• Title/Summary/Keyword: machine learning

Search Result 5,167, Processing Time 0.039 seconds

Prediction of Building Construction Project Costs Using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System(ANFIS) (적응형 뉴로-퍼지(ANFIS)를 이용한 건축공사비 예측)

  • Yun, Seok-Heon;Park, U-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
    • /
    • v.23 no.1
    • /
    • pp.103-111
    • /
    • 2023
  • Accurate cost estimation in the early stages of a construction project is critical to the successful execution of the project. In this study, an ANFIS model was presented to predict construction costs in the early stages of a construction project. To increase the usability of the model, open construction cost data was used, and a model using limited information in the early stage of the project was presented. We analyzed existing studies related to ANFIS to identify recent trends, and after reviewing the basic structure of ANFIS, presented an ANFIS model for predicting conceptual construction costs. The variation in prediction performance depending on the type and number of membership functions of the ANFIS model was analyzed, the model with the best performance was presented, and the prediction accuracy of representative machine learning models was compared and analyzed. Through comparing the ANFIS model with other machine learning models, it was found to show equal or better performance, and it is concluded that it can be applied to predicting construction costs in the early stage of a project.

Prediction of CDOM absorption coefficient using Oversampling technique and Machine Learning in upstream reach of Baekje weir (백제보 상류하천구간의 Oversampling technique과 Machine Learning을 활용한 CDOM 흡수계수 예측)

  • Kim, Jinuk;Jang, Wonjin;Kim, Jinhwi;Park, Yongeun;Kim, Seongjoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2022.05a
    • /
    • pp.46-46
    • /
    • 2022
  • 유기물의 복잡한 혼합물인 CDOM(Colored or Chromophoric Dissolved Organic Matter)은 하천 내 BOD(Biological Oxygen Demand), COD(Chemical Oxygen Demand) 및 유기 오염물질과 상당한 관련이 있다. CDOM은 가시광선 영역에서 빛을 흡수하는 성질을 가지고 있으며, 최근 원격감지 기술로 CDOM을 모니터링하기 위한 연구가 진행되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 백제보 상류 23km 구간에서 3년(2016~2018) 중 13일의 초분광영상을 활용하여 머신러닝 기반 CDOM을 추정 알고리즘을 개발하고자 한다. 초분광영상은 400~970 nm의 범위의 4 nm 간격 127개 대역의 분광해상도와 2 m의 공간해상도를 가진 항공기 탑재 AsiaFENIX 초분광 센서를 통해 수집하였으며 CDOM은 Millipore polycarbonate filter (𝚽47, 0.2 ㎛)에서 여과된 CDOM 샘플 자료를 200~800 nm의 흡수계수 스펙트럼으로 추출하여 사용하였다. CDOM 값은 전체기간 동안 2.0~11.0 m-1의 값 분포를 보였으며 5 m-1이상의 고농도 구간 자료개수가 전체 153개 샘플자료 중 21개로 불균형하다. 따라서 ADASYN(Adaptive Synthesis Sampling Approach)의 oversampling 방법으로 생성된 합성 데이터를 사용하여 원본 데이터의 소수계층 데이터 불균형을 해결하고 모델 예측 성능을 개선하고자 하였다. 생성된 합성 데이터를 입력변수로 하여 ANN(Artificial Neural Netowk)을 활용한 CDOM 예측 알고리즘을 구축하였다. ADASYN 기법을 통한 합성 데이터는 관측된 데이터의 불균형을 해결하여 기계학습 모델의 CDOM 탐지 성능을 향상시킬 수 있으며, 저수지 내 유기 오염물질 관리를 위한 설계를 지원하는데 사용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF

Predicting the number of confirmed COVID-19 daily using machine learning models (머신러닝 모델을 이용한 일일 COVID-19 확진자 수 예측)

  • Min, song-ha;Oh, myung-ho;Kim, Jong-min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
    • /
    • 2022.05a
    • /
    • pp.697-700
    • /
    • 2022
  • Recently, as of March 18, 2022, Corona-19 (COVID-19) has 8,250,000 confirmed persons and 11,481 deaths, and has been increasing since the outbreak in 2020. By limiting the number of people and time, we are showing how our daily life changes depending on the number of confirmed coronas. Therefore, in this study, we implemented an algorithm that predicts the number of confirmed people the next day to help minimize damage to the limits of daily life. This algorithm is an algorithm that predicts the number of confirmed persons on the next day using the number of confirmed persons for 3 days. It is predicted by adding the RNN and Dense layers using the Sequential model, and the number of people is subdivided by region. In order to predict the limit, we matched the personnel limit based on the number of fixed persons per day based on Seoul.

  • PDF

Automated Prioritization of Construction Project Requirements using Machine Learning and Fuzzy Logic System

  • Hassan, Fahad ul;Le, Tuyen;Le, Chau;Shrestha, K. Joseph
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
    • /
    • 2022.06a
    • /
    • pp.304-311
    • /
    • 2022
  • Construction inspection is a crucial stage that ensures that all contractual requirements of a construction project are verified. The construction inspection capabilities among state highway agencies have been greatly affected due to budget reduction. As a result, efficient inspection practices such as risk-based inspection are required to optimize the use of limited resources without compromising inspection quality. Automated prioritization of textual requirements according to their criticality would be extremely helpful since contractual requirements are typically presented in an unstructured natural language in voluminous text documents. The current study introduces a novel model for predicting the risk level of requirements using machine learning (ML) algorithms. The ML algorithms tested in this study included naïve Bayes, support vector machines, logistic regression, and random forest. The training data includes sequences of requirement texts which were labeled with risk levels (such as very low, low, medium, high, very high) using the fuzzy logic systems. The fuzzy model treats the three risk factors (severity, probability, detectability) as fuzzy input variables, and implements the fuzzy inference rules to determine the labels of requirements. The performance of the model was examined on labeled dataset created by fuzzy inference rules and three different membership functions. The developed requirement risk prediction model yielded a precision, recall, and f-score of 78.18%, 77.75%, and 75.82%, respectively. The proposed model is expected to provide construction inspectors with a means for the automated prioritization of voluminous requirements by their importance, thus help to maximize the effectiveness of inspection activities under resource constraints.

  • PDF

Patch loading resistance prediction of steel plate girders using a deep artificial neural network and an interior-point algorithm

  • Mai, Sy Hung;Tran, Viet-Linh;Nguyen, Duy-Duan;Nguyen, Viet Tiep;Thai, Duc-Kien
    • Steel and Composite Structures
    • /
    • v.45 no.2
    • /
    • pp.159-173
    • /
    • 2022
  • This paper proposes a hybrid machine-learning model, which is called DANN-IP, that combines a deep artificial neural network (DANN) and an interior-point (IP) algorithm in order to improve the prediction capacity on the patch loading resistance of steel plate girders. For this purpose, 394 steel plate girders that were subjected to patch loading were tested in order to construct the DANN-IP model. Firstly, several DANN models were developed in order to establish the relationship between the patch loading resistance and the web panel length, the web height, the web thickness, the flange width, the flange thickness, the applied load length, the web yield strength, and the flange yield strength of steel plate girders. Accordingly, the best DANN model was chosen based on three performance indices, which included the R^2, RMSE, and a20-index. The IP algorithm was then adopted to optimize the weights and biases of the DANN model in order to establish the hybrid DANN-IP model. The results obtained from the proposed DANN-IP model were compared with of the results from the DANN model and the existing empirical formulas. The comparison showed that the proposed DANN-IP model achieved the best accuracy with an R^2 of 0.996, an RMSE of 23.260 kN, and an a20-index of 0.891. Finally, a Graphical User Interface (GUI) tool was developed in order to effectively use the proposed DANN-IP model for practical applications.

Prediction of Ship Travel Time in Harbour using 1D-Convolutional Neural Network (1D-CNN을 이용한 항만내 선박 이동시간 예측)

  • Sang-Lok Yoo;Kwang-Il Ki;Cho-Young Jung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
    • /
    • 2022.06a
    • /
    • pp.275-276
    • /
    • 2022
  • VTS operators instruct ships to wait for entry and departure to sail in one-way to prevent ship collision accidents in ports with narrow routes. Currently, the instructions are not based on scientific and statistical data. As a result, there is a significant deviation depending on the individual capability of the VTS operators. Accordingly, this study built a 1d-convolutional neural network model by collecting ship and weather data to predict the exact travel time for ship entry/departure waiting for instructions in the port. It was confirmed that the proposed model was improved by more than 4.5% compared to other ensemble machine learning models. Through this study, it is possible to predict the time required to enter and depart a vessel in various situations, so it is expected that the VTS operators will help provide accurate information to the vessel and determine the waiting order.

  • PDF

The evaluation of Spectral Vegetation Indices for Classification of Nutritional Deficiency in Rice Using Machine Learning Method

  • Jaekyeong Baek;Wan-Gyu Sang;Dongwon Kwon;Sungyul Chanag;Hyeojin Bak;Ho-young Ban;Jung-Il Cho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Crop Science Conference
    • /
    • 2022.10a
    • /
    • pp.88-88
    • /
    • 2022
  • Detection of stress responses in crops is important to diagnose crop growth and evaluate yield. Also, the multi-spectral sensor is effectively known to evaluate stress caused by nutrient and moisture in crops or biological agents such as weeds or diseases. Therefore, in this experiment, multispectral images were taken by an unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV) under field condition. The experiment was conducted in the long-term fertilizer field in the National Institute of Crop Science, and experiment area was divided into different status of NPK(Control, N-deficiency, P-deficiency, K-deficiency, Non-fertilizer). Total 11 vegetation indices were created with RGB and NIR reflectance values using python. Variations in nutrient content in plants affect the amount of light reflected or absorbed for each wavelength band. Therefore, the objective of this experiment was to evaluate vegetation indices derived from multispectral reflectance data as input into machine learning algorithm for the classification of nutritional deficiency in rice. RandomForest model was used as a representative ensemble model, and parameters were adjusted through hyperparameter tuning such as RandomSearchCV. As a result, training accuracy was 0.95 and test accuracy was 0.80, and IPCA, NDRE, and EVI were included in the top three indices for feature importance. Also, precision, recall, and f1-score, which are indicators for evaluating the performance of the classification model, showed a distribution of 0.7-0.9 for each class.

  • PDF

Radionuclide identification based on energy-weighted algorithm and machine learning applied to a multi-array plastic scintillator

  • Hyun Cheol Lee ;Bon Tack Koo ;Ju Young Jeon ;Bo-Wi Cheon ;Do Hyeon Yoo ;Heejun Chung;Chul Hee Min
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.55 no.10
    • /
    • pp.3907-3912
    • /
    • 2023
  • Radiation portal monitors (RPMs) installed at airports and harbors to prevent illicit trafficking of radioactive materials generally use large plastic scintillators. However, their energy resolution is poor and radionuclide identification is nearly unfeasible. In this study, to improve isotope identification, a RPM system based on a multi-array plastic scintillator and convolutional neural network (CNN) was evaluated by measuring the spectra of radioactive sources. A multi-array plastic scintillator comprising an assembly of 14 hexagonal scintillators was fabricated within an area of 50 × 100 cm2. The energy spectra of 137Cs, 60Co, 226Ra, and 4K (KCl) were measured at speeds of 10-30 km/h, respectively, and an energy-weighted algorithm was applied. For the CNN, 700 and 300 spectral images were used as training and testing images, respectively. Compared to the conventional plastic scintillator, the multi-arrayed detector showed a high collection probability of the optical photons generated inside. A Compton maximum peak was observed for four moving radiation sources, and the CNN-based classification results showed that at least 70% was discriminated. Under the speed condition, the spectral fluctuations were higher than those under dwelling condition. However, the machine learning results demonstrated that a considerably high level of nuclide discrimination was possible under source movement conditions.

Predictive Models for the Tourism and Accommodation Industry in the Era of Smart Tourism: Focusing on the COVID-19 Pandemic (스마트관광 시대의 관광숙박업 영업 예측 모형: 코로나19 팬더믹을 중심으로)

  • Yu Jin Jo;Cha Mi Kim;Seung Yeon Son;Mi Jin Noh
    • Smart Media Journal
    • /
    • v.12 no.8
    • /
    • pp.18-25
    • /
    • 2023
  • The COVID-19 outbreak in 2020 caused continuous damage worldwode, especially the smart tourism industry was hit directly by the blockade of sky roads and restriction of going out. At a time when overseas travel and domestic travel have decreased significantly, the number of tourist hotels that are colsed and closed due to the continued deficit is increasing. Therefore, in this study, licensing data from the Ministry of Public Administraion and Security were collected and visualized to understand the operation status of the tourism and lodging industry. The machine learning classification algorithm was applied to implement the business status prediction model of the tourist hotel, the performance of the prediction model was optimized using the ensemble algorithm, and the performance of the model was evaluated through 5-Fold cross-validation. It was predicted that the survival rate of tourist hotels would decrease somewhat, but the actual survival rate was analyzed to be no different from before COVID-19. Through the prediction of the business status of the hotel industry in this paper, it can be used as a basis for grasping the operability and development trends of the entire tourism and lodging industry.

Battery thermal runaway cell detection using DBSCAN and statistical validation algorithms (DBSCAN과 통계적 검증 알고리즘을 사용한 배터리 열폭주 셀 탐지)

  • Jingeun Kim;Yourim Yoon
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
    • /
    • v.9 no.5
    • /
    • pp.569-582
    • /
    • 2023
  • Lead-acid Battery is the oldest rechargeable battery system and has maintained its position in the rechargeable battery field. The battery causes thermal runaway for various reasons, which can lead to major accidents. Therefore, preventing thermal runaway is a key part of the battery management system. Recently, research is underway to categorize thermal runaway battery cells into machine learning. In this paper, we present a thermal runaway hazard cell detection and verification algorithm using DBSCAN and statistical method. An experiment was conducted to classify thermal runaway hazard cells using only the resistance values as measured by the Battery Management System (BMS). The results demonstrated the efficacy of the proposed algorithms in accurately classifying thermal runaway cells. Furthermore, the proposed algorithm was able to classify thermal runaway cells between thermal runaway hazard cells and cells containing noise. Additionally, the thermal runaway hazard cells were early detected through the optimization of DBSCAN parameters using a grid search approach.