• Title/Summary/Keyword: migration model

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Development a Estimate Model of Migration Using Cohort-Survival Model (집단 생잔 모형을 이용한 인구이동모델 개발)

  • Han, Yi-Cheol;Lee, Jeong-Jae;Jung, Nam-Su
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.456-460
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a estimation model of migration with only population data using the cohort-survival model which has been used for forecasting future population. The fluctuation of population can be bisected to the natural change which can be occurred by birth and death and the social change which means migration. The factors of the social change are usually very important for establishing rural policies. However, researches using migration data has limitations because the usage of them are restricted. For verifying a estimation model of migration, comparing estimated population in 2000 year and migration quantity between 1996 and 2000 of 25 gu with real values, using population data and death ratio from 1995 to 2000 of the 25 gu in Seoul. Result shows a reliable data that R-square of forecating population model is 0.9755 and migration is 0.9180. So these model are worth to estimate a population and migration quantity to restricted migration data.

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Dynamic File Migration And Mathematical model in Distributed Computer Systems (분산 시스템에서 동적 파일 이전과 수학적 모델)

  • Moon, Won Sik
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.35-40
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    • 2014
  • Many researches have been conducted to achieve improvement in distributed system that connects multiple computer systems via communication lines. Among others, the load balancing and file migration are considered to have significant impact on the performance of distributed system. The dynamic file migration algorithm common in distributed processing system involved complex calculations of decision function necessary for file migration and required migration of control messages for the performance of decision function. However, the performance of this decision function puts significant computational strain on computer. As one single network is shared by all computers, more computers connected to network means migration of more control messages from file migration, causing the network to trigger bottleneck in distributed processing system. Therefore, it has become imperative to carry out the research that aims to reduce the number of control messages that will be migrated. In this study, the learning automata was used for file migration which would requires only the file reference-related information to determine whether file migration has been made or determine the time and site of file migration, depending on the file conditions, thus reflecting the status of current system well and eliminating the message transfer and additional calculation overhead for file migration. Moreover, mathematical model for file migration was described in order to verify the proposed model. The results from mathematical model and simulation model suggest that the proposed model is well-suited to the distributed system.

Generating Complex Klinokinetic Movements of 2-D Migration Circuits Using Chaotic Model of Fish Behavior

  • Kim, Yong-Hae
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.159-169
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    • 2007
  • The complex 2-dimensional movements of fish during an annual migration circuit were generated and simulated by a chaotic model of fish movement, which was expanded from a small-scale movement model. Fish migration was modeled as a neural network including stimuli, central decision-making, and output responses as variables. The input stimuli included physical stimuli (temperature, salinity, turbidity, flow), biotic factors (prey, predators, life cycle) and landmarks or navigational aids (sun, moon, weather), values of which were all normalized as ratios. By varying the amplitude and period coefficients of the klinokinesis index using chaotic equations, model results (i.e., spatial orientation patterns of migration through time) were represented as fish feeding, spawning, overwintering, and sheltering. Simulations using this model generated 2-dimesional annual movements of sea bream migration in the southern and western seas of the Korean Peninsula. This model of object-oriented and large-scale fish migration produced complicated and sensitive migratory movements by varying both the klinokinesis coefficients (e.g., the amplitude and period of the physiological month) and the angular variables within chaotic equations.

Migration Decision-Making Process-Synthesis of Macrolevel and Microlevel Perspectives (거주지 이동에 관한 모형의 설정-거시적 접근과 미시적 접근의 결합)

  • 정기원
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.30-42
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    • 1989
  • This study develops a model of migration decision-making process, with identifying macrolevel and microlevel factors affecting the process. The model includes some sequential stages : to be dissatisfied with current residential area, intend to move, collect information about alternative destinations, select destination, decide to move, and make actual migration. The macrolevel factors included in the model are environmental, socioeconomic, cultural, and demographic characteristics of the current residence and alternative destinations. The microlevel factors are psychological, socioeconomic, and demographic characteristics of the individual. The effects of the macrolevel and microlevel factors on each stage of migration decision-making process are identified from the previous studies on migration. This study has both theoretical and practical implications. The theoretical contribution will be in the area of integrating the ecological and the individual level perspectives of migration by identifying the macrolevel and microlevel effects on migration decision-making process. This study also has implications for theoretical frameworks guiding empirical analysis of migration behavior of the individuals, and for policies aimed at redistributing population.

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Theoretical Migration Estimation of Acetaldehyde and Butyraldehyde from Polyethylene Terephthalate (PET) into Fermented Food Simulants (PET식품 용기에서 발효 모사 식품으로 전이되는 아세트알데히드와 부틸알데히드 예측 모델)

  • Lee, Daeun;Jeon, Hyunpyo;Kim, Sanghun
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.160-168
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    • 2016
  • Objectives: Materials coming into contact with food may result in the migration of chemical substances into the food. To protect consumers from exposure, Regulation (EU) No. 10/2011 specifies the use of standard migration tests. Polyethylene terephthalate (PET), widely used for food packaging materials, has drawn the attention of researchers because unwanted migration of PET into food might occur when consumers reuse packaging material. The aim of this study was to predict and develop a migration model for two components, acetaldehyde and butyraldehyde in PET, into food simulants under conditions of changing pH and solvents, such as those observed in fermented foods like kimchi or sauerkraut. Methods: Using a migration model based on Fick's second law of diffusion in one dimension, the migration of acetaldehyde and butyraldehyde from PET into a simulant of fermented food at $20^{\circ}C$ over 10 days was evaluated. The simulant for fermented food was modelled as 10% ethanol for three days, followed by 3% acetic acid for seven days. Results: The migration of acetaldehyde into the 10% ethanol was 0.36 times that of a simulated fermented food system, while that of butyraldehyde was 1.34 times greater. These results may have been influenced by the chemical interactions among the migrants, polymers and simulants, as well as by the solubilities of the migrants in polymers and simulants. Conclusion: Because food simulants have a limited capacity to mimic real food systems under the current migration model, an appropriate simulant and migration test should be considered in the case of increasing acidity. Furthermore, since the accuracy of the worst-case estimation of migration predicted by the current model is severely limited under changing food conditions, food simulants and their interactions should be further investigated with respect to conservative migration modelling.

Stochastic projection on international migration using Coherent functional data model (일관성 함수적 자료모형을 활용한 국제인구이동의 확률적 예측)

  • Kim, Soon-Young;Oh, Jinho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.517-541
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    • 2019
  • According to the OECD (2015) and UN (2017), Korea was classified as an immigration country. The designation as an immigration country means that net migration will remain positive and international migration is likely to affect population growth. KOSTAT (2011) used a model with more than 15 parameters to divide sexes, immigration and emigration based on the Wilson (2010) model, which takes into account population migration factors. Five years later, we assume the average of domestic net migration rate for the last five years and foreign government policy likely quota. However, both of these results were conservative estimates of international migration and provide different results than those used by the OECD and UN to classify an immigration country. In this paper, we proposed a stochastic projection on international migration using nonparametric model (FDM by Hyndman and Ullah (2007) and Coherent FDM by Hyndman et al. (2013)) that uses a functional data model for the international migration data of Korea from 2000-2017, noting the international migration such as immigration, emigration and net migration is non-linear and not linear. According to the result, immigration rate will be 1.098(male), 1.026(female) in 2018 and 1.228(male), 1.152(female) in 2025 per 1000 population, and the emigration rate will be 0.907(male), 0.879(female) in 2018 and 0.987(male), 0.959(female) in 2025 per 1000 population. Thus the net migration is expected to increase to 0.191(male), 0.148(female) in 2018 and 0.241(male), 0.192(female) in 2025 per 1000 population.

Mathematical Model for File Migration and Load Balancing in Distributed Systemsc (분산 시스템에서 파일 이전과 부하 균등을 위한 수학적 모델)

  • Moon, Wonsik
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.153-162
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    • 2017
  • Advances in communication technologies and the decreasing cost of computers have made distributed computer systems an attractive alternative for satisfying the information needs of large organizations. This paper presents a distributed algorithm for performance improvement through load balancing and file migration in distributed systems. We employed a sender initiated strategy for task migration and used learning automata with several internal states for file migration. A task can be migrated according to the load information of a computer. A file is migrated to the destination processor when it is in the right boundary state. We also described an analytical model for load balancing with file migration to verify the proposed algorithm. Analytical and simulation results show that our algorithm is very well-suited for distributed system environments.

A STUDY ON CANCER CELL INVASION WITH A THREE-DIMENSIONAL DYNAMIC MULTI-PHYSICS MODEL (3차원 동적 다중물리 모델 기반 암세포 증식과정 예측기술 개발)

  • Song, J.;Zhang, L.;Kim, D.
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.556-561
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    • 2010
  • This paper proposes a three-dimensional haptotaxis model to simulate the migration of the population of cancer cells. The invasion of the cancer cells relates with the hapto- and the effect of the energy between cells and (ECM). The diffuse interface model is employed, which incorporates haptotaxis mechanism and interface energies. The semi-implicit Fourier spectral scheme is adopted for efficient complications. The simulation results reveal rich dynamics of cancer cells migration.

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DNAPL migration in fracture networks and its remediation

  • 이항복;지성훈;여인욱;이강근
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Soil and Groundwater Environment Conference
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    • 2003.09a
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    • pp.543-547
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    • 2003
  • We applied the modified invasion percolation (MIP) model to the migration of DNAPL within a two-dimensional random fracture network. The MIP model was verified against laboratory experiments, which was conducted using a two-dimensional random fracture network model. The results showed that the MIP needs modification. To remove TCE trapped in a random fracture network, the density-surfactant-motivated removal method was applied and found very effective to remove TCE from dead-end fractures.

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Network analysis of urban-to-rural migration (네트워크 모형을 이용한 귀농인구 이동 분석)

  • Lee, Hyunsoo;Roh, Jaesun;Jung, Jin Hwa;Jang, Woncheol
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.487-503
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    • 2016
  • Urban-to-rural migration for farming has recently emerged as a new way to vitalize rural economies in a fast-aging rural Korea. In this paper, we analyze the 2013 data of returning farmers with statistical network methods. We identify urban to rural migration hubs with centrality measures and find migration trends based on regional clusters with similar features via statistical network models. We also fit a latent distance model to investigate the role of distance in migration.