• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hazard Log

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Cox proportional hazard model with L1 penalty

  • Hwang, Chang-Ha;Shim, Joo-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.613-618
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    • 2011
  • The proposed method is based on a penalized log partial likelihood of Cox proportional hazard model with L1-penalty. We use the iteratively reweighted least squares procedure to solve L1 penalized log partial likelihood function of Cox proportional hazard model. It provide the ecient computation including variable selection and leads to the generalized cross validation function for the model selection. Experimental results are then presented to indicate the performance of the proposed procedure.

Determination of THRs - A Practical Approach for Manufacturers According to EN50129

  • Weber, Ulrich
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.104-109
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    • 2013
  • The paper will outline how hazard identification and risk evaluation can effectively be performed to obtain Tolerable Hazard Rates (THR). As a target group manufacturers are addressed, who face the situation, that for a generic application THRs are needed for compliance with EN 50129 [1]. Focusing on functional hazards this paper shows a possible hazard log and the relevant analysis methods. The terms safety barrier and barrier function will be introduced and used instead of the term "safety function". As functional hazards and barrier functions depend on each other, emphasis will be put on a comprehensive and detailed definition of barrier functions and the usage of function lists. By using detailed and complete hazard and barrier function definitions THRs can be obtained while at the same time the approach becomes clear how the hazard rates (HR) will be established.

Modeling of Breast Cancer Prognostic Factors Using a Parametric Log-Logistic Model in Fars Province, Southern Iran

  • Zare, Najaf;Doostfatemeh, Marzieh;Rezaianzadeh, Abass
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.1533-1537
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    • 2012
  • In general, breast cancer is the most common malignancy among women in developed as well as some developing countries, often being the second leading cause of cancer mortality after lung cancer. Using a parametric log-logistic model to consider the effects of prognostic factors, the present study focused on the 5-year survival of women with the diagnosis of breast cancer in Southern Iran. A total of 1,148 women who were diagnosed with primary invasive breast cancer from January 2001 to January 2005 were included and divided into three prognosis groups: poor, medium, and good. The survival times as well as the hazard rates of the three different groups were compared. The log-logistic model was employed as the best parametric model which could explain survival times. The hazard rates of the poor and the medium prognosis groups were respectively 13 and 3 times greater than in the good prognosis group. Also, the difference between the overall survival rates of the poor and the medium prognosis groups was highly significant in comparison to the good prognosis group. Use of the parametric log-logistic model - also a proportional odds model - allowed assessment of the natural process of the disease based on hazard and identification of trends.

The Comparative Study of NHPP Software Reliability Model Exponential and Log Shaped Type Hazard Function from the Perspective of Learning Effects (지수형과 로그형 위험함수 학습효과에 근거한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장모형에 관한 비교연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2012
  • In this study, software products developed in the course of testing, software managers in the process of testing software test and test tools for effective learning effects perspective has been studied using the NHPP software. The finite failure nonhomogeneous Poisson process models presented and the life distribution applied exponential and log shaped type hazard function. Software error detection techniques known in advance, but influencing factors for considering the errors found automatically and learning factors, by prior experience, to find precisely the error factor setting up the testing manager are presented comparing the problem. As a result, the learning factor is greater than autonomous errors-detected factor that is generally efficient model could be confirmed. This paper, a failure data analysis of applying using time between failures and parameter estimation using maximum likelihood estimation method, after the efficiency of the data through trend analysis model selection were efficient using the mean square error and coefficient of determination.

Hazard Analysis of Staphylococcus aureus in Ready-to-Eat Sandwiches (즉석섭취 샌드위치류의 황색포도상구균에 대한 위해분석)

  • Park, Hae-Jung;Bae, Hyun-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition
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    • v.36 no.7
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    • pp.938-943
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    • 2007
  • This study investigated the hazard analysis of ready-to-eat sandwiches sold in various establishments. Sandwich samples were collected from convenience stores, discount stores, sandwich chain stores, bakery shops, fast-food chain stores, and food service operations located in Daegu and Gyeongbuk. Out of 174 samples, 18 (10.3%) contained coagulase positive staphylococci with counts ranging from 0.30 to 4.08 log CFU/g. There was significant seasonal difference in Staphylococcus aureus isolation; the average count in summer (3.24 log CFU/g) was 3 times higher than that of winter (1.10 log CFU/g) (P<0.001). According to the microbiological guidelines of PHLS for ready-to-eat foods, 95.4% of the samples were acceptable. As a result of enterotoxin producing experimental data ($35^{\circ}C$, pH 5.8, NaCl 0.5%), enterotoxin was not produced in a sandwich until Staphylococcus aureus increased to a level greater than 4.95 log CFU/g. This microbiological hazard analysis data could be applied to future studies on quantitative risk assessment of ready-to-eat foods.

Analysis of Soil Erosion Hazard Zone by R Factor Frequency (빈도별 R인자에 의한 토양침식 위험지역 분석)

  • Kim, Joo-Hun;Oh, Deuk-Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate soil loss amount according to the rainfall-runoff erosivity factor frequency and to analyze the hazard zone that has high possibilities of soil erosion in the watershed. RUSLE was used to analyze soil loss quantity. The study area is Gwanchon that is part of Seomjin river basin. To obtain the frequency rainfall-runoff erosivity factor, the daily maximum rainfall data for 39 years was used. The probability rainfall was calculated by using the Normal distribution, Log-normal distribution, Pearson type III distribution, Log-Pearson type III distribution and Extreme-I distribution. Log-Pearson type III was considered to be the most accurate of all, and used to estimate 24 hours probabilistic rainfall, and the rainfall-runoff erosivity factor by frequency was estimated by adapting the Huff distribution ratio. As a result of estimating soil erosion quantity, the average soil quantity shows 12.8 and $68.0ton/ha{\cdot}yr$, respectively from 2 years to 200 years frequency. The distribution of soil loss quantity within a watershed was classified into 4 classes, and the hazard zone that has high possibilities of soil erosion was analyzed on the basis of these 4 classes. The hazard zone represents class IV. The land use area of class IV shows $0.01-5.28km^2$, it ranges 0.02-9.06% of total farming area. Especially, in the case of a frequency of 200 years, the field area occupies 77.1% of total fanning area. Accordingly, it is considered that soil loss can be influenced by land cover and cultivation practices.

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Analysis of Uniform Hazard Spectra for Metropolises in the Korean Peninsula (국내 주요 광역 도시에 대한 등재해도 스펙트럼 분석)

  • Rhee, Hyun-Me;Kim, Min Kyu;Sheen, Dong-Hoon;Choi, In-Kil
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 2013
  • The uniform hazard spectra for seven major cities in Korea, Seoul, Daejeon, Daegu, Busan, Gwangju, Ulsan, and Inchon are suggested. Probabilistic seismic hazard analyses were performed using the attenuation equations derived from seismology research in Korea since 2000 and the seismotectonic models selected by expert assessment. For the estimation of the uniform hazard spectra, the seismic hazard curves for several frequencies and PGAs were calculated by using the spectral attenuation equations. The seismic hazards (annual exceedance probability) calculated for the 7 metropolises ranged from about $1.4305{\times}0^{-4}/yr$ to $1.7523{\times}10^{-4}/yr$ and averaged out at about $1.5902{\times}10^{-4}/yr$ with a log standard deviation of about 0.085 at 0.2 g. The uniform hazard spectra with recurrence intervals of 500, 1000, and 2500 years estimated by using the calculated mean seismic hazard on the frequencies presented peak values at 10.0 Hz, and the log standard deviations of the difference between metropolises ranged from about 0.013 to 0.209. In view of the insignificant difference between the estimated uniform hazard spectra obtained for the considered metropolises, the mean uniform hazard spectrum was estimated. This mean uniform hazard spectrum is expected to be used as input seismic response spectrum for rock sites in Korea.

Biological Hazard Analysis of Angelica gigas Nakai on Production and Marketing Steps (당귀의 재배 및 유통과정 중 생물적 위해요소 분석)

  • Park, Kyeong-Hun;Kim, Byeong-Seok;Lee, Jeong-Ju;Yun, Hye-Jeong;Kim, Se-Ri;Kim, Won-Il;Yun, Jong-Chul;Ryu, Kyoung-Yul
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.1216-1221
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    • 2012
  • This study is aimed to investigate microbiological contamination of Angelica gigas Nakai. A total of 111 samples including root, soil, and irrigation water were collected from farms and market to detect aerobic bacteria, Bacillus cereus, coliform, Escherichia coli, Listeria monocytogenes,. Salmonella spp., and Staphylococcus aureus. The contaminations of aerobic bacteria, coliform, and Bacillus cereus in the root during cultivation were found 6.71 log CFU $g^{-1}$, 4.13 log CFU $g^{-1}$, and 3.54 log CFU $g^{-1}$, respectively. The contamination of coliform and B. cereus were detected in all steps from harvesting to processing, with the highest count recorded from the cutting step. In marketing, the contaminations of aerobic bacterial, coliform, and B. cereus were 5.5~6.0 log CFU $g^{-1}$, 2.4~2.6 log CFU $g^{-1}$, and 3.5~4.0 log CFU $g^{-1}$, respectively. Listeria monocytogenes, Salmonella spp, and Staphylococcus aureus were not detected in any of samples. This result indicated that hygienic soil management and post harvest management should be performed to reduce the contamination of hazard microorganisms and to produce safe agro-products.

Notes on the Ratio and the Right-Tail Probability in a Log-Laplace Distribution

  • Woo, Jung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.1171-1177
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    • 2007
  • We consider estimation of the right-tail probability in a log-Laplace random variable, As we derive the density of ratio of two independent log-Laplace random variables, the k-th moment of the ratio is represented by a special mathematical function. and hence variance of the ratio can be represented by a psi-function.

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Microbial Hazard Analysis of Manufacturing Processes for Starch Noodle (당면의 제조공정별 미생물학적 위해요소 분석)

  • Cheon, Jin-Young;Yang, Ji Hye;Kim, Min Jeong;Lee, Su-Mi;Cha, Myeonghwa;Park, Ki-Hwan;Ryu, Kyung
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.420-426
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to identify control points through microbiological hazard analysis in the manufacturing processes of starch noodles. Samples were collected from the ingredients, manufacturing processes, equipment and environment. Microbiological hazard assessments were performed using aerobic plate counts (APC), Enterobacteriaceae (EB), E. coli and five pathogens including B. cereus, E. coli O157:H7, L. monocytogenes, Salmonella spp., and S. aureus. The APC levels in raw materials were from 2.12 to 3.83 log CFU/g. The contamination levels after kneading were 4.31 log CFU/g for APCs and 2.88 log CFU/g for EB counts. APCs decreased to 1.63 log CFU/g and EB were not detected after gelatinization, but their levels slightly increased upon cooling, cutting, ripening, freezing, thawing, and separating. The reuse of cooling and coating water would be a critical source of microbial increase after cooling. After drying, APCs and EB counts decreased to 5.05 log CFU/g and 2.74 log CFU/g, respectively, and the levels were maintained to final products. These results suggest that the cooling process is a critical control point for microbiological safety, and the cooling water should be treated and controlled to prevent cross contamination by pre-requisite program.