• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제53권8호
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• pp.2523-2533
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• 2021

In the last decade, the best estimate plus uncertainty methodologies in nuclear technology and nuclear power plant design have become a trending topic in the nuclear field. Since BEPU was allowed for licensing purposes by the most important regulator bodies, different uncertainty assessment methods have become popular, overall non-parametric methods. While non-parametric tolerance regions can be well stated and used in uncertainty quantification for licensing purposes, the propagation of the uncertainty through different codes (multi-scale, multiphysics) in cascade needs a better depiction of uncertainty than the one provided by the tolerance regions or a probability distribution. An alternative method based on the parametric or distributional probability boxes is used to perform uncertainty quantification and propagation regarding statistic uncertainty from one code to another. This method is sample-size independent and allows well-defined tolerance intervals for uncertainty quantification, manageable for uncertainty propagation. This work characterizes the distributional p-boxes behavior on uncertainty quantification and uncertainty propagation through nested random sampling.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 1997년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집; 한국전력공사 서울연수원; 17-18 Oct. 1997
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• pp.293-296
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• 1997

Robust stability conditions for discrete-time variable structure control is proposed. Conventionally the discrete-time variable structure control method with a variable structure uncertainty compensator approach requires a bounded changing rate of the uncertainties to ensure robust stability. However, when uncertainties vary as a function of state variables, which occur with parametric uncertainties, it is not reasonable to assume a bounded variation on the uncertainties. In this paper, uncertainties are assumed to consist of exogenous disturbances and parametric uncertainties. An uncertainty compensator is used to deal with the former, and a robust stability condition is derived using Small Gain Theorem for the latter.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제38권12호
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• pp.1051-1060
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• 2005

본 연구에서는 관악산 레이더 자료로부터 소양강 유역에서 최적 추정된 레이더 강우로 준분포형 TOPMODEL의 적용성을 평가하고 Monte Carlo난수발생 기법과 연계한 앙상블 유량모의 기법을 구축하여 레이더 추정강우가 가질 수 있는 불확실성이 수문모형에 미치는 영향을 모형의 매개변수와 연계하여 분석하였다. 레이더 추정강우를 활용하여 소양강 유역의 유량계산을 2003년 7월의 사례기간 동안 수행한 결과 실시간 편차보정 기법으로 수정된 레이더 입력강우의 경우 관측유량과 비교하여 매우 잘 일치하는 것으로 나타나 레이더 추정강우의 수문학적 활용성은 매우 높은 것으로 판단된다. 불확실성 분석에서는 레이더 강우가 가질 수 있는 불확실성이 수문모형의 매개변수 불확실성보다 덜 민감하게 영향을 미치는 것으로 검토되었고 레이더 강우와 매개변수가 혼합된 불확실성이 유량모의에서 가장 큰 오차를 보일 수 있는 것으로 검토되었다.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제49권1호
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• pp.60-67
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• 2012

This study considers the numerical analysis on parametric roll for container ships. As a method of numerical simulation, an impulse-response-function approach is applied in time domain. A systematic study is carried out for the parametric roll of two container ships, particularly observing the sensitivity of computational results to some parameters which can affect the analysis of parametric roll. The parameters to be considered are metacentric height (GM), simulation time window, and the discretization of wave spectrum. Based on the result of parametric roll simulation, numerical sensitivity and uncertainty in computational analysis are discussed.

• Coupled systems mechanics
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• 제6권4호
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• pp.487-499
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• 2017

This paper investigates the approximate solution bounds of radon diffusion equation in soil pore matrix coupled with uncertainty. These problems have been modeled by few researchers by considering the parameters as crisp, which may not give the correct essence of the uncertainty. Here, the interval uncertainties are handled by parametric form and solution of the relevant uncertain diffusion equation is found by using Galerkin's Method. The shape functions are taken as the linear combination of orthogonal polynomials which are generated based on the parametric form of the interval uncertainty. Uncertain bounds are computed and results are compared in special cases viz. with the crisp solution.

• 한국항공우주학회지
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• 제42권3호
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• pp.243-253
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• 2014

본 논문은 플랜트 파라미터의 불확실성에도 불구하고 강인성을 보장하는 정량적 궤환 이론에 대해 다루고 있다. 정량적 궤환 이론은 플랜트의 파라미터와 외란의 불확실성에 대해 주파수 영역에서 설계 사양의 강인성을 보장한다. 정량적 궤환 이론을 이용하기 위해 선정한 플랜트는 기동성이 뛰어나며 헬리콥터와 같이 수직 이착륙이 가능한 4-회전익 비행체를 이용하였으며, 4개의 블레이드를 구동하는 모터의 파라미터 불확실성을 설정하여 요구사양에 맞는 자세 제어가 가능함을 실험하였다. 또한, 자세 제어에는 4-회전익 비행체의 파라미터 변동 범위와 동작 범위를 고려한 전필터를 사용하였다. 이를 위해 MATLAB에서 정량적 궤환 이론에 의해 제어기를 설계할 수 있는 QFT control toolbox인 QFTCT를 사용하여 각 설계 단계에 대해 소개하고 있다.

• 대한수의학회지
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• 제47권2호
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• pp.259-263
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• 2007

The choice of input distribution in quantitative risk assessments modeling is of great importance to get unbiased overall estimates, although it is difficult to characterize them in situations where data available are too sparse or small. The present study is particularly concerned with accommodation of uncertainties commonly encountered in the practice of modeling. The authors applied parametric and non-parametric bootstrap simulation methods which consist of re-sampling with replacement, in together with the classical Student-t statistics based on the normal distribution. The implications of these methods were demonstrated through an empirical analysis of trade volume from the amount of chicken and pork meat imported to Korea during the period of 1998-2005. The results of bootstrap method were comparable to the classical techniques, indicating that bootstrap can be an alternative approach in a specific context of trade volume. We also illustrated on what extent the bias corrected and accelerated non-parametric bootstrap method produces different estimate of interest, as compared by non-parametric bootstrap method.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제43권2호
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• pp.175-186
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• 2011

Previous evaluations of the safety of the Ulchin Nuclear Power Plant in the event of a tsunami have the shortcoming of uncertainty of the tsunami sources. To address this uncertainty, maximum and minimum wave heights at the intake of Ulchin NPP have been estimated through a parametric study, and then assessment of the safety margin for the intake has been carried out. From the simulation results for the Ulchin NPP site, it can be seen that the coefficient of eddy viscosity considerably affects wave height at the inside of the breakwater. In addition, assessment of the safety margin shows that almost all of the intake water pumps have a safety margin over 2 m, and Ulchin NPP site seems to be safe in the event of a tsunami according to this parametric study, although parts of the CWPs rarely have a margin for the minimum wave height.

• 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국소음진동공학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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• pp.251-257
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• 2007

For the modern aircraft, uncertainty has bee an important issue to its aeroelastic stability. Therefore, many researches have been conducted regarding this topic. The uncertainties in the aeroelastic system amy consist of the structural and aerodynamic uncertainty. In this paper, we suggest a parametric uncertainty modeling and conduct the aeroelastic stability analysis of a typical wing including the uncertainty.

• 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
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• 제49권10호
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• pp.563-571
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• 2000

In this paper, a nonlinear adaptive control method for an EMS(Electro-Magnetic Suspension) system with mass uncertainty is proposed. Using the coordinate transformation and feedback linearizing control, EMS system has been transformed into the form of parametric strict-feedback system with unknown virtual control coefficients. With this transformed system, tuning functions approach, which is an advanced from of adaptive backstepping, has been applied in order to stabilize the system against mass uncertainty. Computer simulation is also carried out in order to compare the performance of the proposed controller with that of feedback linerizing controller.