39
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study was to determine the difference between estimated profit and utilization of medical equipment upon purchasing and actual results at one teaching hospital in Seoul, Korea Medical equipments over $100,000 from 1992 to 1997 were selected and results were as follows: 1. Twenty equipments out of thirty exceeded estimated profits and the difference was 3.98 billion won and ten equipments did not reach the estimated profits and 5.5 billion won was the difference. Diagnostic equipment exceeded the estimated profit which surgical equipment didn't. 2. Eleven equipments exceeded estimated utilization, which showed 100%. In the mean time, eighteen equipments didn't reach the estimated utilization, which was 71%. Diagnostic equipment showed the less estimated utilization than surgical equipment 3. Twenty-one equipments showed the 6.83 billion won profits and nine equipments showed the 1.6 billion won deficits. Diagnostic equipment was more profitable than surgical equipment. Finally. diagnostic equipment helped improving hospital management than surgical equipment. 4. Main factors which showed the big difference from the initial plan were lacking reasonable estimated method, no evaluation system for purchase, emphasis in medical treatment, excessive expenditure in maintenance, duplicated investment for medical equipment and leadership commitment. As a result. Substantial planning is required from the requesting department in consideration of estimated profit and utilization and systematic quality control is needed to confirm. Also, One-sided decision making should be avoided to purchase a high cost medical equipment and efforts should be made in examining carefully and developing a reasonable analytic method.

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A Profit Calculating Analysis and a Proposal of Estimation System of Historical Cost Data in the Electrical Construction Works (실적공사비에서 전기공사의 적정이윤율 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, S.S.;Jang, Y.G.;Kim, K.G.;Hyun, S.Y.;Wang, Y.P.;An, J.H.;Park, M.Y.;Sohn, H.K.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2009.07a
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    • pp.2129_2131
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    • 2009
  • Since Jan. 2004, the Ministry of Construction and Transportation has partly introduced estimation system of historical cost data in order to reflect result cost of construction market to cost estimation for public construction. It is expected that the purpose of the introduction would be evaluated considering the long-term development of domestic construction industry. In article 3, paragraph 4 of the planning criteria of estimated cost of financial regulation related to government contract rule, the profit estimated by historical cost data indicates sales profit and it is calculated by multiplying the sum of direct cost, indirect cost and general overhead by rate of profit. Finally, it is said that rate of profit cannot exceeds 10%. However, there are a lot of constructions for electronic equipment in the electronic construction and the proportion of government furnished material is very high, not like engineering works or constructions. Therefore, as the proportion of material cost over direct cost is relatively lower, if current rate of profit (10%) is applied, there would be a wide difference of cost in the items of profit under the estimation system of historical cost data. This paper was conducted to examine estimation methods of the items of profit under the estimation system of historical cost data and suggest reasonable applications.

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A Profit Calculating Analysis and a Proposal of Estimation System of Historical Cost Data in the Electrical Construction Works (전기분야 실적공사비 적산제도에서 이윤산정 분석 및 제안)

  • Seo, S.S.;Lim, S.H.;Kwon, Y.M.;Kim, H.G.;Kim, J.H.;Sohn, H.K.;Park, I.P.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2007.04b
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    • pp.155-159
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    • 2007
  • Since Jan. 2004, the Ministry of Construction and Transportation has partly introduced estimation system of historical cost data in order to reflect result cost of construction market to cost estimation for public construction. It is expected that the purpose of the introduction would be evaluated considering the long-term development of domestic construction industry. In article 3, paragraph 4 of the planning criteria of estimated cost of financial regulation related to government contract rule, the profit estimated by historical cost data indicates sales profit and it is calculated by multiplying the sum of direct cost, indirect cost and general overhead by rate of profit. Finally, it is said that rate of profit cannot exceeds 10%. However, there are a lot of constructions for electronic equipment in the electronic construction and the proportion of government furnished material is very high, not like engineering works or constructions. Therefore, as the proportion of material cost over direct cost is relatively lower if current rate of exceeds (10%) is applied, there would be a wide difference of cost in the items of profit under the estimation system of historical cost data. This paper was conducted to examine estimation methods of the items of profit under the estimation system of historical cost data and suggest reasonable applications.

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Prediction of Optimal Production Level for Maximizing Total Profit in Miryang Sesame Leaf Cultivation (밀양 깻잎 농업의 총소득 극대화를 위한 적정 생산 규모 전망)

  • Cho, Jae-Hwan;Chung, Wonho
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.313-320
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    • 2021
  • This study develops a demand and supply model and price model for Miryang sesame leaf cultivation and predicts the optimal production level to maximize total profit for Miryang sesame leaf farms. We used time series data from 1996 to 2017, which are related to Miryang sesame leaf cultivation. For the analysis, we estimated the demand function and average cost function, calculated the optimal production level and price, and derived the optimal profit. In addition, we predicted the optimal production level, price, total revenue, total cost, and profit until the year 2030 through scenario analysis. The results show that the optimal production level until the year 2030 is between 10 and 12.5 thousand tons, while the production volume was 7 thousand tons in 2017, and total profit for Miryang sesame leaf farms is estimated at 13.3 to 21.3 billion Korean won in 2030. The producer group needs to maintain the optimal production level to maximize total profit for farmers, as suggested in this study.

The Effect of Meteorological Information on Business Decision-Making with a Value Score Model (가치스코어 모형을 이용한 기상정보의 기업 의사결정에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Lee, Ki-Kwang;Lee, Joong-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 2007
  • In this paper the economic value of weather forecasts is valuated for profit-oriented enterprise decision-making situations. Value is estimated in terms of monetary profits (or benefits) resulted from the forecast user's decision under the specific payoff structure, which is represented by a profit/loss ratio model combined with a decision function and a value score (VS). The forecast user determines a business-related decision based on the probabilistic forecast, the user's subjective reliability of the forecasts, and the payoff structure specific to the user's business environment. The VS curve for a meteorological forecast is specified by a function of the various profit/loss ratios, providing the scaled economic value relative to the value of a perfect forecast. The proposed valuation method based on the profit/loss ratio model and the VS is adapted for hypothetical sets of forecasts and verified for site-specific probability of precipitation forecast of 12 hour and 24 hour-lead time, which is generated from Korea meteorological administration (KMA). The application results show that forecast information with shorter lead time can provide the decision-makers with great benefits and there are ranges of profit/loss ratios in which high subjective reliability of the given forecast is preferred.

Investment Analysis of Venture Business for Probabilistic Cases (벤처사업의 투자결정기법: 확률적 사례를 중심으로)

  • 백관호
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.178-207
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    • 1998
  • This article suggests a methodology to decide the priority of investment project for venture business under the dynamic circumstance. By the Monte Carlo procedure on the probability distribution of cost and revenue, the model simulates the investment project to estimate profit ratio and risk. The profit ratio is calculated on the yearly basis for the relative comparison. The project risk is calculated as semi-variance under the target yield. After sufficient simulations in this fashion for several projects, the efficient projects with more profit and less risk are selected by the dominance principle. Then the regression equation of the selected projects is produced to find the relative value of the projects. The relative value is obtained through dividing the raw profit ratio by the estimated one on the equation. This value shows the degree to which the simulated project yields over the equation. The priority of investment is decided by this value. An examplary venture business of chemical development for semi-conductor is presented as a case study.

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An Estimation of Cost and Profit Functions under Cobb-Douglas Production Technology in the Coastal Fishing (Cobb-Douglas 생산기술특성하의 연안어선어업의 비용 및 이윤함수의 추정)

  • 김기수;강용주
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 1994
  • This paper tries to estimate cost and profit functions under Cobb - Douglas production technology in the coastal fishing, using duality theory of production technology and cost function. Therefore this paper estimates in advance the production functions with two input variables, the number of working persons per tonage(WEMP) and the number of fishing equipment per tonage(WEQU). Then this paper estimates profit function and implicit cost function using the estimated coefficients from production functions. The results of this study show that the annual average profit pertonage of long bag set fishing and trap fishing amount to 4.1 million won and 3.9 million won respectively.

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The Concept and Mesurement of Resource Rent and Profit (자원 렌트와 이익의 개념 및 측정에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Soo-Hyun
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.67-89
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    • 2018
  • In fisheries, as well as in other natural resource-based industries, there is difference between profit and rent. The former is a basic indicator for gauging the business performance of firms, while the latter is for the evaluation of the contribution of resources and industry to economic welfare. Put simply, resource economists are mainly concerned about rent, including pure resource rent and producer surplus (intra-marginal rent [IMR]). In other hand, business economists are mainly concerned about the profitability of the firms comprising the industry. In the academic literature, there are not always clear definitions of the profit and rent concepts and their use in actual analyses. This article will mainly discuss and clarify differences and similarities in profit and rent concepts. In the classical fisheries economic model with one-dimensional homogenous effort and a constant cost per unit of effort, no rent exists in open-access equilibrium. A simple change in this model, for example by introducing heterogeneous effort, opens it to the existence of rent, specifically IMR, at open-access equilibrium. We estimated resource rent and profit from the data using SNA(system of national accounts) and accounting data methods. RR(resource rent) is composed of value-added, compensation of employees, consumption of fixed capital and normal profit in SNA. RR(resource rent) is composed of EBT, Depreciation of fishing rights, financial costs of fishing rights and calculated interests on equity in accounting data methods. We found that the result of two methods is equal. RR is composed of excess profit, rent and interest expenses. In Korea, the magnitude of RR and profit is not different significantly.