• Title/Summary/Keyword: nowcast

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Development of a Nowcast System for the Taiwan Strait (TSNOW): Numerical Simulation of Barotropic Tides

  • Jan, Sen;Wang, Yu-Huai;Chao, Shenn-Yu;Wang, Dong-Ping
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.195-203
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    • 2001
  • A fine-grid (3 km ${\times}$ 3 km), three-dimensional nowcast system of sea levels, currents, temperature, and salinity is being developed for the Taiwan Strait. The project takes a balanced approach relying equally on models and observations, will have the capacity of real-time data assimilation, and is aimed at both practical and scientific applications. To determine boundary conditions and verify model results, eight coastal tide-gauge stations were first established along both sides of the strait. Strait-wide hydrographic surveys were conducted by research vessels. Currents are being measured using bottom-mounted ADCP moorings in a meridional deep channel off southwest Taiwan and along a traverse section in the central part of the strait. In addition to a fine-resolution three-dimensional model of the Taiwan Strait, an adjoint model and a larger-domain two-dimensional model were used to better determine boundary conditions in the northern and southern boundaries of the strait. In the first stage of model development, barotropic tides were successfully simulated in a hindcast mode. The protocol product has been released to general public, including government agencies, universities and general users.

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Nowcast of TV Market using Google Trend Data

  • Youn, Seongwook;Cho, Hyun-chong
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.227-233
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    • 2016
  • Google Trends provides weekly information on keyword search frequency on the Google search engine. Search volume patterns for the search keyword can also be analyzed based on category and by the location of those making the search. Also, Google provides “Hot searches” and “Top charts” including top and rising searches that include the search keyword. All this information is kept up to date, and allows trend comparisons by providing past weekly figures. In this study, we present a predictive model for TV markets using the searched data in Google search engine (Google Trend data). Using a predictive model for the market and analysis of the Google Trend data, we obtained an efficient and meaningful result for the TV market, and also determined highly ranked countries and cities. This method can provide very useful information for TV manufacturers and others.

Development of AIRWARE System by EUREKA E!3266-EUROENVIRON WEBAIR SYSTEM (EUREKA E!3266 (EUROENVIRON WEBAIR SYSTEM)에 의한 대기질 모델링 시스템 (AIRWARE) 개발)

  • Lee, Hern-Chang;Jung, Jae-Chil;Fedra, Kurt;Kim, Dong-Young;Kim, Tai-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.167-174
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    • 2009
  • The AIRWARE System was developed from one of the EUREKA PROJECT E!3266-EUROENVIRON WEBAIR System. The AIRWARE can nowcast and forecast the air quality of Seoul and Gyeonggi-do regions. To nowcast and forecast concentration of pollutants, MM5, AERMOD/CAMx, and SMOKE Models were used for each meteorologic data, measured data, and emission data. All DB were constructed for 2001 year. The episode analysis and time series analysis were accomplished to analyze the AIRWARE reliability. The simulated results were very well agreed with measured result for measured pollutants and meteorological data. The developed AIRWARE system can analyze with real-time, support web-based air quality information. This information can used with policy data to manage the air quality and prepare reduction plan in air impact assessment or air environmental plan.

Space Weather Monitoring System for Geostationary Satellites and Polar Routes

  • Baek, Ji-Hye;Lee, Jae-Jin;Choi, Seong-Hwan;Hwang, Jung-A;Hwang, Eun-Mi;Park, Young-Deuk
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.101.2-101.2
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    • 2011
  • We have developed solar and space weather monitoring system for space weather users since 2007 as a project named 'Construction of Korea Space Weather Prediction Center'. In this presentation we will introduce space weather monitoring system for Geostationary Satellites and Polar Routes. These were developed for satisfying demands of space weather user groups. 'Space Weather Monitoring System for Geostationary Satellites' displays integrated space weather information on geostationary orbit such as magnetopause location, nowcast and forecast of space weather, cosmic ray count rate, number of meteors and x-ray solar flux. This system is developed for space weather customers who are managing satellite systems or using satellite information. In addition, this system provides space weather warning by SMS in which short message is delivered to users' cell phones when space weather parameters reach a critical value. 'Space Weather Monitoring System for Polar Routes' was developed for the commercial airline companies operating polar routes. This provides D-region and polar cap absorption map, aurora and radiation particle distribution, nowcast and forecast of space weather, proton flux, Kp index and so on.

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Analysis of Cosmic Radiation Exposure for Domestic Flight Crews in Korea

  • Ahn, Hee-Bok;Hwang, Junga;Kwak, Jaeyoung;Kim, Kyuwang
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.51-57
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    • 2022
  • Cosmic radiation exposure of the flight crews in Korea has been managed by Radiation Safety Management around Living Life Act under Nuclear Safety and Security Commission. However, the domestic flight crews are excluded from the Act because of relatively low route dose exposure compared to that of international flight crews. But we found that the accumulated total annual dose of domestic flight crews is far from negligible because of relatively long total flight time and too many flights. In this study, to suggest the necessity of management of domestic flight crews' radiation exposure, we statistically analyzed domestic flight crew's accumulative annual dose by using cosmic radiation estimation models of the Civil Aviation Research Institute (CARI)-6M, Nowcast of Atmospheric Ionizing Radiation for Aviation Safety (NAIRAS), and Korean Radiation Exposure Assessment Model (KREAM) and compared with in-situ measurements of Liulin-6K LET spectrometer. As a result, the average exposure dose of domestic flight crews was found to be 0.5-0.8 mSv. We also expect that our result might provide the basis to include the domestic flight crews as radiation workers, not just international flight attendants.

A Model for Nowcasting Commodity Price based on Social Media Data (소셜 데이터 기반 실시간 식자재 물가 예측 모형)

  • Kim, Jaewoo;Cha, Meeyoung;Lee, Jong Gun
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.44 no.12
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    • pp.1258-1268
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    • 2017
  • Capturing real-time daily information on food prices is invaluable to help policymakers and development organizations address food security problems and improve public welfare. This study analyses the possible use of large-scale online data, available due to growing Internet connectivity in developing countries, to provide updates on food security landscape. We conduct a case study of Indonesia to develop a time-series prediction model that nowcasts daily food prices for four types of food commodities that are essential in the region: beef, chicken, onion and chilli. By using Twitter price quotes, we demonstrate the capability of social data to function as an affordable and efficient proxy for traditional offline price statistics.

Prediction of SST for Operational Ocean Prediction System

  • Kang, Yong-Quin
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.189-194
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    • 2001
  • A practical algorithm for prediction of the sea surface temperatures (SST)from the satellite remote sensing data is presented in this paper. The fluctuations of SST consist of deterministic normals and stochastic anomalies. Due to large thermal inertia of sea water, the SST anomalies can be modelled by autoregressive or Markov process, and its near future values can be predicted provided the recent values of SST are available. The actual SST is predicted by superposing the pre-known SST normals and the predicted SST anomalies. We applied this prediction algorithm to the NOAA AVHRR weekly SST data for 18 years (1981-1998) in the seas adjacent to Korea (115-$145^{\circ}E$, 20-$55^{\circ}N$). The algorithm is applicable not only for prediction of SST in near future but also for nowcast of SST in the cloud covered regions.

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DEVELOPMENT OF KAO SPACE WEATHER MONITORING SYSTEM: II. NOWCAST, FORECAST AND DATABASE (한국천문연구원의 태양 및 우주환경 모니터링 시스템 개발: II. 실시간 진단, 예보, 데이터베이스)

  • Park, So-Young;Cho, Kyung-Seok;Moon, Yong-Jae;Park, Hyung-Min;Kim, Rok-Soon;Hwangbo, Jung-Eun;Park, Young-Deuk;Kim, Yeon-Han
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.441-452
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    • 2004
  • Nowcast and forecast based on realtime data are quite essential for space weather monitoring. We have developed the web pages (http://sun.kao.re.kr) of the KAO Space Weather Monitoring system by using ION (IDL on the Net). They display latest solar and geomagnetic data, and present their expected effects on satellite, communications and ground power system. In addition, daily NOAA/SEC prediction reports on the probability of solar X-ray flares, proton events and geomagnetic storms are provided. To predict the arrival times of interplanetary shocks and CMEs, two different types of prediction models are also implemented. A work is in progress to develop web-based database of several solar and geomagnetic activities. These data are automatically downloaded to our data server in every minute, or every day using IDL and FTP programs. In this paper, we will introduce more details on the development of the KAO Space Weather Monitoring system.

Development of flood forecasting system on city·mountains·small river area in Korea and assessment of forecast accuracy (전국 도시·산지·소하천 돌발홍수예측 시스템 개발 및 정확도 평가)

  • Hwang, Seokhwan;Yoon, Jungsoo;Kang, Narae;Lee, Dong-Ryul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.3
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    • pp.225-236
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    • 2020
  • It is not easy to provide sufficient lead time for flood forecast in urban and small mountain basins using on-ground rain gauges, because the time concentration in those basins is too short. In urban and small mountain basins with a short lag-time between precipitation and following flood events, it is more important to secure forecast lead times by predicting rainfall amounts. The Han River Flood Control Office (HRFCO) in South Korea produces short-term rainfall forecasts using the Mcgill Algorithm for Precipitation-nowcast by Lagrangian Extrapolation (MAPLE) algorithm that converts radar reflectance of rainfall events. The Flash Flood Research Center (FFRC) in the Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology (KICT) installed a flash flood forecasting system using the short-term rainfall forecast data produced by the HRFCO and has provided flash flood information in a local lvel with 1-hour lead time since 2019. In this study, we addressed the flash flood forecasting system based on the radar rainfall and the assessed the accuracy of the forecasting system for the recorded flood events occurred in 2019. A total of 31 flood disaster cases were used to evaluate the accuracy and the forecast accuracy was 90.3% based on the probability of detection.