• 제목/요약/키워드: Marginal Logit

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A marginal logit mixed-effects model for repeated binary response data

  • Choi, Jae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.413-420
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    • 2008
  • This paper suggests a marginal logit mixed-effects for analyzing repeated binary response data. Since binary repeated measures are obtained over time from each subject, observations will have a certain covariance structure among them. As a plausible covariance structure, 1st order auto-regressive correlation structure is assumed for analyzing data. Generalized estimating equations(GEE) method is used for estimating fixed effects in the model.

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Laplace-Metropolis알고리즘에 의한 다항로짓모형의 변수선택에 관한 연구 (Laplace-Metropolis Algorithm for Variable Selection in Multinomial Logit Model)

  • 김혜중;이애경
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.11-23
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    • 2001
  • This paper is concerned with suggesting a Bayesian method for variable selection in multinomial logit model. It is based upon an optimal rule suggested by use of Bayes rule which minimizes a risk induced by selecting the multinomial logit model. The rule is to find a subset of variables that maximizes the marginal likelihood of the model. We also propose a Laplace-Metropolis algorithm intended to suggest a simple method forestimating the marginal likelihood of the model. Based upon two examples, artificial data and empirical data examples, the Bayesian method is illustrated and its efficiency is examined.

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도시농업공원 조성에 대한 선호와 가치평가 (Valuation and Preference of Urban Agriculture Park using Choice Experiment)

  • 허주녕;김태곤
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.125-137
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    • 2013
  • The Purpose of this paper is to estimates consumers' willingness to pay for Urban Agriculture Park attributes. we analysis the marginal WTP by choice experiment method. Choice experiment (CE) is designed to elicit the marginal WTP differences among urban agriculture park attributes (garden scales, learning and experience area, leisure and relaxation area and fund). The results of multinomial logit model are meaningful, the total marginal WTP on the urban agriculture park attributes is 18,852 won. gardens scales is 2,949 won, learning and experience area is 11,284 won, leisure and relaxation area is 4,619 won. In the current laws, the facilities related to urban agriculture park is not. Taking advantage of the new urban agriculture park, Amendments of the law is required.

On an Optimal Bayesian Variable Selection Method for Generalized Logit Model

  • Kim, Hea-Jung;Lee, Ae Kuoung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.617-631
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    • 2000
  • This paper is concerned with suggesting a Bayesian method for variable selection in generalized logit model. It is based on Laplace-Metropolis algorithm intended to propose a simple method for estimating the marginal likelihood of the model. The algorithm then leads to a criterion for the selection of variables. The criterion is to find a subset of variables that maximizes the marginal likelihood of the model and it is seen to be a Bayes rule in a sense that it minimizes the risk of the variable selection under 0-1 loss function. Based upon two examples, the suggested method is illustrated and compared with existing frequentist methods.

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On a Bayes Criterion for the Goodness-of-Link Test for Binary Response Regression Models : Probit Link versus Logit Link

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.261-276
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    • 1997
  • In the context of binary response regression, the problem of constructing Bayesian goodness-of-link test for testing logit link versus probit link is considered. Based upon the well known facts that cdf of logistic variate .approx. cdf of $t_{8}$/.634 and, as .nu. .to. .infty., cdf of $t_{\nu}$ approximates to that of N(0,1), Bayes factor is derived as a test criterion. A synthesis of the Gibbs sampling and a marginal likelihood estimation scheme is also proposed to compute the Bayes factor. Performance of the test is investigated via Monte Carlo study. The new test is also illustrated with an empirical data example.e.

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실험선택분석을 이용한 쌀의 소비자 선호 분석 (Using Choice Experiments Methods to Estimate Consumer Preference of Rice)

  • 유진채;정윤희;공기서
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.135-150
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    • 2009
  • This paper was to use choice experiments in the analysis of consumer choice behavior and preferences for five different attributes(the origin of rice, a quality certificate, a quality control, a traceability system, the price of rice) in Cheongju City. Completed surveys yielded 712 responses which were analyzed using the conditional logit model to analyze the marginal willingness to pay of the four attributes(the origin of rice, a quality certificate, a quality control and a traceability system) per household and estimated the marginal willingness to pay of the set of feasible options. The result of this study can be used as a guide for the rice industry in the design of possible labeling schemes.

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반복측정의 다가 반응자료에 대한 일반화된 주변 로짓모형 (A Generalized Marginal Logit Model for Repeated Polytomous Response Data)

  • 최재성
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.621-630
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    • 2008
  • 본 논문은 개체의 특성으로 다가의 명목형 반응변수가 반복측정 요인인 시간요인에 의해 주기적으로 반복측정 되었을 때, 자료를 분석하기 위한 모형으로 일반화된 주변 로짓모형을 논의하고 있다. 다가의 반응변수에 영향을 미치는 공변량중 일부가 처치로써 상대적으로 큰 크기의 실험단위에 배정되고 반복측정 요인인 시간요인의 수준들이 또한 처치요인으로 비확률화에 의해 상대적으로 작은 크기의 실험단위에 배정될 때 이를 고려한 모형구축과정과 예상되는 공분산 구조의 가정하에서 모수를 추정하기 위한 방법으로 가중최소제곱 방법을 이용할 수 있음을 제시하고 있다.

농촌마을 정주환경분석을 통한 과소마을 임계규모 결정지표 개발 (Development of the Marginal Scale of Rural Over-Depopulated Village by Analysing the Rural Residential Conditions)

  • 배연정;이지민;서교;이정재
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.109-122
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    • 2013
  • The rapid rural urban migration and aging has generated an over-depopulation problems in rural areas since the 1980s. The purpose of this study constructs the marginal size of rural over-depopulated village through the analysis of the residential disparities such as farmer's ratio, basic life service accessibility, and levels of social and economic factors for each village community. This marginal scale could support evaluating diverse rural policies, which have been planned to apply to the rural development programs at the village level. The major challenges for over-depopulated villages are the lack of basic facilities, production infrastructures and inactive communities in the village. Therefore, the quantitative analysis of rural residential disparities according to rural village scale can provide the criteria for rural over-depopulated villages. We utilized Korea Agricultural Survey Data(2010) including specific residential condition of village level. The present study adopt multinomial-logit model for quantitative analysis of different village scales and decomposition techniques to separate the direct effect by the village scale factor from the endowment effects by regional or area characteristics, and residual effect by unknown factors. The present study found that the minimum scale of a rural over-depopulated village was 40 and 60 houses for the respective conditions of farmer's ratios less than 50% and greater than 75%. It was concluded based on the study findings that threshold scale could support evaluating the diverse rural policies, which have been planned to apply to the rural development programs at the village level.

대학 정보공시 데이터베이스(DB)를 활용한 자율개선대학선정 예측에 관한 실증연구 (An Empirical Study on the Analysis Model for Self Powered University Selection using University Information DB)

  • 채동우;전병훈;정군오
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.97-116
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    • 2021
  • Due to the decrease in the school-age population and government regulations, universities have made great efforts to secure their own competitiveness. In particular, the selection of universities with financial support based on the recent evaluation of the Ministry of Education has become a major concern enough to affect the existence of the university itself. This paper extracts three-year data from 124 major private universities nationwide, and quantitatively analyzes the variables of major universities selected as self-improvement universities, competency reinforcement universities, and universities with limited financial support. As a result of estimating the selection of self-powered universities using the ordered logit model by hierarchically inputting 12 variables, student competitiveness in the metropolitan area (1.318**), Educational Restitution Rate (4.078***), University operation expenditure index rate (1.088***) values were found. Significant positive coefficient values were found in the admission enrollment rate (45.98***) and the enrollment rate (13.25***). As a result of analyzing the marginal effects, the increase in the rate of reduction of education costs has always been positive in the selection of self-powered universities, but it was observed that the rate of increase decreases in areas of increase of 150% or more. On the contrary, the probability of becoming a Em-powered university was negative in all sectors, but on the contrary, it was analyzed that marginal effects increased at the same time point. On the other hand, the employment rate of graduates was not able to find direct significance with the result of the selection of Self powered universities. Through this paper, it is expected that each university will analyze the possibility and shortcomings of the selection of Self powered universities in policy making, and in particular, the risk of dropout of selection for the vulnerable field can be predicted using marginal effects. It can be used as major research data for both university evaluators, university officials and students.

대중교통 이용자의 환승교통수단선택 행태분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on Users' Travel Behavior Analysis of Transit Transfer)

  • 이상혁;김재석;김민석;우용한
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.147-157
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 개별형태모형 중에서 다항로짓모형을 이용하여 대구시의 대중교통 이용자를 대상으로 한 환승교통수단선택모형을 구축한 것이다. 다항로짓모형 추정을 위해 사용된 종속변수는 버스${\leftrightarrow}$버스, 버스${\leftrightarrow}$지하철, 지하철${\leftrightarrow}$지하철, 버스${\leftrightarrow}$기타교통수단, 지하철${\leftrightarrow}$기타교통수단의 5가지 유형을 사용하였고, 환승교통 수단선택에 영향을 미칠 것으로 예상되는 설명변수로는 성별, 나이, 교통주체, 통행목적, 환승지역, 통행비용, 통행시간의 7가지를 사용하였다. 구축한 다항로짓모형을 이용하여 주어진 설명변수의 값에 대한 환승확률을 산정하였고, 모형의 적합도를 나타내는 ${\rho}^2$는 0.354로서 적합하게 나타났다. 설명변수(통행시간, 통행비용)값의 변화에 따른 확률변화를 가지고 한계효과를 분석하였다. 통행시간에 따른 환승의 한계효과는 통행시간이 증가하면 할수록 버스${\leftrightarrow}$버스, 버스${\leftrightarrow}$지하철의 이용객들이 지하철${\leftrightarrow}$지하철로 전환되는 것으로 분석되었으며, 통행요금에 따른 환승의 한계효과 분석에서는 버스${\leftrightarrow}$버스, 버스${\leftrightarrow}$지하철의 이용요금이 증가함에 따라 버스 및 지하철${\leftrightarrow}$기타교통수단으로의 전환이 증가하는 것으로 분석되었다.