• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.40 no.4
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• pp.415-423
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• 2014

In recent decades, RFID (Radio Frequency IDentification) technology has been recognized as one of the most core competencies in implementing ubiquitous society. However, Korea has not seen good success in diffusion of RFID even though Korean government continues funding many projects to diffuse the technology in industries. Most previous researches overestimate the growth of Korean RFID market in contrary to real market situation. This study aims to analyze the Korean RFID market and find a reasonable forecasting model for it. Our experimental results show that Bass forecasting model provides the more realistic estimates than any other models and the analyses of forecasting error provide useful information for the better forecasting. We also observed that government policy plays a crucial role in the diffusion of RFID technology in Korea.

• International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.327-332
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• 2009

This paper proposes a method to improve the accuracy of a short-term electrical load forecasting (STLF) system based on neuro-fuzzy models. The proposed method compensates load forecasts based on the error obtained during the previous prediction. The basic idea behind this approach is that the error of the current prediction is highly correlated with that of the previous prediction. This simple compensation scheme using error information drastically improves the performance of the STLF based on neuro-fuzzy models. The viability of the proposed method is demonstrated through the simulation studies performed on the load data collected by Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO) in 1996 and 1997.

• Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.121-129
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• 2017

Demand forecasting is one of the most critical tasks in defense logistics, because the failure of the task can bring about a huge waste of budget. Up to date, ROK-MND(Republic of Korea - Ministry of National Defense) has analyzed past component consumption data with time-series techniques to predict each component's demand. However, the accuracy of the prediction still needs to be improved. In our study, we attempted to find consumption pattern using data mining techniques. We gathered an 18,476 component consumption data first, and then derived diverse features to utilize them in identification of demanding patterns in the consumption data. The results show that our approach improves demand forecasting with higher accuracy.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.1-14
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• 2020

Leading the fourth industrial revolution era requires science and technology strategies that establish original research directions at the national level. To this end, it is necessary to look at the research and development activities for the fourth industrial revolution of technology-leading countries. In this study, the research programs of the U.S. Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity(IARPA), an organization focusing on cutting edge research on science and technology information such as artificial intelligence, are investigated by using network analysis. The findings show that, resolving around the information identification and forecasting, decision making and cybersecurity clusters, IARPA's research programs largely focus on finding hidden information and predicting specific events, supporting decision making by considering changes in and outside organizations or establishing cybersecurity. Also, this study finds that China and Japan, representative technology-leading Asian countries, refer to the research programs of IARPA to establish their science and technology policies. The results of this study suggest implications for Korea's science and technology policies in response to the fourth industrial revolution era.

• 한국정보통신설비학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2009.08a
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• pp.157-161
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• 2009

In recent years, there is a remarkable progress in ICTs (Information and Communication Technologies), and then many attempts to apply ICTs to other industries are being made. In the field of disaster managements, ICTs such as RFID (Radio Frequency IDentification) and USN (Ubiquitous Sensor Network) are used to provide safe environments. Actually, various types of early warning systems using USN are now widely used to monitor natural disasters such as floods, landslides and earthquakes, and also to detect human-caused disasters such as fires, explosions and collapses. These early warning systems issue alarms rapidly when a disaster is detected or an event exceeds prescribed thresholds, and furthermore deliver alarm messages to disaster managers and citizens. In general, these systems consist of a number of various sensors and measure real-time stream data, which requires an efficient and rapid data processing technique. In this study, an event-driven architecture (EDA) is presented to collect event effectively and to provide an alert rapidly. A publish/subscribe event processing method to process simple event is introduced. Additionally, a complex event processing (CEP) technique is introduced to process complex data from various sensors and to provide prompt and reasonable decision supports when many disasters happen simultaneously. A basic concept of CEP technique is presented and the advantages of the technique in disaster management are also discussed. Then, how the main processing methods of CEP such as aggregation, correlation, and filtering can be applied to disaster management is considered. Finally, an example of flood forecasting and early alarm system in which CEP is incorporated is presented It is found that the CEP based on the EDA will provide an efficient early warning method when disaster happens.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.89-90
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• 2016

Anomalous propagation echo is a kind of abnormal radar signal occurred by irregularly refracted radar beam caused by temperature or humidity. The echo frequently appears in ground-based weather radar. In order to improve accuracy of weather forecasting, it is important to analyze radar data precisely. Therefore, there are several ongoing researches about identifying the anomalous propagation echo all over the world. This paper conducts researches about a classification method which can distinguish anomalous propagation echo in the radar data using naive Bayes classifier and unique attributes of the echo such as reflectivity, altitude, and so on. It is confirmed that the fine classification results are derived by verifying the suggested naive Bayes classifier using actual appearance cases of the echo.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.20 no.6
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• pp.1063-1068
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• 2016

Anomalous propagation echo is a kind of abnormal radar signal occurred by irregularly refracted radar beam caused by temperature or humidity. The echo frequently appears in ground-based weather radar due to its observation principle and disturb weather forecasting process. In order to improve accuracy of weather forecasting, it is important to analyze radar data precisely. Therefore, there are several ongoing researches about identifying the anomalous propagation echo with data mining techniques. This paper conducts researches about implementation of classification method which can separate the anomalous propagation echo in the raw radar data using naive Bayes classifier with various kinds of observation results. Considering that collected data has a class imbalanced problem, this paper includes SMOTE method. It is confirmed that the fine classification results are derived by the suggested classifier with balanced dataset using actual appearance cases of the echo.

• Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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• v.17 no.6
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• pp.51-58
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• 2012

Scirtothrips Dorsalis (Thysanoptera: Thripidae) recently has been recognized as a major source of the pest damage in the citrus fruit orchards. So its arrival has been predicted periodically but it is difficult to identify adults of the pest with the naked eyes because of their size smaller than the 0.8mm. In this paper, we propose a method to detect candidate areas for automatic identification of Scirtothrips Dorsalis on forecasting traps. The proposed method uses a histogram-based template matching where the composite image synthesized with the gray-scale image and the gradient image is used. In our experiments, images are acquired by the optical microscopy with 50 magnifications. To show the usefulness of the proposed method, it is compared with the method we previously suggested. Also, the performances when the proposed method is applied to noise-reduced images and gradient images are examined. The experimental results show that the proposed method is approximately 14.42% better than our previous method, 41.63% higher than the case that the noise-reduced image is used, and 21.17% higher than the case that the gradient image is used.

• Microbiology and Biotechnology Letters
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• v.32 no.3
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• pp.256-264
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• 2004

A new primer set was developed for the detection and identification of Xanthomonas oryzae pv. oryzae, the bacterial leaf blight (BLB) pathogen in rice plant. The nucleotide sequence of hpaA gene was determined from X. o. pv. oryzae str. KACC10331, and the sequence information was used to design primers for the application of the polymerase chain reaction (PCR). The nucleotide sequence of hpaA from X. o. pv. oryzae str. KACC 10331 was aligned with those of X. campestris pv. vesicatoria, X. campestris pv. campestris, X. axonopodis pv. citri, and X. axonopodis pv. glycines. Based on these results, a primer set(XOF and XOR) was designed for the specific detection of hpaA in X. o. pv. oryzae. The length of PCR products amplified using the primer set was 534-bp. The PCR product was detected from only X. o. pv. oryzae among other Xanthomonas strains and reference bacteria. This product was used to confirm the conservation of hpaA among Xanthomonas strains by Southern-blotting. Furthermore, PCR amplification with XOF and XOR was used to detect the pathogen in an artificially infected leaf. The sensitivity of PCR detection in the pure culture suspension was also determined. This PCR-based detection methods will be a useful method for the detection and identification of X. o. pv. oryzae as well as disease forecasting.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.287-295
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• 2017

Since Google's AlphaGo defeated a world champion of Go players in 2016, there have been many interests in the deep learning. In the financial sector, a Robo-Advisor using deep learning gains a significant attention, which builds and manages portfolios of financial instruments for investors.In this paper, we have proposed the a deep learning algorithm geared toward identification and forecast of the KOSPI index direction,and we also have compared the accuracy of the prediction.In an application of forecasting the financial market index direction, we have shown that the Robo-Advisor using deep learning has a significant effect on finance industry. The Robo-Advisor collects a massive data such as earnings statements, news reports and regulatory filings, analyzes those and recommends investors how to view market trends and identify the best time to purchase financial assets. On the other hand, the Robo-Advisor allows businesses to learn more about their customers, develop better marketing strategies, increase sales and decrease costs.