• 제목/요약/키워드: decision problem

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컨테이너터미널 운영을 위한 의사결정문제의 소개 (Decision-making Problems for the Operation of Container Terminals)

  • 김갑환
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.290-302
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    • 2007
  • This paper introduces several decision-making problems that need to be solved in order to facilitate the efficient operation of container terminals. These decision-making problems include the berth planning problem, the quay crane scheduling problem, the unload/load sequencing problem, the yard allocation problem, and the short-term scheduling of transporters and yard cranes. These problems can be classified into strategic decision problems, tactical decision problems, and real time operational decision problems. This paper proposes definitions of the problems that can be used to develop mathematical models for the problems.

의학의 뉴컴 문제와 인과적 결정 이론 (Medical Newcomb Problem and Causal Decision Theory)

  • 여영서
    • 논리연구
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.89-114
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    • 2009
  • 우리는 여러 종류의 인과적 믿음을 지니고 있으며, 인과적 믿음은 합리적인 결정을 내리는 과정에서 중요한 역할을 한다. 이 직관을 발전시킨 인과적 결정 이론은 행위자의 결정이 합리적이라는 설명을 제시하기 위해서 그 행위자의 결정이 의존하는 인과적 믿음을 명확하게 밝히는 것이 필요하다고 주장한다. 그럴 필요가 없다는 입장의 증거적 결정 이론은 뉴컴 문제를 통해 반박된다. 그러나 뉴컴 문제의 다양한 형태 중에서 의학의 뉴컴 문제가 증거적 결정 이론을 반박하는 데에 가장 성공적이라는 일반적 판단은 잘못이라는 점이 본 논문에서 논증된다. 본 논문은 의학의 뉴컴 문제는 인과 관계를 명료하게 진술함으로써 오히려 증거적 결정 이론을 반박하기 어려워진다는 점을 지적한다. 이 과정에서 본 논문은 증거적 결정 이론과 인과적 결정 이론 사이의 차이점을 드러내고, 합리적 결정 과정에서 인과적 믿음이 정확하게 어떤 역할을 하는지를 밝힌다.

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A Fuzzy-Goal Programming Approach For Bilevel Linear Multiple Objective Decision Making Problem

  • Arora, S.R.;Gupta, Ritu
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents a fuzzy-goal programming(FGP) approach for Bi-Level Linear Multiple Objective Decision Making(BLL-MODM) problem in a large hierarchical decision making and planning organization. The proposed approach combines the attractive features of both fuzzy set theory and goal programming(GP) for MODM problem. The GP problem has been developed by fixing the weights and aspiration levels for generating pareto-optimal(satisfactory) solution at each level for BLL-MODM problem. The higher level decision maker(HLDM) provides the preferred values of decision vector under his control and bounds of his objective function to direct the lower level decision maker(LLDM) to search for his solution in the right direction. Illustrative numerical example is provided to demonstrate the proposed approach.

Cognitive Competency, Problem-Solving Skills and Decision-Making: A Case Study of Students' Extracurricular Activities in The Distribution Chains Sector

  • Thuc Duc TRAN;Thai Dinh TRUONG;Thong Van PHAM;Dien Huong PHAM
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.71-82
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: Despite significant research on decision-making, researchers struggle to comprehend the decision-making process. This paper aims to not only examine the relationship between problem-solving skills, cognitive competency, and decision-making but also develop measurement instruments for cognitive competency and problem-solving skills to better model decision-making. Research Design, Methodology and Approach: A cross-sectional study was conducted by surveying 292 university students in HCM City, Vietnam, via email sent randomly by Google Forms. This study identifies the conceptual framework and tests the hypotheses using a deductive approach. The SPSS program was used to evaluate the scales' reliability, and the SmartPLS program was used to assess the measurement and structural models. Results: The results show that the research model better modelled the relationship between problem-solving skills, cognitive competency, and decision-making. Although thinking ability has no direct impact on decision-making, both creativity and problem-solving skills have a positive impact on decision-making. The mediating role of problem-solving skills is also determined by the positive relationship between cognitive competency and decision-making. Conclusions: This study highlights decision-making efficiency through the cognitive process from low to high levels and provides for policymakers and managers to explain the decision-making process in a variety of sectors, such as distribution chains, marketing, and human resource distribution.

의사결정의 기본 MODEL에 관한 유형적 고찰 (Typical Consideration On The Basic Model of Decision Making)

  • 김면성
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제6권9호
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    • pp.111-124
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    • 1983
  • The basic model of decision problem the enterprise is conforonted with includes the following 3 elements ; 1) Elements that can not be controlled by the decision maker : In the thesis elements are named environmental variables, and varied itself according to the change of environmental condition. 2) Elements that can be controlled by the decision maker ; These elements are called decision elements in the thesis and variable according to the event. 3) object of decision making : The degree of achievement to the object is identified by taking various criteria- The index indicating the degree of achievement to the object whatever criterion is applied is called object function in the thesis. It's the fanetion of environmental variable, decision variable and object function. The relation between them brings forth the relation formula that characterize the each problem. The basic types of decision making model use in the thesis are as following ; 1) The problem of decision making under conditions of certainty. 2) The problem of decision making under conditions of risk. 3) The problem of decision making under conditions of uncertainty. 4) The problem of decision making under competitive condition. in general case that the Profit of two decision makers varies, what we regard the decision that make the sum of profit of two men maximum as the best choice for two men has a reasonability in certain case. When the sum of profit two men is zero, by taking toe promise that ail of them art according to the min-max criteria and by extending the object of choice to the mixed strategy. We certify the existance of equilibrium solution and admit them as the best solution of competitive model in general.

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의사결정분석사이클을 활용한 기업경영 의사결정지원체계 (DSS) 개발 : DACUL (Development of Decision Support System Using Decision Analysis Cycle)

  • 최수동;김재경;정병호;김성희
    • 산업공학
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 1989
  • Many decision problems in the real world have uncertainty and complexity. In many cases, decision makers do not have decision-analytic knowledge enough to solve a given decision problem. This paper developes a Decision Support System(DSS) that can be used for structuring decision problem into decision tree based on the concept of influence diagram and analyzing the decision problem by following Decision Analysis Cycle. This study suggests a DSS system(DACUL) in order to implement Decision Analysis Cycle using Lotus1-2-3. DACUL system has been developed in IBM XT/AT compatible PC.

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R&D Project Portfolio 선정 문제 (R&D Project Portfolio Selection Problem)

  • 안태호;김명관
    • 경영과학
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2008
  • This paper investigates the R&D project portfolio selection problem. Despite its importance and impact on real world projects, there exist few practical techniques that help construct an non-dominated portfolio for a decision makers satisfaction. One of the difficulties constructing the portfolio is that such project portfolio problem is, in nature, a multi-attribute decision-making problem, which is an NP-hard class problem. This paper investigates the R&D project portfolio selection problem. Despite its importance and impact on real world projects, there exist few practical techniques that help construct an non-dominated portfolio for a decision makers satisfaction. One of the difficulties constructing the portfolio is that such project portfolio problem is, in nature, a multi-attribute decision-making problem, which is an NP-hard class problem. In order to obtain the non-dominated portfolio that a decision maker or a user is satisfied with, we devise a user-interface algorithm, in that the user provides the maximum/minimum input values for each project attribute. Then the system searches the non-dominated portfolio that satisfies all the given constraints if such a portfolio exists. The process that the user adjusts the maximum/minimum values on the basis of the portfolio found continues repeatedly until the user is optimally satisfied with. We illustrate the algorithm proposed, and the computational results show the efficacy of our procedure.

자료분석에 관한 비구조화된 문제해결모형 적용에서 나타난 초등학교 5학년 학생들의 의사결정에 관한 연구 (Decision Making from the 5th Grade' III-Structured Problem of Data Analysis)

  • 김민경;이지영;홍지연;주현정
    • 한국수학교육학회지시리즈E:수학교육논문집
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.221-249
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구는 비구조화된 문제해결모형을 적용하여 수업을 하는 과정에서 나타나는 학생들의 의사결정과정을 관찰 분석함으로써 초등학교 현장에서의 비구조화된 문제 적용 가능성을 제시하고자 한다. 이를 위해 서울 소재 C초등학교 5학년 학생 25명을 대상으로 확률과 통계영역 중 자료분석에 관한 비구조화된 문제를 제시하였고, 문제해결은 ABCDE(Analyze - Browse - Create - Decision Making - Evaluate) 모형을 적용하여 의사결정단계(자신의 견해 확립하기, 타인의 견해 검토하기, 문제해결에 적절한 견해를 결정하고 실행하기)에서 나타난 학생들의 의사결정과정을 분석하였다. 총 여섯 모둠 중 비구조화된 문제해결모형에 따라 수업진행이 비교적 잘 이루어진 상위 두 모둠은 문제에 대한 서로의 생각과 의견을 활발하게 나누며, 3단계의 의사결정과정이 모두 나타났다. 학생들의 고차원적인 문제해결력 향상을 위한 심화된 문제의 해결이 요구되는 현 상황에서, 비구조화된 문제의 개발 및 적용을 통해 학습자의 문제 해결의 가능성을 기대해 볼 수 있겠다.

벤쳐 투자를 위한 의사결정 클래스 분석 : 사례기반추론 접근방법 (Analyzing a Class of Investment Decisions in New Ventures : A CBR Approach)

  • Lee, Jae-Kwang;Kim, Jae-Kyeong
    • 한국지능정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지능정보시스템학회 1999년도 추계학술대회-지능형 정보기술과 미래조직 Information Technology and Future Organization
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    • pp.355-361
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    • 1999
  • An application of case-based reasoning is proposed to build an influence diagram for identifying successful new ventures. The decision to invest in new ventures in characterized by incomplete information and uncertainty, where some measures of firm performance are quantitative, while some others are substituted by qualitative indicators. Influence diagrams are used as a model for representing investment decision problems based on incomplete and uncertain information from a variety of sources. The building of influence diagrams needs much time and efforts and the resulting model such as a decision model is applicable to only one specific problem. However, some prior knowledge from the experience to build decision model can be utilized to resolve other similar decision problems. The basic idea of case-based reasoning is that humans reuse the problem solving experience to solve a new decision. In this paper, we suggest a case-based reasoning approach to build an influence diagram for the class of investment decision problems. This is composed of a retrieval procedure and an adaptation procedure. The retrieval procedure use two suggested measures, the fitting ratio and the garbage ratio. An adaptation procedure is based on a decision-analytic knowledge and decision participants knowledge. Each step of procedure is explained step by step, and it is applied to the investment decision problem in new ventures.

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지역 환경 문제 해결을 위한 시뮬레이션 게임 (A Study on the Simulation Game Design for the Problem Solving of Regional Environment Problems)

  • 유혜연;이동엽;최석진
    • 한국환경교육학회지:환경교육
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.125-136
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    • 2002
  • The ultimate goal of environmental education is to train the civilian who positively participates in solving environmental problems. To do above, not only accurate knowledge but also right value about environmental problems are needed. It is reasonable decision making that choose the first of all alternatives to solve the problems by accurate knowledge and right value of an individual. Teaching reasonable decision making in environmental education is related to raise the participant civilian toward regional environmental problem solving Simulation game helps that students have a opportunity to practice decision making skills about regional problems and give self-confidence to their decision making ability. So, the aim of this study is to present simulation games which is fit to elementary environmental education. The first one is for group decision making, the second one is for individual decision making. These can make a conclusion, winner and loser of games. But last one is open-ended game and aims to make explicit a variety of opinions, issues and conflicts to problem.

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