• Title/Summary/Keyword: covariance

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Covariance Estimation and the Effect on the Performance of the Optimal Portfolio (공분산 추정방법에 따른 최적자산배분 성과 분석)

  • Lee, Soonhee
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.137-152
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, I suggest several techniques to estimate covariance matrix and compare the performance of the global minimum variance portfolio (GMVP) in terms of out of sample mean standard deviation and return. As a result, the return differences among the GMVPs are insignificant. The mean standard deviation of the GMVP using historical covariance is sensitive to the estimation window and the number of assets in the portfolio. Among the model covariance, the GMVP using constant systematic risk ratio model or using short sale restriction shows the best performance. The performance difference between the GMVPs using historical covariance and model covariance becomes insignificant as the historical covariance is estimated with longer estimation window. Lastly, the implied volatilities from ELW prices do not lead to superior performance to the historical variance.

Effective Covariance Tracker based on Adaptive Foreground Segmentation in Tracking Window (적응적인 물체분리를 이용한 효과적인 공분산 추적기)

  • Lee, Jin-Wook;Cho, Jae-Soo
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.16 no.8
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    • pp.766-770
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we present an effective covariance tracking algorithm based on adaptive size changing of tracking window. Recent researches have advocated the use of a covariance matrix of object image features for tracking objects instead of the conventional histogram object models used in popular algorithms. But, according to the general covariance tracking algorithm, it can not deal with the scale changes of the moving objects. The scale of the moving object often changes in various tracking environment and the tracking window(or object kernel) has to be adapted accordingly. In addition, the covariance matrix of moving objects should be adaptively updated considering of the tracking window size. We provide a solution to this problem by segmenting the moving object from the background pixels of the tracking window. Therefore, we can improve the tracking performance of the covariance tracking method. Our several simulations prove the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Inference on the Joint Center of Rotation by Covariance Pattern Models

  • Kim, Jinuk
    • Korean Journal of Applied Biomechanics
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.127-134
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    • 2018
  • Objective: In a statistical linear model estimating the center of rotation of a human hip joint, which is the parameter related to the mean of response vectors, assumptions of homoscedasticity and independence of position vectors measured repeatedly over time in the model result in an inefficient parameter. We, therefore, should take into account the variance-covariance structure of longitudinal responses. The purpose of this study was to estimate the efficient center of rotation vector of the hip joint by using covariance pattern models. Method: The covariance pattern models are used to model various kinds of covariance matrices of error vectors to take into account longitudinal data. The data acquired from functional motions to estimate hip joint center were applied to the models. Results: The results showed that the data were better fitted using various covariance pattern models than the general linear model assuming homoscedasticity and independence. Conclusion: The estimated joint centers of the covariance pattern models showed slight differences from those of the general linear model. The estimated standard errors of the joint center for covariance pattern models showed a large difference with those of the general linear model.

A Covariance Matrix Estimation Method for Position Uncertainty of the Wheeled Mobile Robot

  • Doh, Nakju Lett;Chung, Wan-Kyun;Youm, Young-Il
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.1933-1938
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    • 2003
  • A covariance matrix is a tool that expresses odometry uncertainty of the wheeled mobile robot. The covariance matrix is a key factor in various localization algorithms such as Kalman filter, topological matching and so on. However it is not easy to acquire an accurate covariance matrix because we do not know the real states of the robot. Up to the authors knowledge, there seems to be no established result on the covariance matrix estimation for the odometry. In this paper, we propose a new method which can estimate the covariance matrix from empirical data. It is based on the PC-method and shows a good estimation ability. The experimental results validate the performance of the proposed method.

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Poisson linear mixed models with ARMA random effects covariance matrix

  • Choi, Jiin;Lee, Keunbaik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.927-936
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    • 2017
  • To analyze longitudinal count data, Poisson linear mixed models are commonly used. In the models the random effects covariance matrix explains both within-subject variation and serial correlation of repeated count outcomes. When the random effects covariance matrix is assumed to be misspecified, the estimates of covariates effects can be biased. Therefore, we propose reasonable and flexible structures of the covariance matrix using autoregressive and moving average Cholesky decomposition (ARMACD). The ARMACD factors the covariance matrix into generalized autoregressive parameters (GARPs), generalized moving average parameters (GMAPs) and innovation variances (IVs). Positive IVs guarantee the positive-definiteness of the covariance matrix. In this paper, we use the ARMACD to model the random effects covariance matrix in Poisson loglinear mixed models. We analyze epileptic seizure data using our proposed model.

A Study on Beam Error Method of Coherent Interference Signal Estimation using Optimum Covariance Weight Vector (최적 공분산 가중 벡터를 이용한 상관성 간섭 신호 추정의 빔 지향 오차)

  • Cho, Sung Kuk;Lee, Jun Dong;Jeon, Byung Kook
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.53-61
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we proposed covariance weight matrix using SPT matrix in order to accurate target estimation. We have estimated a target using modified covariance matrix and beam steering error method. We have minimized beam steering error in order to estimation desired a target. This method obtain optimum covariance weight using modified SPT matrix. This paper of proposal method is showed good performance than general method. We updated a weight of covariance matrix using modified SPT matrix. We obtain optimum covariance matrix weight to application beam steering error method in order to beam steering toward desired target. Through simulation, we showed that compare proposal method with general method. It have improved resolution of estimation target to good performance more proposed method than general method.

Asymptotics for realized covariance under market microstructure noise and sampling frequency determination

  • Shin, Dong Wan;Hwang, Eunju
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.411-421
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    • 2016
  • Large frequency limiting distributions of two errors in realized covariance are investigated under noisy and non-synchronous high frequency sampling situations. The first distribution characterizes increased variance of the realized covariance due to noise for large frequency and the second distribution characterizes decreased variance of the realized covariance due to discretization for large frequency. The distribution of the combined error enables us to determine the sampling frequency which depends on a nuisance parameter. A consistent estimator of the nuisance parameter is proposed.

Design of a gyroscope with minimal error covariance (오차공분산을 최소화하는 자이로스코프의 설계)

  • 강태삼;이장규
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1991.10a
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    • pp.264-267
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    • 1991
  • In this paper, a new application method of the Kalman filter to desigin a gyro is proposed. The role of a gyro is the estimation of an input rate with minimal error covariance. The size of the error covariance depends on gyro's parameters, which makes it possible to use the parameters of gyro to minimze the estimation error covariance. Numerical analysis shows that the error covariance becomes smaller as the spin axis momentum becomes larger and the damping coefficient smaller, but production cost must be considered. Through numerical analysis the parameter set for an acceptable - performance gyro with small cost can be selected.

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Effects of Covariance Modeling on Estimation Accuracy in an IMU-based Attitude Estimation Kalman Filter (IMU 기반 자세 추정 칼만필터에서 공분산 모델링이 추정 정확도에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Ji Seok;Lee, Jung Keun
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.440-446
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    • 2020
  • A well-known difficulty in attitude estimation based on inertial measurement unit (IMU) signals is the occurrence of external acceleration under dynamic motion conditions, as the acceleration significantly degrades the estimation accuracy. Lee et al. (2012) designed a Kalman filter (KF) that could effectively deal with the acceleration issue. Ahmed and Tahir (2017) modified this method by adjusting the acceleration-related covariance matrix because they considered covariance modeling as a pivotal factor in the estimation accuracy. This study investigates the effects of covariance modeling on estimation accuracy in an IMU-based attitude estimation KF. The method proposed by Ahmed and Tahir can be divided into two: one uses the covariance including only diagonal components and the other uses the covariance including both diagonal and off-diagonal components. This paper compares these three methods with respect to the motion condition and the window size, which is required for the methods by Ahmed and Tahir. Experimental results showed that the method proposed by Lee et al. performed the best among the three methods under relatively slow motion conditions, whereas the modified method using the diagonal covariance with a high window size performed the best under relatively fast motion conditions.

A Tutorial on Covariance-based Structural Equation Modeling using R: focused on "lavaan" Package (R을 이용한 공분산 기반 구조방정식 모델링 튜토리얼: Lavaan 패키지를 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Cheol-Ho;Choi, Kwang-Don
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.10
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    • pp.121-133
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    • 2015
  • This tutorial presents an approach to perform the covariance based structural equation modeling using the R. For this purpose, the tutorial defines the criteria for the covariance based structural equation modeling by reviewing previous studies, and shows how to analyze the research model with an example using the "lavaan" which is the R package supporting the covariance based structural equation modeling. In this tutorial, a covariance-based structural equation modeling technique using the R and the R scripts targeting the example model were proposed as the results. This tutorial will be useful to start the study of the covariance based structural equation modeling for the researchers who first encounter the covariance based structural equation modeling and will provide the knowledge base for in-depth analysis through the covariance based structural equation modeling technique using R which is the integrated statistical software operating environment for the researchers familiar with the covariance based structural equation modeling.