• Title/Summary/Keyword: Metamodel Validation

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Validation Technique using variance and confidence interval of metamodel (근사모델의 분산과 신뢰구간을 이용한 모델의 정확도 평가법)

  • Han, In-Sik;Lee, Yong-Bin;Choi, Dong-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.1169-1175
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    • 2008
  • The validation technique is classified with two methods whether to demand of additional experimental points. The method which requires additional experimental points such as RSME is actually impossible in engineering field. Therefore, the method which only use experimented points such as the cross validation technique is only available. But the cross validation not only requires considerable computational costs for generating metamodel each iterations, but also cannot measure quantitatively the fidelity of metamodel. In this research we propose a new validation technique for representative metamodels using an variance of metamodel and confidence interval information. The proposed validation technique computes confidence intervals using a variance information from the metamodel. This technique will have influence on choosing the accurate metamodel, constructing ensemble of each metamodels and advancing effectively sequential sampling technique.

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Sensitivity Validation Technique for Sequential Kriging Metamodel (순차적 크리깅 메타모델의 민감도 검증법)

  • Huh, Seung-Kyun;Lee, Jin-Min;Lee, Tae-Hee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.36 no.8
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    • pp.873-879
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    • 2012
  • Metamodels have been developed with a variety of design optimization techniques in the field of structural engineering over the last decade because they are efficient, show excellent prediction performance, and provide easy interconnections into design frameworks. To construct a metamodel, a sequential procedure involving steps such as the design of experiments, metamodeling techniques, and validation techniques is performed. Because validation techniques can measure the accuracy of the metamodel, the number of presampled points for an accurate kriging metamodel is decided by the validation technique in the sequential kriging metamodel. Because the interpolation model such as the kriging metamodel based on computer experiments passes through responses at presampled points, additional analyses or reconstructions of the metamodels are required to measure the accuracy of the metamodel if existing validation techniques are applied. In this study, we suggest a sensitivity validation that does not require additional analyses or reconstructions of the metamodels. Fourteen two-dimensional mathematical problems and an engineering problem are illustrated to show the feasibility of the suggested method.

Candidate Points and Representative Cross-Validation Approach for Sequential Sampling (후보점과 대표점 교차검증에 의한 순차적 실험계획)

  • Kim, Seung-Won;Jung, Jae-Jun;Lee, Tae-Hee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.31 no.1 s.256
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    • pp.55-61
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    • 2007
  • Recently simulation model becomes an essential tool for analysis and design of a system but it is often expensive and time consuming as it becomes complicate to achieve reliable results. Therefore, high-fidelity simulation model needs to be replaced by an approximate model, the so-called metamodel. Metamodeling techniques include 3 components of sampling, metamodel and validation. Cross-validation approach has been proposed to provide sequnatially new sample point based on cross-validation error but it is very expensive because cross-validation must be evaluated at each stage. To enhance the cross-validation of metamodel, sequential sampling method using candidate points and representative cross-validation is proposed in this paper. The candidate and representative cross-validation approach of sequential sampling is illustrated for two-dimensional domain. To verify the performance of the suggested sampling technique, we compare the accuracy of the metamodels for various mathematical functions with that obtained by conventional sequential sampling strategies such as maximum distance, mean squared error, and maximum entropy sequential samplings. Through this research we team that the proposed approach is computationally inexpensive and provides good prediction performance.

Mean-Variance-Validation Technique for Sequential Kriging Metamodels (순차적 크리깅모델의 평균-분산 정확도 검증기법)

  • Lee, Tae-Hee;Kim, Ho-Sung
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.541-547
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    • 2010
  • The rigorous validation of the accuracy of metamodels is an important topic in research on metamodel techniques. Although a leave-k-out cross-validation technique involves a considerably high computational cost, it cannot be used to measure the fidelity of metamodels. Recently, the mean$_0$ validation technique has been proposed to quantitatively determine the accuracy of metamodels. However, the use of mean$_0$ validation criterion may lead to premature termination of a sampling process even if the kriging model is inaccurate. In this study, we propose a new validation technique based on the mean and variance of the response evaluated when sequential sampling method, such as maximum entropy sampling, is used. The proposed validation technique is more efficient and accurate than the leave-k-out cross-validation technique, because instead of performing numerical integration, the kriging model is explicitly integrated to accurately evaluate the mean and variance of the response evaluated. The error in the proposed validation technique resembles a root mean squared error, thus it can be used to determine a stop criterion for sequential sampling of metamodels.

Preform Design of a Forged Punch by Approximate Optimization (근사 최적화 기법을 이용한 펀치 단조품의 예비성형체 설계)

  • Park, Sangkun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.7
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    • pp.4057-4064
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, attempts were made to design a preform for a final punch inexpensively using the proposed approximate optimization method or metamodel-based simulation optimization. The design objective of this work is to achieve a uniform distribution of effective strains, the angle dimension of the preformed punch is chosen as a design variable, and maximum underfill ratio is used as a constraint. For this optimization, a computer simulation of a practical punch forging process is run using DEFORM software, in which a preformed punch(workpiece), a master punch(upper die), and a bottom die are dealt with. A validation method is introduced to determine if the simulation results match the actual forging process. In addition, this work presents the detailed design optimization procedure consisting of (i) generation of an initial metamodel, (ii) metamodel optimization, (iii) validation of metamodel-predicted optimum, and (iv) metamodel improvement.

Meta-Validation for Consistency between UML Structural Diagram and Behavioral Diagram (UML 구조 다이어그램과 행위 다이어그램의 일관성 메타검증)

  • 하일규;강병욱
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.30 no.12
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    • pp.1158-1171
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    • 2003
  • The UML is a widely accepted standard in object-oriented modeling. As the UML is semantically rich, we can describe in detail the system that will be developed, but we cannot guarantee the correctness and consistency of the designed model. Therefore, it is important to minimize the error by verifying user models in an early stage. In this paper, we propose a method for verifying the consistency of UML structural diagrams and behavioral diagrams using OCL verification rules and meta-metamodel. The consistency is a nature for checking whether the structural diagrams and behavioral diagrams are coherently designed according to a specific requirement. First we build meta-metamodels of the structural diagram and behavioral diagram that are described with the UML diagrams and the related elements, we derive rules for verifying the consistency from each meta-metamodels, and then formally specify with the language such as OCL for automatic verification. Finally, we verify the usefulness of the rule through a case study.

METHOD FOR THE ANALYSIS OF TEMPORAL CHANGE OF PHYSICAL STRUCTURE IN THE INSTRUMENTATION AND CONTROL LIFE-CYCLE

  • Goring, Markus;Fay, Alexander
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.653-664
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    • 2013
  • The design of computer-based instrumentation and control (I&C) systems is determined by the allocation of I&C functions to I&C systems and components. Due to the characteristics of computer-based technology, component failures can negatively affect several I&C functions, so that the reliability proof of the I&C systems requires the accomplishment of I&C system design analyses throughout the I&C life-cycle. On one hand, this paper proposes the restructuring of the sequential IEC 61513 I&C life-cycle according to the V-model, so as to adequately integrate the concept of verification and validation. On the other hand, based on a metamodel for the modeling of I&C systems, this paper introduces a method for the modeling and analysis of the effects with respect to the superposition of failure combinations and event sequences on the I&C system design, i.e. the temporal change of physical structure is analyzed. In the first step, the method is concerned with the modeling of the I&C systems. In the second step, the method considers the analysis of temporal change of physical structure, which integrates the concepts of the diversity and defense-in-depth analysis, fault tree analysis, event tree analysis, and failure mode and effects analysis.