• Title/Summary/Keyword: consequence modeling

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A Study on the Optimization of Offsite Consequence Analysis by Plume Segmentation and Multi-Threading (플룸분할 및 멀티스레딩을 통한 소외사고영향 분석시간 최적화 연구)

  • Seunghwan, Kim;Sung-yeop, Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.166-173
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    • 2022
  • A variety of input parameters are taken into consideration while performing a Level 3 PSA. Some parameters related to plume segments, spatial grids, and particle size distribution have flexible input formats. Fine modeling performed by splitting a number of segments or grids may enhance the accuracy of analysis but is time-consuming. Analysis speed is highly important because a considerably large number of calculations is required to handle Level 2 PSA scenarios for a single-unit or multi-unit Level 3 PSA. This study developed a sensitivity analysis supporting interface called MACCSsense to compare the results of the trials of plume segmentation with the results of the base case to determine its impact (in terms of time and accuracy) and to support the development of a modeling approach, which saves calculation time and improves accuracy. MACCSense is an automation tool that uses a large amount of plume segmentation analysis results obtained from MUST Converter and Mr. Manager developed by KAERI to generate a sensitivity report that includes impact (time and accuracy) by comparing them with the base-case result. In this study, various plume segmentation approaches were investigated, and both the accuracy and speed of offsite consequence analysis were evaluated using MACCS as a consequence analysis tool. A simultaneous evaluation revealed that execution time can be reduced using multi-threading. In addition, this study can serve as a framework for the development of a modeling strategy for plume segmentation in order to perform accurate and fast offsite consequence analyses.

Consequence Modeling Methodology for Prediction of Hazard Distance for Two-phase Flow Release from the Pressurized Chlorine Saturated Liquid Storage Tank (가압 염소포화액체 저장탱크의 2상 흐름 누출에 대한 유해위험거리의 예측을 위한 결과영향 모델링 방법론)

  • Song D. M.;Park Y. S.;Park J. K.
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 1998
  • This study is to develop the consequence modeling methodology for quantitative prediction of the hazard distance(or toxic buffer distance) for two-phase flow continuous releases from the pressurized chlorine saturated liquid storage tank of the chemical plant facilities. The source term modeling was peformed by the refined analysis method based on USEPA's guideline and SuperChems model self-calculation, respectively. The hazard distance was predicted for STEL, IDLH and ERPGs(ERPG-2 and ERPG-3) concentrations being used as the toxic regultaion concentration in hazard estimation. To use as hazard estimation guideline for the establishment of the emergency response planning, the effects of source characteristics and meteorological vaiations on the hazard distance was especially considered for ERPG-2 concentration.

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Offsite Consequence Modeling for Evacuation Distances against Accidental Hydrogen Fluoride (HF) Release Scenarios (Hydrogen Fluoride (HF) 누출 사고 시 피해 범위 예측 및 장외영향평가를 위한 모델링 활용 방법)

  • Kim, Jeonghwan;Jung, Seungho
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.54 no.4
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    • pp.582-585
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    • 2016
  • This study intends to provide initial evacuation distances for the public in case of accidental releases of hydrogen fluoride (HF). HF is a very toxic chemical that is widely used in the chemical, electrical, and electronics industries. Consequence modeling programs, such as ALOHA and PHAST, were used to help formulate a contingency plan in case of an HF leak. For the purpose of this study, the release of entire quantity of HF in 10 min is defined as a worst-case scenario and the release from a partial line rupture is used as an alternative case scenario as National Institute of Chemical Safety (NICS) guidelines. Once the discharge rates were calculated based on the scenarios, the ERPG-2 endpoint distances have been obtained for representative daytime and nighttime weather conditions. This paper presents graphs that can be used to enact swift evacuation orders and emergency response plans in the case of accidental releases of HF.

Fundamentals of Numerical Modeling of the Mid-latitude Ionosphere

  • Geonhwa Jee
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2023
  • The ionosphere is one of the key components of the near-Earth's space environment and has a practical consequence to the human society as a nearest region of the space environment to the Earth. Therefore, it becomes essential to specify and forecast the state of the ionosphere using both the observations and numerical models. In particular, numerical modeling of the ionosphere is a prerequisite not only for better understanding of the physical processes occurring within the ionosphere but also for the specification and forecast of the space weather. There are several approaches for modeling the ionosphere, including data-based empirical modeling, physics-based theoretical modeling and data assimilation modeling. In this review, these three types of the ionospheric model are briefly introduced with recently available models. And among those approaches, fundamental aspects of the physics-based ionospheric model will be described using the basic equations governing the mid-latitude ionosphere. Then a numerical solution of the equations will be discussed with required boundary conditions.

Packages of Unified modeling for Radiative transfer, gas Energetics, and Chemistry (PUREC)

  • Lee, Seokho;Lee, Jeong-Eun
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.39.1-39.1
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    • 2017
  • Protoplanetary disks (PPDs) are a natural consequence of star formation and play crucial roles in planet formation. Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array (ALMA) has provided sub-mm data for the PPDs with a high angular resolution and sensitivity, and it makes us enable to study PPDs in detail. We have developed Packages of Unified modeling for Radiative transfer, gas Energetics, and Chemistry (PUREC), which consists of a self-consistent thermo-chemical model and line and continuum radiative transfer models, in order to interpret and predict the ALMA observations for PPDs. In this talk, we introduce capabilities of PUREC.

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Automatic Synthesis of Fault Tree Using Object-oriented Unit Modeling (객체지향 장치 모델링을 이용한 Fault Tree의 자동합성)

  • Hwang Kyu Suk;Hou Bo Kyeng
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.5 no.2 s.14
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2001
  • Fault tree construction for hazard assessment requires so much time and labor, so it is very difficult to be applied to the large scale chemical plant. In this study, for the synthesis of fault tree in chemical processes, the object-oriented knowledge framework is proposed to represent the deviations of process variables in the equipment and cause-consequence relationship with equipment faults. The cause of fault is searched by using the object-oriented modeling of equipments and the connectivity among equipments, and then a fault tree is synthesized. we have discussed the performance of the methodology on nitric acid cooling process to evaluate its effectiveness.

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Fuzzy Identification by means of Fuzzy Inference Method and Its Application to Wate Water Treatment System (퍼지추론 방법에 의한 퍼지동정과 하수처리공정시스템 응용)

  • 오성권;주영훈;남위석;우광방
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics B
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    • v.31B no.6
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 1994
  • A design method of rule-based fuzzy modeling is presented for the model identification of complex and nonlinear systems. The proposed rule-based fuzzy modeling implements system structure and parameter identification in the efficient form of ``IF....,THEN...', using the theories of optimization theory , linguistic fuzzy implication rules and fuzzy c-means clustering. Three kinds of method for fuzzy modeling presented in this paper include simplified inference (type I), linear inference (type 2), and modified linear inference (type 3). In order to identify premise structure and parameter of fuzzy implication rules, fuzzy c- means clustering and modified complex method are used respectively and the least sequare method is utilized for the identification of optimum consequence parameters. Time series data for gas furance and those for sewage treatment process are used to evaluate the performance of the proposed rule-based fuzzy modeling. Comparison shows that the proposed method can produce the fuzzy model with higher accuracy than previous other studies.

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Invention and Hydraulic Model Test of Combined Block System in River Bank Protection (일체형 하천호안블럭의 개발 및 모형실험 적용)

  • Jang, Suk-Hwan;Lee, Chang-Hae;Park, Sang-Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.449-453
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    • 2008
  • This research focused on analyzing and comparing between the results of hydraulic physical modeling and the results of numerical modeling of Grass Concrete which is newly developed in-situ block system. The physical model was built as a scale of 1:50 by Froude similitude measuring the water levels and the water velocities for before and after vegetation and the effects were analyzed after reviewing the results. In consequence, the water velocities were observed to decrease meanly 19.1%, and the water depth were determined to increase meanly 27.8% in case of the of design flood, $Q=200m^3/sec$. Moreover, the velocities were produced reduction effects of 27.2%, and the water levels were derived from addition effects of the highest 31.3% in case of the probability maximum flood(PMF), $Q=600m^3/sec$. To verifying the hydraulic physical modeling, the numerical modeling was conducted for a close examination of before and after vegetation. HEC-RAS model was for 1 dimensional numerical analysis and RMA-2 was for 2 dimensional numerical analysis. The results of the numerical simulation, under the condition of roughness coefficient calibration, shows similar results of the physical modeling. These satisfactory results show that the accomplished results of hydraulic modeling and the predicted results of numerical modeling corresponded reasonably each others.

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