• 제목/요약/키워드: Explanatory model

검색결과 931건 처리시간 0.022초

자기회귀오차모형을 이용한 평택시 PM10 농도 분석 (Analysis of PM10 Concentration using Auto-Regressive Error Model at Pyeongtaek City in Korea)

  • 이훈자
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.358-366
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the monthly and seasonal PM10 data using the Autoregressive Error (ARE) model at the southern part of the Gyeonggi-Do, Pyeongtaek monitoring site in Korea. In the ARE model, six meteorological variables and four pollution variables are used as the explanatory variables. The six meteorological variables are daily maximum temperature, wind speed, amount of cloud, relative humidity, rainfall, and global radiation. The four air pollution variables are sulfur dioxide ($SO_2$), nitrogen dioxide ($NO_2$), carbon monoxide (CO), and ozone ($O_3$). The result shows that monthly ARE models explained about 17~49% of the PM10 concentration. However, the ARE model could be improved if we add the more explanatory variables in the model.

다중회귀에서 회귀계수 추정량의 특성 (Comments on the regression coefficients)

  • 강명욱
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.589-597
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    • 2021
  • 단순회귀와 다중회귀에서 회귀계수의 의미는 차이가 있고 회귀계수의 추정값은 같지 않을 뿐 아니라 그 부호가 서로 다른 경우도 발생한다. 회귀모형에서 설명변수의 상대적 기여도의 파악은 회귀분석의 수행의 중요한 부분이다. 표준화 회귀모형에서 표준화 회귀계수는 해당 설명변수를 제외한 나머지 설명변수의 값이 고정되어있는 상황에서 설명변수가 표준편차만큼 증가하였을 때 반응변수가 표준편차를 기준으로 얼마나 변화했는가로 해석할 수 있지만 표준화 회귀계수의 크기가 각 설명변수의 상대적 중요도를 나타내는 척도라고 할 수 없음은 잘 알려져 있다. 본 논문에서는 다중회귀에서 회귀계수의 추정량을 상관계수와 결정계수의 함수로 나타내고 이를 추가적인 설명력과 추가적인 결정계수의 관점에서 생각해 본다. 또한 다양한 산점도에서의 상관계수와 회귀계수 추정값의 관계를 알아보고 설명변수가 두 개인 경우에 구체적으로 적용해 본다.

ASEAN+3회원국에 대한 해외직접투자 결정요인 분석 (An Analysis of Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment to ASEAN+3 Member Nations)

  • 손용정
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.111-126
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    • 2009
  • This study analysed determinants of Foreign Direct Investment to ASEAN+ 3 member nations using panel data for which cross-sectional data are combined with time series data. The data for the analysis included the amount of FDI, GDP, and indexes of economic independence. This study collected data from six nations(Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam) whose data were easily available, China and Japan from 2003 to 2007 and analysed them. The results are summarized as follows: Using the pooled OLS method, we found Model 2 had the highest explanatory power whose adjusted R-squared was 89.4%, which accounted for about 89% of foreign investment. Using the fixed effect model, Model 2 had the highest explanatory power whose adjusted R-squared was 96.8%, which accounted for about 97% of foreign investment. Using the probability effect model, Model 5 had the highest explanatory power, but in respect to its statistical significance, only GDP was 1% significant and the rest variables had no significance.

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Bayesian Analysis for a Functional Regression Model with Truncated Errors in Variables

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.77-91
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    • 2002
  • This paper considers a functional regression model with truncated errors in explanatory variables. We show that the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimators produce bias in regression parameter estimates under misspecified models with ignored errors in the explanatory variable measurements, and then propose methods for analyzing the functional model. Fully parametric frequentist approaches for analyzing the model are intractable and thus Bayesian methods are pursued using a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling based approach. Necessary theories involved in modeling and computation are provided. Finally, a simulation study is given to illustrate and examine the proposed methods.

경기도 파주시 오존농도의 통계모형 연구 (Analysis of statistical models for ozone concentrations at the Paju city in Korea)

  • 이훈자
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.1085-1092
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    • 2009
  • 지표오존 농도는 국가의 중요한 환경 척도 중의 하나이다. 본 연구에서는 경기도 파주시 오존농도를 자기회귀오차모형과 신경망모형으로 분석하였다. 오존 분석을 위한 설명변수로는 이산화황, 이산화질소, 일산화탄소, 프로메툼10 등의 대기자료와 일 최고온도, 풍속, 상대습도, 강수량, 이슬점온도, 운량, 수증기압 등의 기상자료를 사용하였다. 분석 결과 전반적으로 신경망모형이 좋은 모형으로 나타났고, 자기회귀오차모형도 오존에 영향을 주는 설명변수를 첨가하면 좋은 모형이 될 것으로 생각된다.

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고등학생의 스마트폰 중독이 충동성, 스트레스, 자기효능감, 자기통제력에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of High School Students' Smart Phone Addiction on Impulsivity, Stress, Self-efficacy, and Self-control)

  • 오주
    • 수산해양교육연구
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.998-1012
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    • 2015
  • This study is smartphone addiction impulsiveness, stress, self-efficacy, and examine any changes to appear self-control. This study is a response to the results obtained for 310 people targeting high school in Pusan, the second grade students. For the analysis of the collected data by using the SPSS 22.0 program was the analysis of the T-test, ANOVA, Multiple Regression. The major findings of this study can be summed up as follows: first, smart phone addiction has significant difference in impulsivity, stress, self-efficacy, and self-control. Second, sex is found to be significant in impulsivity, stress, self-efficacy, and self-control. Third, grades are significant in impulsivity, self-efficacy, and self-control. Fourth, the model for impulsivity indicates 4% of explanatory power, which is significant. Fifth, explanatory power for stress is 4%, which is significant. Sixth, the model for self-efficacy shows 14% of explanatory power, which is significant. Meanwhile, smart phone addiction, sex, and grades have no significant effects on self-efficacy. Seventh, the model for self-control indicates 20% of explanatory power, which is significant.

Bootstrap Testing for Reliability of Stess-Strength Model with Explanatory Variables

  • Park, Jin-Pyo;Kang, Sang-Gil;Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.263-273
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we consider some approximate testings for the reliability of the stress-strength model when the stress X and strength Y each depends linearly on some explanatory variables z and w, respectively. We construct a bootstrap procedure for testing for various values of the reliability and compare the power of the bootstrap test with the test based on Mann-Whitney type estimator by Park et.al.(1996) for small and moderate sample size.

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상장기업의 재무적 특성 변화 분석 -수정 Jones 모형을 중심으로- (The Changing Financial Properties of KSE Listed Companies -Focusing on the Modified Jones Model-)

  • 고영우
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.241-247
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구는 1990년도부터 2019년까지 거래소에 상장된 기업들을 대상으로 발생액 추정모형의 설명력 변화를 분석하였다. 기존의 발생액 추정모형에 사용된 재무적 변수들이 특성이 시간이 지남에 따라 변화하거나, 전체 발생액 중에서 재량적 발생액의 비중이 변화하면 모형의 설명력에도 변화가 있을 것으로 기대하고 이를 가설화하여 분석하였다. 회귀 분석결과 수정 Jones 모형(1995)은 시간의 경과에 따라 그 설명력이 점차 낮아짐을 발견하였다. 이는 발생액 자체의 증가와 모형에 포함된 변수들의 분포가 변화함에 기인하는 것으로 추정된다. 본 연구의 시계열적 분석 결과는 이익조정 연구 등 학술적인 면이나 회계 정보를 이용하는 이용자에게 중요한 시사점을 제공할 것으로 기대된다.

암환자의 수면장애 설명모형 (An Explanatory Model for Sleep Disorders in People with Cancer)

  • 김희선;오의금
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제41권4호
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    • pp.460-470
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: The aim of this study was to develop and test an explanatory model for sleep disorders in people with cancer. A hypothetical model was constructed on the basis of a review of previous studies, literature, and sleep models, and 10 latent variables were used to construct a hypothetical model. Methods: Data were collected from April 19 to June 25, 2010, using self-report questionnaires. The sample was 291 outpatients with cancer who visited the oncology cancer center at a university hospital. Collected data were analyzed using SPSS Win 15.0 program for descriptive statistics and correlation analysis and AMOS 7.0 program for covariance structural analysis. Results: It appeared that overall fit index was good as ${\chi}^2/df=1.162$, GFI=.969, AGFI=.944, SRMR=.052, NFI=.881, NNFI=.969, CFI=.980, RMSEA=.024, CN=337 in the modified model. The explanatory power of this model for sleep disorders in people with cancer was 62%. Further, sleep disorders were influenced directly by cancer symptom experience, dysfunctional beliefs and attitudes about sleep, and past sleep pattern. Conclusion: Findings suggest that nurses should assess past sleep pattern and consider the development of a comprehensive nursing intervention program to minimize the cancer symptom experience, dysfunctional beliefs and attitudes about sleep, and thus, reduce sleep disorders in people with cancer.

교통사고모형 개발에서의 함수식 도출 방법론에 관한 연구 (Methodology for Determining Functional Forms in Developing Statistical Collision Models)

  • 백종대;험머 조셉
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.189-199
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    • 2012
  • PURPOSES: The purpose of this study is to propose a new methodology for developing statistical collision models and to show the validation results of the methodology. METHODS: A new modeling method of introducing variables into the model one by one in a multiplicative form is suggested. A method for choosing explanatory variables to be introduced into the model is explained. A method for determining functional forms for each explanatory variable is introduced as well as a parameter estimating procedure. A model selection method is also dealt with. Finally, the validation results is provided to demonstrate the efficacy of the final models developed using the method suggested in this study. RESULTS: According to the results of the validation for the total and injury collisions, the predictive powers of the models developed using the method suggested in this study were better than those of generalized linear models for the same data. CONCLUSIONS: Using the methodology suggested in this study, we could develop better statistical collision models having better predictive powers. This was because the methodology enabled us to find the relationships between dependant variable and each explanatory variable individually and to find the functional forms for the relationships which can be more likely non-linear.