• Title/Summary/Keyword: GP nonlinear compensation

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Evolutionary Nonlinear Compensation and Support Vector Machine Based Prediction of Windstorm Advisory (진화적 비선형 보정 및 SVM 분류에 의한 강풍 특보 예측 기법)

  • Seo, Kisung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.12
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    • pp.1799-1803
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    • 2017
  • This paper introduces the prediction methods of windstorm advisory using GP nonlinear compensation and SVM. The existing special report prediction is not specialized for strong wind, such as windstorm, because it is based on the wide range of predicted values for wind speed from low to high. In order to improve the performance of strong wind reporting prediction, a method that can efficiently classify boundaries of strong wind is necessary. First, evolutionary nonlinear regression based compensation technique is applied to obtain more accurate values of prediction for wind speed using UM data. Based on the prediction wind speed, the windstorm advisory is determined. Second, SVM method is applied to classify directly using the data of UM predictors and windstorm advisory. Above two methods are compared to evaluate of the performances for the windstorm data in Jeju Island in South Korea. The data of 2007-2009, 2011 year is used for training, and 2012 year is used for test.

Genetic Programming Based Compensation Technique for Short-range Temperature Prediction (유전 프로그래밍 기반 단기 기온 예보의 보정 기법)

  • Hyeon, Byeong-Yong;Hyun, Soo-Hwan;Lee, Yong-Hee;Seo, Ki-Sung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.61 no.11
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    • pp.1682-1688
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    • 2012
  • This paper introduces a GP(Genetic Programming) based robust technique for temperature compensation in short-range prediction. Development of an efficient MOS(Model Output Statistics) is necessary to correct systematic errors of the model, because forecast models do not reliably determine weather conditions. Most of MOS use a linear regression to compensate a prediction model, therefore it is hard to manage an irregular nature of prediction. In order to solve the problem, a nonlinear and symbolic regression method using GP is suggested. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the accuracy of the estimation by a GP based nonlinear MOS for 3 days temperatures in Korean regions. This method is then compared to the UM model and has shown superior results. The training period of 2007-2009 summer is used, and the data of 2010 summer is adopted for verification.

Evolutionary Nonlinear Regression Based Compensation Technique for Short-range Prediction of Wind Speed using Automatic Weather Station (AWS 지점별 기상데이타를 이용한 진화적 회귀분석 기반의 단기 풍속 예보 보정 기법)

  • Hyeon, Byeongyong;Lee, Yonghee;Seo, Kisung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.64 no.1
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    • pp.107-112
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    • 2015
  • This paper introduces an evolutionary nonlinear regression based compensation technique for the short-range prediction of wind speed using AWS(Automatic Weather Station) data. Development of an efficient MOS(Model Output Statistics) is necessary to correct systematic errors of the model, but a linear regression based MOS is hard to manage an irregular nature of weather prediction. In order to solve the problem, a nonlinear and symbolic regression method using GP(Genetic Programming) is suggested for a development of MOS wind forecast guidance. Also FCM(Fuzzy C-Means) clustering is adopted to mitigate bias of wind speed data. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the accuracy of the estimation by a GP based nonlinear MOS for 3 days prediction of wind speed in South Korean regions. This method is then compared to the UM model and has shown superior results. Data for 2007-2009, 2011 is used for training, and 2012 is used for testing.

A Study on the GPS/INS Integration and GPS Compensation Algorithm Based on the Particle Filter (파티클 필터를 이용한 GPS 위치보정과 GPS/INS 센서 결합에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Jae Young;Kim, Han Sil
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.50 no.6
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    • pp.267-275
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    • 2013
  • EKF has been widely used for GPS/INS integration as standard method but EKF has one well-known drawback. if the errors are not within the bounded region, the filter may be divergent. The particle filter has the advantage of the nonlinear and non-gaussian system. This paper proposes a method for compensating the GPS position errors based on the particle filter and presents loosely-coupled GPS/INS integration using proposed algorithm. We used GPS position pattern with particle filter and added attitude kalman filter for improving attitude accuracy. To verify the performance, the proposed method is compared with high cost GPS as reference. In the experimental result, we verified that the accuracy and robust were well improved by the proposed method filter effectively and robustness than by original loosely-coupled integration when vehicle turns at corner.

Comparison of Linear and Nonlinear Regressions and Elements Analysis for Wind Speed Prediction (풍속 예측을 위한 선형회귀분석과 비선형회귀분석 기법의 비교 및 인자분석)

  • Kim, Dongyeon;Seo, Kisung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.477-482
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    • 2015
  • Linear regressions and evolutionary nonlinear regression based compensation techniques for the short-range prediction of wind speed are investigated. Development of an efficient MOS(Model Output Statistics) is necessary to correct systematic errors of the model, but a linear regression based MOS is hard to manage an irregular nature of weather prediction. In order to solve the problem, a nonlinear and symbolic regression method using GP(Genetic Programming) is suggested for a development of MOS for wind speed prediction. The proposed method is compared to various linear regression methods for prediction of wind speed. Also, statistical analysis of distribution for UM elements for each method is executed. experiments are performed for KLAPS(Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System) re-analysis data from 2007 to 2013 year for Jeju Island and Busan area in South Korea.