• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weather Conditions

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A Study on the Development of Flight Prediction Model and Rules for Military Aircraft Using Data Mining Techniques (데이터 마이닝 기법을 활용한 군용 항공기 비행 예측모형 및 비행규칙 도출 연구)

  • Yu, Kyoung Yul;Moon, Young Joo;Jeong, Dae Yul
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.177-195
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    • 2022
  • Purpose This paper aims to prepare a full operational readiness by establishing an optimal flight plan considering the weather conditions in order to effectively perform the mission and operation of military aircraft. This paper suggests a flight prediction model and rules by analyzing the correlation between flight implementation and cancellation according to weather conditions by using big data collected from historical flight information of military aircraft supplied by Korean manufacturers and meteorological information from the Korea Meteorological Administration. In addition, by deriving flight rules according to weather information, it was possible to discover an efficient flight schedule establishment method in consideration of weather information. Design/methodology/approach This study is an analytic study using data mining techniques based on flight historical data of 44,558 flights of military aircraft accumulated by the Republic of Korea Air Force for a total of 36 months from January 2013 to December 2015 and meteorological information provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration. Four steps were taken to develop optimal flight prediction models and to derive rules for flight implementation and cancellation. First, a total of 10 independent variables and one dependent variable were used to develop the optimal model for flight implementation according to weather condition. Second, optimal flight prediction models were derived using algorithms such as logistics regression, Adaboost, KNN, Random forest and LightGBM, which are data mining techniques. Third, we collected the opinions of military aircraft pilots who have more than 25 years experience and evaluated importance level about independent variables using Python heatmap to develop flight implementation and cancellation rules according to weather conditions. Finally, the decision tree model was constructed, and the flight rules were derived to see how the weather conditions at each airport affect the implementation and cancellation of the flight. Findings Based on historical flight information of military aircraft and weather information of flight zone. We developed flight prediction model using data mining techniques. As a result of optimal flight prediction model development for each airbase, it was confirmed that the LightGBM algorithm had the best prediction rate in terms of recall rate. Each flight rules were checked according to the weather condition, and it was confirmed that precipitation, humidity, and the total cloud had a significant effect on flight cancellation. Whereas, the effect of visibility was found to be relatively insignificant. When a flight schedule was established, the rules will provide some insight to decide flight training more systematically and effectively.

A study on the Unmanned Aerial Vehicle(UAV) Flight Test Planning Establishment through Atmospheric Considerations (대기요소 고려를 통한 무인항공기 비행시험계획 수립에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Yeong-Rae;Lee, Jeong-Suk;Lee, Sang-Cheol;Ko, Sang-Ho;Kang, Ja-Yeong;Choi, Jong-Uk;Seong, Deoky-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.73-79
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    • 2010
  • Flight test is the final and a mandatory process for the development of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs) as well as manned. Since most UAVs fly in a low speed and are prone to adverse weather conditions such as air turbulence, atmospheric weather environment around flight test regions will be a critical item to be considered for a flight test planning for UAVs. In this paper, we suggest a decision method for a UAV flight test schedule based on weather conditions of surface and upper atmospheres and also introduce a program for an effective flight test planning through weather forecasts.

Performance Comparison of Machine-learning Models for Analyzing Weather and Traffic Accident Correlations

  • Li Zi Xuan;Hyunho Yang
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.225-232
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    • 2023
  • Owing to advancements in intelligent transportation systems (ITS) and artificial-intelligence technologies, various machine-learning models can be employed to simulate and predict the number of traffic accidents under different weather conditions. Furthermore, we can analyze the relationship between weather and traffic accidents, allowing us to assess whether the current weather conditions are suitable for travel, which can significantly reduce the risk of traffic accidents. In this study, we analyzed 30000 traffic flow data points collected by traffic cameras at nearby intersections in Washington, D.C., USA from October 2012 to May 2017, using Pearson's heat map. We then predicted, analyzed, and compared the performance of the correlation between continuous features by applying several machine-learning algorithms commonly used in ITS, including random forest, decision tree, gradient-boosting regression, and support vector regression. The experimental results indicated that the gradient-boosting regression machine-learning model had the best performance.

A Novel Simulation Scheme for Grid Connected Photovoltaic Generation Systems

  • Park, Monwon;Kim, Bong-Tae;Yu, In-Keun
    • KIEE International Transaction on Electrical Machinery and Energy Conversion Systems
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    • v.11B no.4
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    • pp.169-174
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    • 2001
  • A novel simulation scheme of transient phenomenon for the photovoltaic (PV) generation system under the real weather conditions has been proposed in this paper. A grid connected PV array is simulated using PSCAD/EMTDC. The transient changes of the output current of PV array under the real weather conditions is described and the output current of DC/AC converter flowing through the utility power network is also analyzed with the PWM switching width. Moreover, the MPPT control of PV generation system is combined to the system during the simulation for the comparison purposes of the control schemes. The outcome of the simulation demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed simulation scheme. The result shows that the cost effective verifying for the efficiency or availability and stability of PV generation systems and the comparison research of various control schemes like MPPT under the same real whether conditions are eventually possible.

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Effect of Load Condition on Turning Performance of a VLCC in Adverse Weather Conditions

  • Zaky, Mochammad;Yasukawa, Hironori
    • Journal of Advanced Research in Ocean Engineering
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.53-65
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    • 2018
  • The load condition significantly influences ship maneuverability in calm water. In this research, the effect of the load condition on turning performance of a very large crude oil carrier (VLCC) sailing in adverse weather conditions is investigated by an MMG-based maneuvering simulation method. The relative drift direction of the ship in turning to the wave direction is $20^{\circ}-30^{\circ}$ in ballast load condition (NB) and full load condition (DF) with a rudder angle $35^{\circ}$ and almost constant for any wind (wave) directions. The drifting displacement in turning under NB becomes larger than that under DF at the same environmental condition. Advance $A_d$ and tactical diameter $D_t$ become significantly small with an increasing Beaufort scale in head wind and waves when approaching, although $A_d$ and $D_t$ are almost constant in following wind and waves. In beam wind and waves, the tendency depends on the plus and minus of the rudder angle.

Reliability Analysis of the Man-Machine System Operating under Different Weather Conditions (기후조건을 고려한 인간-기계체계의 신속도)

  • 이길노;하석태
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.76-87
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    • 1997
  • This paper deals with reliability and MTTF analysis of a non-repairable man-machine system operating under different weather conditions. The system consists of a hardware(machine) and a two-operator standby subsystem such as the air combat maneuvering of fighters with dual seat. The failure times for the subsystems follow the exponential distribution with constant parameter. By considering not only the effect on hardware component but also the weather conditions and human performance factors such as the operator's errors, a Markov model is presented as a method for evaluating the system reliability of time continuous operation tasks. Laplace transforms of the various state probabilities have been derived and then reliability of the system, at any time t, has been computed by inversion process. MTTF has also been computed.

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Assessment of Improving SWAT Weather Input Data using Basic Spatial Interpolation Method

  • Felix, Micah Lourdes;Choi, Mikyoung;Zhang, Ning;Jung, Kwansue
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.368-368
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    • 2022
  • The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) has been widely used to simulate the long-term hydrological conditions of a catchment. Two output variables, outflow and sediment yield have been widely investigated in the field of water resources management, especially in determining the conditions of ungauged subbasins. The presence of missing data in weather input data can cause poor representation of the climate conditions in a catchment especially for large or mountainous catchments. Therefore, in this study, a custom module was developed and evaluated to determine the efficiency of utilizing basic spatial interpolation methods in the estimation of weather input data. The module has been written in Python language and can be considered as a pre-processing module prior to using the SWAT model. The results of this study suggests that the utilization of the proposed pre-processing module can improve the simulation results for both outflow and sediment yield in a catchment, even in the presence of missing data.

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A Study on the Effect of Adverse Weather Conditions on Public Transportation Mode Choice (강우 상태에 따른 대중교통 이용패턴 특성연구 - 부산광역시 버스통행을 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Kunyoung;Lee, Sibok
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.1D
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2012
  • Busan Metropolitan City government has been implementing the local Bus Quasi-Public Operating policy since 2007. As a result of the policy, financial burden to cover financial deficit has become a big social issue. For successful settlement of the policy, the government should be able to gradually cut off the financial support for the deficit by continuously increasing the bus demand, which can be accomplished by providing more convenient bus services. The weather conditions that affect the public transportation demand include rain, fog and snow. They affect the mode choice for public transportation use, which in turn results in decrease in bus demand. In short, the adverse weather conditions result in significant profit loss of bus transportation, and consequently it financially burdens the City of Busan. In this research, the pattern of travelers' use of transportation modes given various weather conditions was analyzed. In addition, the reasons why people transfer from one to other transportation modes were analyzed by conducting a field survey, and policy implications on desirable public transportation facilities and transfer system were discussed.

A study on the method of conducting a large container vessel safely to the newly built container pier to get alongside in busan harbour (부산항 콘테이너부두에 대형 콘테이너선의 안전접안조종을 위한 연구)

  • Yoo, Jeom-Dong;Yun, Jong-Hwui;Lee, Chun-Ki
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.303-308
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, the authors calculated manoeuvring motions of a large container vessel approaching to the newly built container piers to get alongside to her berth in Busan harbour. The motion calculations were done by using fixed coordinate system and the object of the calculations is to check the manoeuvring motions are safe or not for berthing the large vessel to her berth. The result of calculations manifested that a large container vessel can get alongside to the piers without any difficulty under normal weather conditions by using 2 Z. Peller tug boats of 4500 H.P. each and also these demonstrated it is difficult to conduct and get her alongside to the piers under rough weather conditions of wind force 16.9m/sec or more. Under rough weather conditions of 6 by beaufort scale the average wind velocity is about 13.5m and if we add 25% increase of the normal velocity to it, the wind will becomes a gust of 16.9m/sec. So it is advisable to avoid conducting a large container vessel to the pier under the rough weather conditions of 6 or more by beaufort scale. Also, I is better to use 3 Z. peller tug boats of 4500 HP. each under the above mentioned rough weather in a case of unavoidable circumstances.

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Study on a Noval Simulation Method of Wind Power Generation System Using PSCAD/EMTDC (PSCAD/EMTDC를 이용한 풍력발전시스템의 새로운 시뮬레이션 방법에 관한 연구)

  • 한상근;박민원;유인근
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.307-315
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    • 2003
  • This paper proposes a novel simulation method of WPGS (Wind Power Generation System). The rotation speed control method of turbine under variable wind speed using the pitch control is proposed. Moreover, when wind speed exceeds the cut-out wind speed, the turbine will be stopped by controlling pitch angle to 90$^{\circ}$, otherwise it will be controlled to steady-state operation. For the purpose of effective simulation, the SWRW (Simulation method for WPGS using Real Weather condition) is used for the utility interactive WPGS simulation in this paper, in which those of three topics for the WPGS simulation: user-friendly method, applicability to grid-connection and the utilization of the real weather conditions, are satisfied. It is impossible to consider the real weather conditions in the WPGS simulation using the EMTP type of simulators and PSPICE, etc. External parameter of the real weather conditions is necessary to ensure the simulation accuracy. The simulation of the WPGS using the real weather conditions including components modeling of wind turbine system is achieved by introducing the interface method of a non-linear external parameter and FORTRAN using PSCAD/EMTDC in this paper. The simulation of long-term, short-term, over cut-out and under cut-out wind speeds will be peformed by the proposed simulation method effectively. The efficiency of wind power generator, power converter and flow of energy are analyzed by wind speed of the long-term simulation. The generator output and current supplied into utility can be obtained by the short-term simulation. Finally, transient-state of the WPGS can be analyzed by the simulation results of over cut-out and under cut-out wind speeds, respectively.