• Title/Summary/Keyword: outflow of youth population

Search Result 4, Processing Time 0.018 seconds

Analysis of Risk Factors for Youth Population Outflow in Busan Based on Machine Learning (머신러닝 기반 부산 청년인구 유출위험 요인 분석)

  • Seoyoung Sohn;Hyeseong Yang;Minseo Park
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
    • /
    • v.9 no.6
    • /
    • pp.131-136
    • /
    • 2023
  • Local youth outmigration is increasingly growing. Various studies are being conducted to identify the factors contributing to this problem, but there is a lack of research analyzing each region individually. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the factors influencing youth outmigration in Busan and predict the risk levels of youth population outflow using machine learning techniques. By utilizing district-level data collected from the KOSIS, we divided the population into three groups based on age (the early 20s, late 20s, and early 30s) and employed Decision Tree and Random Forest algorithms to classify and predict the risk levels of youth population outmigration. The results indicate that the predictive model for youth outmigration risk levels achieves the highest accuracies of 0.93, 0.75, and 0.63 for each age group, respectively.

Proposal for Direction of Response to Disappearance of Differentiated Local Areas (지역별 차별화된 지방소멸 대응 방향성 제시)

  • Sung Jin Kim;Dong Eun Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
    • /
    • 2023.01a
    • /
    • pp.161-163
    • /
    • 2023
  • 본 논문은 K-지방소멸지수를 바탕으로 지역 성장에 초점을 두어 지방소멸 대응 방향성을 제시한다. 연령별 추계인구 데이터와 총 요소 생산성 데이터를 비교하여 청년층의 감소가 지역 성장에 미치는 영향을 보여준다. 이에 따라 연도별 청년이 가장 많이 유출되는 지역을 샘플링하여 전출 사유를 알아보고 지역별 차별화된 대응 방향성을 제시한다.

  • PDF

A Study on the Characteristics of One-Person Household in Local Small and Medium Cities (지방 중소도시 유형별 1인 가구 특성연구)

  • Ahn, Jung-Geun;Kim, Dong-Sung;Park, Cheol-Heung
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
    • /
    • v.36 no.2
    • /
    • pp.13-24
    • /
    • 2020
  • In modern society, the number of one-person households is increasing significantly. In particular, one-person households have rapidly increased around local small and medium-sized cities. This study examines the characteristics of local small and medium-sized cities by factor and cluster analysis. Analysis of variance are applied to the characteristics of one-person household in different local cities to find the relationship between different types of cities and the characteristics of one-person households. As a result of the study, local small and medium-sized cities are classified into growth stagnation cities, industrial leading cities, regional base cities, and population outflow cities. It is also found that there are several different types of local cities based on the characteristics of one-person households. The growth stagnation city is a city where the regional economy is revitalized due to the development of regional industries in the past. One-person households have a small age group in their 30s and 40s, which are the basis of industrial activities. They have a high proportion of older generation living in more than three rooms in their homes. It is necessary to supply long-term public rental housing and share houses for older generation. The leading city of the industry is a city where the local economy is revitalized as workers are concentrated. One-person households are evenly distributed among all age groups, and the apartment occupancy rate is the highest compared to other types. It is necessary to provide happy housing for youth generation and reconstruction or renovation housing of manhood generation. The regional base city leads the regional base function and the regional economy, but it has reduced workers. Many of one-person households are younger than 30 years old and college educated. They are also high rate of unmarried and live at one room as rental houses. It is needed to expand the supply of small houses such as apartments, officetels and rented houses for youth generation. The population outflow city has a slow local economy and a rural residential environment. It is found that the households of one-person households have high rate of bereavement and the age. They live more than four rooms in single-family homes. It is necessary not only to provide welfare housing but also to create a sound residential environment where cultural exchange is possible.

Developing Local Human Resources Program by Analyzing the Preference Factors for Enrollment of Higher Education in Seoul-Metropolitan Area: Focused on High School Students in Jeonbuk (수도권대학 진학 선호 요인 분석을 통한 지역인재 양성 프로그램의 방향 모색: 전북지역 고등학생을 중심으로)

  • Pak, Sungsine;Kim, Seok-soon
    • Journal of Practical Engineering Education
    • /
    • v.14 no.1
    • /
    • pp.205-217
    • /
    • 2022
  • For high school students in Jeonbuk, this study aims to identify the problems caused by outflow of local youth population and their preference factors to enter university in Seoul-metropolitan area, and to draw out the direction of local human resources program, through questionnaire investigation and focused group interview. The main findings are as follows: First, 68.8% of high school students, especially the top grade students prefer to enter university in metropolitan area. The metropolitan cultural characteristics, such as reputation of universities and ranking, openness and anonymity, and urban infrastructure attract students. Second, there is a close relationship between the individual background, growth area - enrollment area - employment area, and the location dependency without return migration is very strong. Third, local human resources program was evaluated as a meaningful activity for high school students, in order to understand the further education and career, and have an interest in local universities. Therefore, it is necessary to discover industries consistent with local identity, create networks, develop and implement programs considering the actual educational conditions. The gender-free program, supplement program for the integrated curriculum, and contents that to supplement science subjects should be developed. Additionally, this issue could be resolved expanding the perspective of balanced national development and improve the local environment to enhance the urban attraction points.