• Title/Summary/Keyword: MCAR

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Drought Analysis of Nakdong River Basin Based on Multivariate Stochastic Models (다변량 추계학적 모형을 이용한 낙동강 유역의 가뭄해석에 관한 연구)

  • Heo, Jun-Haeng;Kim, Gyeong-Deok;Jo, Won-Cheol
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.155-163
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    • 1997
  • In this study, drought analysis of annual flows of Jindong, Hyunpoong, and Waekwan stations located at Nakdong River Basins was performed based on multivariate stochastic models. The stochastic models used were multivariate autoregressive model (MAR) and multivariate contemporaneous (MCAR) model. MCAR(1) and MAR(1) models were selected to be a appropriate models for these stations based on skewness test of normality, test of uncorrelated residuals, and correlograms of the residual series of each model. The statistics generated by MCAR(1) model and MAR(1) model resembled very closely those computed from historical series. The drought characteristics such as run len호, run sum, and run intensity were fairly well reproduced for the various lengths of generated annual flows based on the MCAR(1) and MAR(1) models. Thus, these drought characteristics may give the important informations in planning mid or long term water supplying systems.

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Non-identifiability and testability of missing mechanisms in incomplete two-way contingency tables

  • Park, Yousung;Oh, Seung Mo;Kwon, Tae Yeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.307-314
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    • 2021
  • We showed that any missing mechanism is reproduced by EMAR or MNAR with equal fit for observed likelihood if there are non-negative solutions of maximum likelihood equations. This is a generalization of Molenberghs et al. (2008) and Jeon et al. (2019). Nonetheless, as MCAR becomes a nested model of MNAR, a natural question is whether or not MNAR and MCAR are testable by using the well-known three statistics, LR (Likelihood ratio), Wald, and Score test statistics. Through simulation studies, we compared these three statistics. We investigated to what extent the boundary solution affect tesing MCAR against MNAR, which is the only testable pair of missing mechanisms based on observed likelihood. We showed that all three statistics are useful as long as the boundary proximity is far from 1.

A Convergence Study on Music-color Association Responses of People with Visual Impairment Mediated by Emotion (시각장애인의 정서 기반 음악-색채 연합에 대한 융복합적 연구)

  • Park, Hye-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.313-321
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was to examine music-color association response(MCAR) of people with visual impairment through music-emotion scale and music-color scale. The study was conducted on 60 participants(30 congenital/ 30 adventitious) who are using services of two welfare centers at S and B cities. For this, four basic emotions (happiness, sadness, anger, and fear) mediated by music were selected, and MCAR to emotion-inducing music were analyzed through self-report method. As a result, first, there were found contrasts in MCAR between happiness and sadness according to type of emotion, however, similar in anger and fear. Second, in MCAR among three variables of the music-emotion scale(valence, arousal and intensity), valence was congruent with MCAR according to type of emotion, arousal marked high scores in negative emotions, and scores of intensity in happiness and sadness were higher than those in anger and fear. Third, there were no significant differences between two groups of people with congenital and adventitious visual impairments. It is meaningful that this study showed the MCAR can be mediated by music through investigating those of people with visual impairment.

A study to improve the accuracy of the naive propensity score adjusted estimator using double post-stratification method (나이브 성향점수보정 추정량의 정확성 향상을 위한 이중 사후층화 방법 연구)

  • Leesu Yeo;Key-Il Shin
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.547-559
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    • 2023
  • Proper handling of nonresponse in sample survey improves the accuracy of the parameter estimation. Various studies have been conducted to properly handle MAR (missing at random) nonresponse or MCAR (missing completely at random) nonresponse. When nonresponse occurs, the PSA (propensity score adjusted) estimator is commonly used as a mean estimator. The PSA estimator is known to be unbiased when known sample weights and properly estimated response probabilities are used. However, for MNAR (missing not at random) nonresponse, which is affected by the value of the study variable, since it is very difficult to obtain accurate response probabilities, bias may occur in the PSA estimator. Chung and Shin (2017, 2022) proposed a post-stratification method to improve the accuracy of mean estimation when MNAR nonresponse occurs under a non-informative sample design. In this study, we propose a double post-stratification method to improve the accuracy of the naive PSA estimator for MNAR nonresponse under an informative sample design. In addition, we perform simulation studies to confirm the superiority of the proposed method.

Methods for Handling Incomplete Repeated Measures Data (불완전한 반복측정 자료의 보정방법)

  • Woo, Hae-Bong;Yoon, In-Jin
    • Survey Research
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2008
  • Problems of incomplete data are pervasive in statistical analysis. In particular, incomplete data have been an important challenge in repeated measures studies. The objective of this study is to give a brief introduction to missing data mechanisms and conventional/recent missing data methods and to assess the performance of various missing data methods under ignorable and non-ignorable missingness mechanisms. Given the inadequate attention to longitudinal studies with missing data, this study applied recent advances in missing data methods to repeated measures models and investigated the performance of various missing data methods, such as FIML (Full Information Maximum Likelihood Estimation) and MICE(Multivariate Imputation by Chained Equations), under MCAR, MAR, and MNAR mechanisms. Overall, the results showed that listwise deletion and mean imputation performed poorly compared to other recommended missing data procedures. The better performance of EM, FIML, and MICE was more noticeable under MAR compared to MCAR. With the non-ignorable missing data, this study showed that missing data methods did not perform well. In particular, this problem was noticeable in slope-related estimates. Therefore, this study suggests that if missing data are suspected to be non-ignorable, developmental research may underestimate true rates of change over the life course. This study also suggests that bias from non-ignorable missing data can be substantially reduced by considering rich information from variables related to missingness.

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Comparative Study on Imputation Procedures in Exponential Regression Model with missing values

  • Park, Young-Sool;Kim, Soon-Kwi
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.143-152
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    • 2003
  • A data set having missing observations is often completed by using imputed values. In this paper, performances and accuracy of five imputation procedures are evaluated when missing values exist only on the response variable in the exponential regression model. Our simulation results show that adjusted exponential regression imputation procedure can be well used to compensate for missing data, in particular, compared to other imputation procedures. An illustrative example using real data is provided.

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Imputation Procedures in Exponential Regression Analysis in the presence of missing values

  • Park, Young-Sool
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2003
  • A data set having missing observations is often completed by using imputed values. In this paper, performances and accuracy of five imputation procedures are evaluated when missing values exist only on the response variable in the exponential regression model. Our simulation results show that adjusted exponential regression imputation procedure can be well used to compensate for missing data, in particular, compared to other imputation procedures. An illustrative example using real data is provided.

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Imputation Procedures in Weibull Regression Analysis in the presence of missing values

  • Kim Soon-kwi;Jeong Bong-Bin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.143-148
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    • 2001
  • A dataset having missing observations is often completed by using imputed values. In this paper the performances and accuracy of complete case methods and four imputation procedures are evaluated when missing values exist only on the response variables in the Weibull regression model. Our simulation results show that compared to other imputation procedures, in particular, hotdeck and Weibull regression imputation procedure can be well used to compensate for missing data. In addition an illustrative real data is given.

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Pattern-Mixture Model of the Cox Proportional Hazards Model with Missing Binary Covariates (결측이 있는 이산형 공변량에 대한 Cox비례위험모형의 패턴-혼합 모델)

  • Youk, Tae-Mi;Song, Ju-Won
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.279-291
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    • 2012
  • When fitting a Cox proportional hazards model with missing covariates, it is inefficient to exclude observations with missing values in the analysis. Furthermore, if the missing-data mechanism is not Missing Completely At Random(MCAR), it may lead to biased parameter estimation. Many approaches have been suggested to handle the Cox proportional hazards model when covariates are sometimes missing, but they are based on the selection model. This paper suggest an approach to handle Cox proportional hazards model with missing covariates by using the pattern-mixture model (Little, 1993). The pattern-mixture model is expressed by the joint distribution of survival time and the missing-data mechanism. In the pattern-mixture model, many models can be considered by setting up various restrictions, and different results under various restrictions indicate the sensitivity of the model due to missing covariates. A simulation study was conducted to show the sensitivity of parameter estimation under different restrictions in a pattern-mixture model. The proposed approach was also applied to mouse leukemia data.

Bias corrected imputation method for non-ignorable non-response (무시할 수 없는 무응답에서 편향 보정을 이용한 무응답 대체)

  • Lee, Min-Ha;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.485-499
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    • 2022
  • Controlling the total survey error including sampling error and non-sampling error is very important in sampling design. Non-sampling error caused by non-response accounts for a large proportion of the total survey error. Many studies have been conducted to handle non-response properly. Recently, a lot of non-response imputation methods using machine learning technique and traditional statistical methods have been studied and practically used. Most imputation methods assume MCAR(missing completely at random) or MAR(missing at random) and few studies have been conducted focusing on MNAR (missing not at random) or NN(non-ignorable non-response) which cause bias and reduce the accuracy of imputation. In this study, we propose a non-response imputation method that can be applied to non-ignorable non-response. That is, we propose an imputation method to improve the accuracy of estimation by removing the bias caused by NN. In addition, the superiority of the proposed method is confirmed through small simulation studies.