• 제목/요약/키워드: Overvaluation

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Business Strategy and Overvaluation: Evidence from Korea

  • CHA, Sangkwon;HWANG, Sunpil;KIM, Yibae
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to test the effect of business strategy on valuation error. Business strategy includes managerial decision making and managerial tendency. In previous research, there is a negative relationship between business strategy and accounting quality. In this study, we try to confirm whether strategy tendencies affected valuation errors. In order to confirm empirically between business strategy and overvaluation, we use 8,117 firms that between 2006 and 2017 and listed in KSE and KOSDAQ. We calculated business strategy which is introduced by Bentley, Omer, and Sharp (2013). We also used the overvaluation method introduced in Rhodes-Kropf, Robinson, and Viswanathan (2005). The results show that the more the leading business strategy is, the greater the value error becomes. In the case of dividing into leading and defensive companies, the lead firms showed a significant positive correlation with the valuation errors, while the defensive firms showed the negative relationship with overvaluation. This study examined the business strategy and the overvaluation. we confirmed whether the management strategy deepens the evaluation error caused by the firm characteristics. The results are meaningful that we extended the study on the quality of financial reporting of leading strategic firms.

The Impact of Overvaluation on Analysts' Forecasting Errors

  • CHA, Sang-Kwon;CHOI, Hyunji
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study investigated the effects of valuation errors on the capital market through the earnings forecasting errors of financial analysts. As a follow-up to Jensen (2005)'s study, which argued of agency cost of overvaluation, it was intended to analyze the effect of valuation errors on the earnings forecasting behavior of financial analysts. We hypothesized that if the manager tried to explain to the market that their firms are overvalued, the analysts' earnings forecasting errors would decrease. Research design, data and methodology: To this end, the analysis period was set from 2011 to 2018 of KOSPI and KOSDAQ-listed markets. For overvaluation, the study methodology of Rhodes-Kropf, Robinson, and Viswanathan (2005) was measured. The earnings forecasting errors of the financial analyst was measured by the accuracy and bias. Results: Empirical analysis shows that the accuracy and bias of analysts' forecasting errors decrease as overvaluation increase. Second, the negative relationship showed no difference, depending on the size of the auditor. Third, the results have not changed sensitively according to the listed market. Conclusions: Our results indicated that the valuation error lowered the financial analyst earnings forecasting errors. Considering that the greater overvaluation, the higher the compensation and reputation of the manager, it can be interpreted that an active explanation of the market can promote the accuracy of the financial analyst's earnings forecasts. This study has the following contributions when compared to prior research. First, the impact of valuation errors on the capital market was analyzed for the domestic capital market. Second, while there has been no research between valuation error and earnings forecasting by financial analysts, the results of the study suggested that valuation errors reduce financial analyst's earnings forecasting errors. Third, valuation error induced lower the earnings forecasting error of the financial analyst. The greater the valuation error, the greater the management's effort to explain the market more actively. Considering that the greater the error in valuation, the higher the compensation and reputation of the manager, it can be interpreted that an active explanation of the market can promote the accuracy of the financial analyst's earnings forecasts.

Real Exchange Rate Misalignment in Pakistan: An Application of Regime Switching Model

  • FIAZ, Asma;KHURSHID, Nabila;SATTI, Ahsan;MALIK, Muhammad Shuaib;MALIK, Wasim shahid
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권12호
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2021
  • This study investigates the key determinants of exchange rate (RER) misalignment for the period 1991 to 2020. The BEER technique has been used to estimate the degree of the equilibrium exchange rate. To explore the actual exchange rate misalignment and to assess the behavior of variables that are different in different regimes of undervaluation and overvaluation, the nonlinear technique of Markov regime-switching (MSM) was applied. The mean and variance of each regime are highly significant and show that undervaluation episodes have a low mean (116.139) and more volatility (1.229) while overvaluation episodes have a high mean (126.732) with less volatility (0.871). The findings show that MSM accurately identifies exchange rate misalignment in both regimes as separate incidents of overvaluation and undervaluation. Results further depict that misalignment of the RER is affected by terms of trade, net foreign assets, interest differential, government investment, and consumption decision. Results recommend that if policymakers want to use the exchange rate as a policy tool, they must first consider the drivers of the equilibrium exchange rate. As a result, any deliberate actions to address exchange rate misalignment must focus on the underlying fundamentals that drive the exchange rate.

Factors Affecting the Volatility of Post-IPO Stock Prices: Evidence from State-Owned Enterprises in Hanoi Stock Exchange

  • LE, Phuong Lan;THACH, Duc Khoi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권5호
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    • pp.409-419
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    • 2022
  • This paper examines the post-IPO price volatility in the first trading days after the IPO of SOEs that carry out equitization, on a sample of 76 IPOs on the Hanoi Stock Exchange (Vietnam) in the period 2013-2018. Oversubscription rate, firm size, issuance size, internal equity ownership, and listing delay are all factors that influence IPO price volatility in a primitive stock market. The results showed that the average initial market-adjusted return for the first three trading days was -11.95%; -9.58% and -7.29% and the level of price volatility is related to the rate of oversubscription and company size. Issuance price, issuance size, internal equity holdings, and listing delay do not seem to contribute significantly to post-IPO share prices. Individual investors based their valuation on information released during and after the IPO. In general, the number of IPOs that yield positive and negative returns in the first trading days is about the same, indicating that the two phenomena of undervaluation and overvaluation still occur in the process of valuing shares of Vietnamese SOEs for IPOs.

The Empirical Study of Relationship between Product Market Competition Structure and Overvaluation

  • CHA, Sang-Kwon;PARK, Mi-Hee
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.99-108
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This paper investigated the relationship between market competition and firm valuation error. Furthermore, Additional analyses were made according to the quality of financial reports and the listed market. Through the process we confirm to the impact of competition on the capital market. The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of competition on valuation errors. The preceding studies did not provide a consistent results of the effects of competing functions on the capital market. One view is that the competition could mitigate the information asymmetry, and the other is that monopolistic lessens the manager's involvement in financial reporting. This study is intended to expand the prior study by analyzing the impact of competition on the capital market and on the valuation of investors. Research design, data, and methodology: The analysis was conducted on 12,031 samples over 11 years from 2008 to 2018 using data from market in Korea. Here the valuation error was measured by the research methodology of Rhodes-Kropf, Robinson and Viswanathan (2005), and competition measured by Herfindahl-Hirschman Index multiplied by (-1), and Concentration Ratio by (-1). Results: We confirm that the positive relationship between competition and the valuation error. In addition, we also found that the positive relation between competition and valuation error was in cases of low discretionary accruals and the KOSDAQ market. This means that the net function of competition does not mitigate valuation errors. Conclusions. This study has the following contributions when compared to prior research. First, the relevance between the level of competition and the valuation of the entity was confirmed. The study by Haw, Hu and Lee (2015) suggested that monopolistic industry of analysts' forecast is more accurate due to lower the variability in earnings. This study magnified it to confirm that monopolistic lessen information uncertainty in valuation. Second, the study on valuation errors was expanded. While the study on the effect of valuation errors on the capital market is generally relatively active, it is different that competition degree has analyzed the effect on valuation errors amid the lack of research on the effect on valuation errors.

The Impact of China Exchange Rate Policy on its Trading Partners: Evidence Based on the GVAR Model

  • ABBAS, Shah;NGUYEN, Van Chien;YANFU, Zhu;NGUYEN, Huu Tinh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권8호
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    • pp.131-141
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    • 2020
  • This study is designed to investigate the impact of China exchange rate policy on its trading partners by using a country multi-dataset GVAR model. Our model includes samples of 30 countries, six from high-income, six from middle-income and eighteen from low-income countries. This study used annual time series data over the period 1992 to 2017. We constructed currency misalignment index and it provided some interesting features about the currency undervaluation and overvaluation. The results of the currency misalignment shows that China's Renminbi is structurally more undervalued over the sample period as compared to other countries, and fluctuation in major currencies effects the global trade around the world. The overall empirical results of the GVAR model indicate that RMB undervaluation affects the trade pattern and macroeconomic performance of China's trading partners. Overall, China's exchange rate undervaluation has mixed effects on trading partner's GDP, exports and imports. The devaluation of China's RMB efficiently stimulated China's exports and reduced imports. While, in some countries, this effect is reverse, the RMB undervaluation increases the GDP of partner countries and also increases their exports to China. The results confirm the strong and leading role of the Chinese Renminbi in the global trade.

Does Individual Investors' Sentiment Explain Japanese IPO Aftermarket Performance?

  • CHE-YAHYA, Norliza;MATSUURA, Yoshiyuki
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.1079-1090
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    • 2021
  • This study examines the influence of individual investors' sentiment on Japanese IPO aftermarket performance (measured by return and trading volume on the first trading day and return on the first trading year). This study proposes that IPOs will be, on average overpriced on the listing day when individual investors' sentiment is highly optimistic. Higher initial return and trading volume are expected in IPOs with higher investors' optimism. Further, the positive initial return will occur in the short term as individual investors usually are uninformed investors who demand shares based on their personal preferences, which will last only in a short period. Following the overvaluation hypothesis, price reversals should be predicted once the effect of individual investors' optimism has disappeared, causing the IPOs to underperform in the long term. Using 520 Japanese IPOs issued from January 2010 to December 2019, this study reveals that individual investors' sentiment is positively and significantly related to returns and trading volume on the first trading day. Return reversals are found on the first trading year despite the insignificant influence of individual investors' sentiment on IPO return on the first trading year.

조경기술사 시험의 출제경향 - 현행 기출문제에 대한 수험생의 인식정도를 중심으로 - (Tendencies in Question Development on the Professional Landscape Architect Qualification Examination - Centered on Recognition of Test-Takers for Sample Questions from Previous Professional Landscape Architect Tests -)

  • 강현구;김학범
    • 한국조경학회지
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    • 제38권5호
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    • pp.42-52
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 조경기술사 검정제도의 출제문제에 대하여 수험생들이 인식하는 체감 정도, 즉 문제의 객관성, 적정성, 난이도 등 출제되는 문제의 전반에 대한 경향을 분석 제언하여 검정제도가 학술적, 체계적으로 개선됨으로써, 조경기술사 검정제도의 정착과 조경기술사 자격의 위상 확립, 산업현장에서의 조경분야 지위 향상 등 전반적인 조경발전을 목적으로 이번 연구를 실시하였다. 조사방법은 두 단계로 나누어 전문가 집단을 활용하여 출제되는 과목 및 과목의 배정에 관한 사항을 조사하였고, 수험생 및 자격취득자를 대상으로 출제문제의 수준, 객관성, 난이도, 출제경향 등 출제되는 문제의 전반에 대해 설문조사를 실시하였다. 분석결과, 먼저 조경기술사 검정 시 출제되는 과목이 국가기술자격법 시행규칙에 제시된 시험과목과는 달리 출제되고 있었으며, 과목배정, 시험문제의 객관성, 수준, 난이도 등에서 다양한 문제점을 내포하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 문제점의 원인은 여러 가지 요인이 있겠지만 충분한 검토 없이 문제출제, 출제위원의 관리 미흡 등 현재 진행되고 있는 검정제도의 시스템을 운영하는데 문제가 있지 않나 판단된다. 따라서 이러한 문제점을 보완하기 위해 '출제되는 시험과목의 정비', '적정한 과목 배정 및 문제의 객관성 확보', '출제문제의 수준 및 난이도 유지', '출제 시스템 개선'등에 대하여 관련부처나 단체에서는 효율적인 개선노력이 필요함을 제언하였다.