• 제목/요약/키워드: Poisson law

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Equivalence-Singularity Dichotomies of Gaussian and Poisson Processes from The Kolmogorov's Zero-One Law

  • Park, Jeong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.367-378
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    • 1994
  • Let P and Q be probability measures of a measurable space $(\Omega, F)$, and ${F_n}_{n \geq 1}$ be a sequence of increasing sub $\sigma$-fields which generates F. For each $n \geq 1$, let $P_n$ and $Q_n$ be the restrictions of P and Q to $F_n$, respectively. Under the assumption that $Q_n \ll P_n$ for every $n \geq 1$, a zero-one condition is derived for P and Q to have the dichotomy, i.e., either $Q \ll P$ or $Q \perp P$. Then using this condition and the Kolmogorov's zero-one law, we give new and simple proofs of the dichotomy theorems for a pair of Gaussian measures and Poisson processes with examples.

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Properties of the Poisson-power Function Distribution

  • Kim, Joo-Hwan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.166-175
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    • 1995
  • When a neutral particle beam(NPB) aimed at the object and receive a small number of neutron signals at the detector without any errors, it obeys Poisson law. Under the two assumptions that neutral particle scattering distribution and aiming errors have a circular Gaussian distributions that neutral particle scattering distribution and aiming errors have a circular Gaussian distribution respectively, an exact probability distribution of neutral particles vecomes a Poisson-power function distribution. We study and prove some properties, such as limiting distribution, unimodality, stochastical ordering, computational recursion fornula, of this distribution. We also prove monotone likelihood ratio(MLR) property of this distribution. Its MLR property can be used to find a criteria for the hypothesis testing problem.

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A New Method of Collision Mode Evolution for Three-Dimensional Rigid Body Impact With Friction

  • Park, Jong-Hoon;Chung, Wan-Kyun;Youm, Young-Il
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2004년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.1769-1775
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    • 2004
  • In presence of collision between two rigid bodies, they exhibit impulsive behavior to generate physically feasible state. When the frictional impulse is involved, collision resolution can not be easily made based on a simple Newton's law or Poisson's law, mainly due to possible change of collision mode during collision, For example, sliding may change to sticking, and then sliding resumes. We first examine two conventional methods: the method of mode evolution by differential equation, and the other by linear complementarity programming. Then, we propose a new method for mode evolution by solving only algebraic equations defining mode changes. Further, our method attains the original nonlinear impulse cone constraint. The numerical simulation will elucidate the advantage of the proposed method as an alternative to conventional ones.

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A Bayesian Inference for Power Law Process with a Single Change Point

  • Kim, Kiwoong;Inkwon Yeo;Sinsup Cho;Kim, Jae-Joo
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2004
  • The nonhomogeneous poisson process (NHPP) is often used to model repairable systems that are subject to a minimal repair strategy, with negligible repair times. In this situation, the system can be characterized by its intensity function. There have been many NHPP models according to intensity functions. However, the intensity function of system in use can be changed because of repair or its aging. We consider the single change point model as the modification of the power law process. The shape parameter of its intensity function is changed before and after the change point. We detect the presence of the change point using Bayesian methodology. Some numerical results are also presented.

Analytical Studies on Basic Creep of Concrete under Multiaxial Stresses

  • Kwon, Seung-Hee;Kim, Jin-Keun
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2003년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.465-472
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    • 2003
  • Creep Poisson's ratio reported by previous experimental studies on multiaxial creep of concrete was controversial. The Poisson's ratio is very sensitive to small experimental error that is inevitably induced, and the sensitivity may cause the controversy. It is difficulty to find out the properties on multiaxial creep of concrete. Therefore, a new approach method to analyze the test results is needed to precisely understand the properties on multiaxial creep of concrete. In this study, microplane model is used as a new approach method in analyzing the multiaxial creep test data. The six data sets extracted from the literature are fitted from regression analysis. Double-power law as a model representing volumetric and deviatoric creep evolutions on microplane is used, and six parameters in volumetric and deviatoric compliances are determined on the assumption that the volumetric and deviatoric creep strains are linearly proportional to corresponding stresses. The optimum fits give very accurate description of the test data. The Poisson's ratio calculated from the optimum fits varies with time and does not depends on the stress states, namely, uniaxial, biaxial, and triaxial stress states. Regression analysis is also performed on the assumption that the Poisson's ratio remains constant with titre. The constant Poisson's ratio can be use in practice without serious error.

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SOME RESULTS ON ASYMPTOTIC BEHAVIORS OF RANDOM SUMS OF INDEPENDENT IDENTICALLY DISTRIBUTED RANDOM VARIABLES

  • Hung, Tran Loc;Thanh, Tran Thien
    • 대한수학회논문집
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.119-128
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    • 2010
  • Let ${X_n,\;n\geq1}$ be a sequence of independent identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables (r.vs.), defined on a probability space ($\Omega$,A,P), and let ${N_n,\;n\geq1}$ be a sequence of positive integer-valued r.vs., defined on the same probability space ($\Omega$,A,P). Furthermore, we assume that the r.vs. $N_n$, $n\geq1$ are independent of all r.vs. $X_n$, $n\geq1$. In present paper we are interested in asymptotic behaviors of the random sum $S_{N_n}=X_1+X_2+\cdots+X_{N_n}$, $S_0=0$, where the r.vs. $N_n$, $n\geq1$ obey some defined probability laws. Since the appearance of the Robbins's results in 1948 ([8]), the random sums $S_{N_n}$ have been investigated in the theory probability and stochastic processes for quite some time (see [1], [4], [2], [3], [5]). Recently, the random sum approach is used in some applied problems of stochastic processes, stochastic modeling, random walk, queue theory, theory of network or theory of estimation (see [10], [12]). The main aim of this paper is to establish some results related to the asymptotic behaviors of the random sum $S_{N_n}$, in cases when the $N_n$, $n\geq1$ are assumed to follow concrete probability laws as Poisson, Bernoulli, binomial or geometry.

BAYESIAN APPROACH TO MEAN TIME BETWEEN FAILURE USING THE MODULATED POWER LAW PROCESS

  • Na, Myung-Hwa;Kim, Moon-Ju;Ma, Lin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.41-47
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    • 2006
  • The Renewal process and the Non-homogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) process are probably the most popular models for describing the failure pattern of repairable systems. But both these models are based on too restrictive assumptions on the effect of the repair action. For these reasons, several authors have recently proposed point process models which incorporate both renewal type behavior and time trend. One of these models is the Modulated Power Law Process (MPLP). The Modulated Power Law Process is a suitable model for describing the failure pattern of repairable systems when both renewal-type behavior and time trend are present. In this paper we propose Bayes estimation of the next failure time after the system has experienced some failures, that is, Mean Time Between Failure for the MPLP model. Numerical examples illustrate the estimation procedure.

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A law of large numbers for maxima in $M/M/infty$ queues and INAR(1) processes

  • Park, Yoo-Sung;Kim, Kee-Young;Jhun, Myoung-Shic
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.483-498
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    • 1994
  • Suppose that a stationary process ${X_t}$ has a marginal distribution whose support consists of sufficiently large integers. We are concerned with some analogous law of large numbers for such distribution function F. In particular, we determine a weak law of large numbers for maximum queueing length in $M/M\infty$ system. We also present a limiting behavior for the maxima based on AR(1) process with binomial thining and poisson marginals (INAR(1)) introduced by E. Mckenzie. It turns out that the result of AR(1) process is the same as that of $M/M/\infty$ queueing process in limit when we observe the queues at regularly spaced intervals of time.

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Upside-Down 욕조 곡선 형태의 고장 강도를 가지는 세분화 모형 (A Segmented Model with Upside-Down Bathtub Shaped Failure Intensity)

  • 박우재;김상부
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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    • 제23권6_2호
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    • pp.1103-1110
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    • 2020
  • In this study, a segmented model with Upside-Down bathtub shaped failure intensity for a repairable system are proposed under the assumption that the occurrences of the failures of a repairable system follow the Non-Homogeneous Poisson Process. The proposed segmented model is the compound model of S-PLP and LIP (Segmented Power Law Process and Logistic Intensity Process), that fits the separate failure intensity functions on each segment of time interval. The maximum likelihood estimation is used for estimating the parameters of the S-PLP and LIP model. The case study of system A shows that the S-PLP and LIP model fits better than the other models when compared by AICc (Akaike Information Criterion corrected) and MSE (Mean Squared Error). And it also implies that the S-PLP and LIP model can be useful for explaining the failure intensities of similar systems.

복합 추세를 가지는 수리가능 시스템의 고장 데이터 모형화에 관한 연구 (Research for Modeling the Failure Data for a Repairable System with Non-monotonic Trend)

  • 문병민;배석주
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.121-130
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    • 2009
  • The power law process model the Rate of occurrence of failures(ROCOF) with monotonic trend during the operating time. However, the power law process is inappropriate when a non-monotonic trend in the failure data is observed. In this paper we deals with the reliability modeling of the failure process of large and complex repairable system whose rate of occurrence of failures shows the non-monotonic trend. We suggest a sectional model and a change-point test based on the Schwarz information criterion(SIC) to describe the non-monotonic trend. Maximum likelihood is also suggested to estimate parameters of sectional model. The suggested methods are applied to field data from an repairable system.

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