• Title/Summary/Keyword: Student Performance Prediction

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Study Factors for Student Performance Applying Data Mining Regression Model Approach

  • Khan, Shakir
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.188-192
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we apply data mining techniques and machine learning algorithms using R software, which is used to predict, here we applied a regression model to test some factor on the dataset for which we assumed that it effects student performance. Model was built on an existing dataset which contains many factors and the final grades. The factors tested are the attention to higher education, absences, study time, parent's education level, parent's jobs, and the number of failures in the past. The result shows that only study time and absences can affect the students' performance. Prediction of student academic performance helps instructors develop a good understanding of how well or how poorly the students in their classes will perform, so instructors can take proactive measures to improve student learning. This paper also focuses on how the prediction algorithm can be used to identify the most important attributes in a student's data.

Development of the Drop-outs Prediction Model for Intelligent Drop-outs Prevention System

  • Song, Mi-Young
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2017
  • The student dropout prediction is an indispensable for many intelligent systems to measure the educational system and success rate of all university. Therefore, in this paper, we propose an intelligent dropout prediction system that minimizes the situation by adopting the proactive process through an effective model that predicts the students who are at risk of dropout. In this paper, the main data sets for students dropout predictions was used as questionnaires and university information. The questionnaire was constructed based on theoretical and empirical grounds about factor affecting student's performance and causes of dropout. University Information included student grade, interviews, attendance in university life. Through these data sets, the proposed dropout prediction model techniques was classified into the risk group and the normal group using statistical methods and Naive Bays algorithm. And the intelligence dropout prediction system was constructed by applying the proposed dropout prediction model. We expect the proposed study would be used effectively to reduce the students dropout in university.

Improvement of early prediction performance of under-performing students using anomaly data (이상 데이터를 활용한 성과부진학생의 조기예측성능 향상)

  • Hwang, Chul-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.26 no.11
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    • pp.1608-1614
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    • 2022
  • As competition between universities intensifies due to the recent decrease in the number of students, it is recognized as an essential task of universities to predict students who are underperforming at an early stage and to make various efforts to prevent dropouts. For this, a high-performance model that accurately predicts student performance is essential. This paper proposes a method to improve prediction performance by removing or amplifying abnormal data in a classification prediction model for identifying underperforming students. Existing anomaly data processing methods have mainly focused on deleting or ignoring data, but this paper presents a criterion to distinguish noise from change indicators, and contributes to improving the performance of predictive models by deleting or amplifying data. In an experiment using open learning performance data for verification of the proposed method, we found a number of cases in which the proposed method can improve classification performance compared to the existing method.

A Study on the Development of University Students Dropout Prediction Model Using Ensemble Technique (앙상블 기법을 활용한 대학생 중도탈락 예측 모형 개발)

  • Park, Sangsung
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.109-115
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    • 2021
  • The number of freshmen at universities is decreasing due to the recent decline in the school-age population, and the survival of many universities is threatened. To overcome this situation, universities are seeking ways to use big data within the school to improve the quality of education. A study on the prediction of dropout students is a representative case of using big data in universities. The dropout prediction can prepare a systematic management plan by identifying students who will drop out of school due to reasons such as dropout or expulsion. In the case of actual on-campus data, a large number of missing values are included because it is collected and managed by various departments. For this reason, it is necessary to construct a model by effectively reflecting the missing values. In this study, we propose a university student dropout prediction model based on eXtreme Gradient Boost that can be applied to data with many missing values and shows high performance. In order to examine the practical applicability of the proposed model, an experiment was performed using data from C University in Chungbuk. As a result of the experiment, the prediction performance of the proposed model was found to be excellent. The management strategy of dropout students can be established through the prediction results of the model proposed in this paper.

A Sensitivity Analysis of Centrifugal Compressors Empirical Models

  • Baek, Je-Hyun;Sungho Yoon
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.15 no.9
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    • pp.1292-1301
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    • 2001
  • The mean-line method using empirical models is the most practical method of predicting off-design performance. To gain insight into the empirical models, the influence of empirical models on the performance prediction results is investigated. We found that, in the two-zone model, the secondary flow mass fraction has a considerable effect at high mass flow-rates on the performance prediction curves. In the TEIS model, the first element changes the slope of the performance curves as well as the stable operating range. The second element makes the performance curves move up and down as it increases or decreases. It is also discovered that the slip factor affects pressure ratio, but it has little effect on efficiency. Finally, this study reveals that the skin friction coefficient has significant effect on both the pressure ratio curve and the efficiency curve. These results show the limitations of the present empirical models, and more resonable empirical models are reeded.

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A Comparative Study of Prediction Models for College Student Dropout Risk Using Machine Learning: Focusing on the case of N university (머신러닝을 활용한 대학생 중도탈락 위험군의 예측모델 비교 연구 : N대학 사례를 중심으로)

  • So-Hyun Kim;Sung-Hyoun Cho
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Integrative Medicine
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.155-166
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    • 2024
  • Purpose : This study aims to identify key factors for predicting dropout risk at the university level and to provide a foundation for policy development aimed at dropout prevention. This study explores the optimal machine learning algorithm by comparing the performance of various algorithms using data on college students' dropout risks. Methods : We collected data on factors influencing dropout risk and propensity were collected from N University. The collected data were applied to several machine learning algorithms, including random forest, decision tree, artificial neural network, logistic regression, support vector machine (SVM), k-nearest neighbor (k-NN) classification, and Naive Bayes. The performance of these models was compared and evaluated, with a focus on predictive validity and the identification of significant dropout factors through the information gain index of machine learning. Results : The binary logistic regression analysis showed that the year of the program, department, grades, and year of entry had a statistically significant effect on the dropout risk. The performance of each machine learning algorithm showed that random forest performed the best. The results showed that the relative importance of the predictor variables was highest for department, age, grade, and residence, in the order of whether or not they matched the school location. Conclusion : Machine learning-based prediction of dropout risk focuses on the early identification of students at risk. The types and causes of dropout crises vary significantly among students. It is important to identify the types and causes of dropout crises so that appropriate actions and support can be taken to remove risk factors and increase protective factors. The relative importance of the factors affecting dropout risk found in this study will help guide educational prescriptions for preventing college student dropout.

Prediction of Student's Interest on Sports for Classification using Bi-Directional Long Short Term Memory Model

  • Ahamed, A. Basheer;Surputheen, M. Mohamed
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.246-256
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    • 2022
  • Recently, parents and teachers consider physical education as a minor subject for students in elementary and secondary schools. Physical education performance has become increasingly significant as parents and schools pay more attention to physical schooling. The sports mining with distribution analysis model considers different factors, including the games, comments, conversations, and connection made on numerous sports interests. Using different machine learning/deep learning approach, children's athletic and academic interests can be tracked over the course of their academic lives. There have been a number of studies that have focused on predicting the success of students in higher education. Sports interest prediction research at the secondary level is uncommon, but the secondary level is often used as a benchmark to describe students' educational development at higher levels. An Automated Student Interest Prediction on Sports Mining using DL Based Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory model (BiLSTM) is presented in this article. Pre-processing of data, interest classification, and parameter tweaking are all the essential operations of the proposed model. Initially, data augmentation is used to expand the dataset's size. Secondly, a BiLSTM model is used to predict and classify user interests. Adagrad optimizer is employed for hyperparameter optimization. In order to test the model's performance, a dataset is used and the results are analysed using precision, recall, accuracy and F-measure. The proposed model achieved 95% accuracy on 400th instances, where the existing techniques achieved 93.20% accuracy for the same. The proposed model achieved 95% of accuracy and precision for 60%-40% data, where the existing models achieved 93% for accuracy and precision.

Prediction of elementary school academic performance abilities for young children's academic abilities and preparation for learning, which the mothers and the teachers rated

  • Lee, Kyoung-Jin;Park, Ji-Hee
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.136-142
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    • 2021
  • This study was conducted by researchers to compare the differences between the ratings of mothers and teachers on young children's academic ability and learning ability, and to confirm their influence on elementary school academic performance ability. This study was conducted using data from the 7th year(2 014) and 10th year(2017) of the panel study on Korean children. The analysis data were individual basic background, academic ability, preparation for learning, and academic performance ability. 600 children were used for the study. We suggests that close interaction and cooperation between mother and teacher are necessary to support young children's academic ability and learning preparation.

Early Prediction Model of Student Performance Based on Deep Neural Network Using Massive LMS Log Data (대용량 LMS 로그 데이터를 이용한 심층신경망 기반 대학생 학업성취 조기예측 모델)

  • Moon, Kibum;Kim, Jinwon;Lee, Jinsook
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.10
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2021
  • Log data accumulated in the Learning Management System (LMS) provide high-quality information for the learning process of students. Until now, various studies have been conducted to predict students' academic achievement using LMS log data. However, previous studies were based on relatively small sample sizes of students and courses, limiting the possibility of generalization. This study developed and validated a deep neural network model for the early prediction of academic achievement of college students using massive LMS log data. To this end, we used 78,466,385 cases of LMS log data and 165,846 cases of grade data. The proposed model predicted the excellent-grade students with a high level of accuracy from the beginning of the semester. Meanwhile, the prediction accuracy for the moderate and underachieving groups was relatively low, but the accuracy improved as the time points of the prediction were delayed. This study is meaningful in that we developed an early prediction model based on a deep neural network with sufficient accuracy for practical utilization by only using LMS log data.

Performance Comparison of Neural Network and Gradient Boosting Machine for Dropout Prediction of University Students

  • Hyeon Gyu Kim
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.28 no.8
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 2023
  • Dropouts of students not only cause financial loss to the university, but also have negative impacts on individual students and society together. To resolve this issue, various studies have been conducted to predict student dropout using machine learning. This paper presents a model implemented using DNN (Deep Neural Network) and LGBM (Light Gradient Boosting Machine) to predict dropout of university students and compares their performance. The academic record and grade data collected from 20,050 students at A University, a small and medium-sized 4-year university in Seoul, were used for learning. Among the 140 attributes of the collected data, only the attributes with a correlation coefficient of 0.1 or higher with the attribute indicating dropout were extracted and used for learning. As learning algorithms, DNN (Deep Neural Network) and LightGBM (Light Gradient Boosting Machine) were used. Our experimental results showed that the F1-scores of DNN and LGBM were 0.798 and 0.826, respectively, indicating that LGBM provided 2.5% better prediction performance than DNN.