• Title/Summary/Keyword: Real estate PF

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A Study on the Effect of Delinquency Rate of Real Estate PF on Macroeconomic Variables (거시경제변수에 따른 부동산PF 연체율에 관한 연구)

  • Roh, Chi-Young;Kim, Hyung-Joo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.416-427
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    • 2018
  • As the loan size of real estate PF is huge, its market ripple effect gets bigger when overdue occurs. Accordingly, the management of the delinquency rate and macroeconomic analysis are required. As the preceding research mainly proceeded with microeconomic analysis through the real estate PF data of individual banks to evaluate importance of list or analyzed core factors for delinquency, it lacked research on comprehensive real estate PF size. In order to overcome the limitations of such data, this research studied real estate PF delinquency rate of the entire market and effect relationship by the size. The research utilized the size of real estate PF loans, money supply, interest rate, consumer price index(CPI), and GDP data. Also, it applied the first model of VECM as linear relationship between at least two or more variables, following the result of co-integration test. As a result of Granger-causality test, the real estate PF loans delinquency rate is influenced by their loan size, and as a result of impulse response analysis, the interest rate is shown to be affecting delinquency rate the most. Interest rate could risesomeday and aggravate the delinquency rate of real estate PF. Also, risk exposure could be serious as the loan size increases.Therefore, the management of real estate PF delinquency rate requires continuous monitoring, tracking and observing issued loans from a macro point of view. The plans to prevent delinquency will be necessary.

A Study on the Risk Management of Projects to which the Real Estate Project Finance (부동산 PF사업의 리스크 관리에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Chul;Lee, Jeong-Cheol;Lee, Chan-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.491-496
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    • 2008
  • In spite of economic slump, the Real Estate PF(project financing) market competes for receiving large project orders. While the project is successful, the Real Estate PF still guarantees a high benefit ratio. But the initial stage of the project involves many risks. There are many financial, constructional, legal, and other risks. After searching for possible risks, we must consider a management plan. This study executed a question investigating risk factors and management plans. Those who have studied for 3 or more years have concluded that the question objects are developer, construction company, and financial institution staff. The main management plans take actions for proper benefit rate security and loan repayment. This study has also been verified through the actual case. The study results will help solve the Real Estate PF project's risks.

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Development of Evaluation Criteria for Real Estate Development Projects (부동산 개발사업 평가기준 및 지표 개발)

  • Kim, Sung-Il;Bae, Yu-Jin;Chang, Chul-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.86-96
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    • 2015
  • Real estate market has rapidly grown by active use of project financing in the early 2000s. However, many projects have been in trouble due to global economic recession after that period. It is mainly because those projects were pushed forward a business without comprehensive business feasibility analysis. This paper investigated current evaluation system for real estate development projects and then introduced new evaluation system including evaluation factor and criteria for real estate development projects to prevent implementation of the project without business value and to be able to evaluate potential projects in objective manner. This new evaluation system for real estate development projects can be applied to any type of real estate development projects by modifying evaluation items and weighting factor in accordance with the type and characteristics of project. Through the new evaluation system, the evaluation process for real estate development projects will be able to be standardized, be consistent, and the results of evaluation can be accumulated in consistent way.

A Study on the Risk Management Strategy of the Large Scale Construction Company According to the Change of Real Estate Market (부동산시장 변화에 따른 대형건설사 리스크관리 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Yun-Hong;Ji, Kyu-Hyun
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2018
  • As the government announced Real Estate Policies on August 02, most areas except for Seoul cities face increasing business risks. Moreover, the government control over financial sectors' loan leads to the highly possible contraction of new distribution markets. The market trend could bring about the reduction of new demand in PF (Private Financing) business that large construction companies mainly concentrate on, and even the business already obtained has a high risk of being distributed, which could result in substantially low profitability. The currently unstable financial structure of most construction companies is caused by the hike of the prime cost of foreign plants except for that of a few construction companies. If PF (Private Financing) business also faces a difficult situation in such a financial condition, even large construction companies come to have the high possibility of a deficiency in credit rating. Accordingly, the major business that large construction companies concentrate on needs the sufficient business review. It is desirable to make a bid for business guaranteeing stability rather than business solely in consideration of profitability, when participating in a competition for a new construction contract.

Research on the Normalization Schemes for Insolvent Development Site on Mutual Savings Banks (상호저축은행 부실PF사업장 정상화 방안)

  • Shin, Jong-Chil;Baik, Min-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.195-204
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    • 2015
  • This study analyzed the normalization cases of the mutual savings bank insolvency PF (MSBIPF) to suggest the appropriate improvements according to the purpose. The results were as follows. First, the original intention to normalize the MSBIPF was unsuccessful. This may be caused by the daunting situation of the real estate market along with the complex and shared interests. On the other hand, it can be responsible for the lack of evidence and related regulations as well as the lukewarm attitude on public projects. Active institutional settings are warranted to compensate the remaining insolvent businesses to PF even today and in the future. The data related to the recognized sites as the poorest 32 PF sites was compared primarily to normalize by KAMCO and the relevant sites. The area variable was the only significant variable according to the correlation analysis and logit analysis. The direct investment, diverse PF-backed bonds and the activation of the Ritz can be suggested as alternative ways of normalization with respect to the issue of the KAMCO.

A Study on the Feasibility Improvement of the Real Estate Development by Using Project Financing Analytical Method in Korea (PF대출 분석기법을 활용한 부동산개발사업 사업성 평가 개선 연구)

  • Seo, Jeong-Jin
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.209-230
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    • 2014
  • There are three forms of REITs company in Korea that was first introduced in 2002. Each REITs have been listed on the KRX, its characteristics are different, but it is classified as a REITs company in all events. REITs current methods are applied uniformly manner that does not reflect the characteristics of the individual. REITs some, that is not seen unlike legislative intent, it is delisted, such as generating an investment loss of investors. In this study it is an object of the invention from the point of view of REITs business validity, to draw up operational support aggressive plans of the scheme. By improving the PF assesment system, to improve the relevance of REIT business and presenting policy direction to the activation of REITs. Through the sophistication of real estate finance utilizing REITs, policy for proper investment of general investors REITs funds were listed with the smooth flow must be realized. The results of this study, it can be utilized as basic data for policy to reflect the real estate policy for activation of the indirect financial investments.

A Study on the Scope of the Recognized Equity Capital of Developer in Real Estate Project Finance Loan Screening (부동산 PF를 위한 시행사의 자본금 인정범위에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Suhong;Jang, Hokwan;Lee, Sangyoub
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 2020
  • This study intends to explore the scope of the recognized equity capital of developer in real estate project finance loan screening. The factors which can be recognized as equity capital are categorized into 24 factors with 3 upper categories and 6 mid categories. In order to develop the importance weight of factors, AHP and Fuzzy methodologies are implemented based on survey analysis by experts in financial institutions. Research findings indicate that the land cost, evacuation cost, and real estate acquisition tax as land-related direct costs, and the design cost, traffic impact assessment cost, underground safety impact assessment cost, boundary surveying cost, and geological survey cost as the construction permit-related costs are higher than any others. On the other hand, the supplementary costs related to the operation of the developer show very low importance weight. Accordingly, the hierarchy of factors for equity capital should be clearly developed in order to minimize any dispute and prevent non-performing loans to real estate project finance.

A methodology for Predicting Equity Input Timing/Amount for Decision Making of Financing Apartment Housing Projects - From the Perspective of Mid-sized Construction Companies - (공동주택 PF사업 참여 의사결정을 위한 자기자본 투입 시점/규모 예측방법론 - 중견 건설사의 관점에서-)

  • Yoo, Jinhyuk;Cha, Heesung;Shin, Dongwoo;Kim, Kyungrai
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 2016
  • The current PF project is entirely relying on construction company's credibility. As such, it has increased a negative and bad recognition in domestic real estate economy. In addition, PF experts has a perception that a project's safety of future cash flow profitability is more important than the construction company's credibility. So many PF experts make an effort in order to set aside safe project structure of PF and analyse systematically the risks of the project. In common feasibility study of the PF Project, financial specialists and real estate specialists are forecasting and evaluating the suitability of the project through reviewing the development profit from the project of sales. However, cash flow analysis and evaluation from the perspective of mid-sized construction companies are still in the primary level. Therefore, this study has analysed the current feasibility study and go/no go decision making procedures. Then the authors have a new cash flow analysis method from the perspective of mid-sized construction companies, by improving the feasibility study and go/no go decision making procedures.

Predicting Project Performance by Analyzing Key Success Factors on Project Fiancing(PF) Development (건설 프로젝트 파이낸스(PF) 사업의 성공영향요인(KSF) 분석을 통한 사업성과 예측 모델)

  • Lee, Dong-Gun;Cha, Hee-Sung
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.127-137
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    • 2014
  • Project Financing (PF) development project is the type which influences national economy and building industry largely because it is exerted by using borrowed money from many kinds of investors and huge amount of financial raising. Many domestic PF projects are focused mainly on the profit maximization lacking in a sufficient feasibility study. Nowadays many projects are suspending due to the global finance debacle and stagnation of real estate industry. Therefore, in this paper, risk factors of PF project are deducted and Key Success Factors (KSFs) are derived through Factor-Analysis and qualified using Fuzzy-AHP method. And through the evaluation of the derived success factors in real projects, a strong correlationship has been identified between the score of each PF success factor and the level of success and/or expected rate of return (ROR). So, the result of this paper can help decision makers of the PF projects make a better decision and give a meaningful guidance in achieving successful PF projects.

An Analysis on the Investment Determinants for Insolvent Housing Development Projects (건설회사의 공동주택 PF 부실사업장에 대한 투자결정요인 분석)

  • An, Kukjin;Cho, Yongkyung;Lee, Sangyoub
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.112-121
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    • 2014
  • After IMF bailout crisis in Korea, project financing has been employed as a major funding vehicle for the housing development. In 2008, the recession of housing market due to the global financial crisis had an significant impact on the increasing insolvent site of PF based housing development project, resulting in serious impact to whole economy as a chain effect. In order to resolve this vicious circle of bankruptcy, the major construction companies were urged to take over the insolvent sites and invest to them for normal project exit, and finally play a critical role in normalization of market. Therefore, this study aims to define the core factors for decision making to invest to insolvent site and find out differences among constructors, developers, financial lenders. The results from AHP analysis, the profitability was the most important factor to constructors. Moreover, even though the location merit is little less, through competitive price, we can assure that stable profitability is most important factor to decide to invest in insolvent site. In conclusion, the price is cheap, is highly feasible, if the land secured, major construction company will participate in a PF business investment. These findings were verified by the investment case of major construction company.