• Title/Summary/Keyword: regime-switching copula

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A risk analysis of step-down equity-linked securities based on regime-switching copula

  • Nguyen, Manh Duc;Ko, Bangwon;Kwon, Hyuk-Sung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.79-95
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    • 2020
  • The globalization of financial markets has broadened investment opportunities. International investors' investment portfolios consist of financial instruments from various countries; consequently, the risks associated with economic dependence among countries should be carefully considered. Step-down equity-linked securities (ELS) are a structured financial product that have recently become popular among Korean investors. Payoffs are based on two or three stock indices from different regions; therefore, dependence between the indices should be reflected in the risk analysis. In this study, we consider a regime-switching copula model to describe the joint behavior of two stock indices- the Eurostoxx50 and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI). These indices are commonly used as underlying assets of step-down ELS. Using historical data, we analyze the risk associated with step-down ELS through the probabilities of early redemption. A regime-switching copula model can accommodate complicated dependence. Thus, it should be considered in the risk analysis of step-down ELS.

DEFAULTABLE BOND PRICING USING REGIME SWITCHING INTENSITY MODEL

  • Goutte, Stephane;Ngoupeyou, Armand
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.31 no.5_6
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    • pp.711-732
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we are interested in finding explicit numerical formulas to evaluate defaultable bonds prices of firms. For this purpose, we use a default intensity whose values depend on the credit rating of these firms. Each credit rating corresponds to a state of the default intensity. Then, this regime switches as soon as one of the credit rating of a firm also changes. Moreover, this regime switching default intensity model allows us to capture well some market features or economics behaviors. Thus, we obtain two explicit different formulas to evaluate the conditional Laplace transform of a regime switching Cox Ingersoll Ross model. One using the property of semi-affine of the model and the other one using analytic approximation. We conclude by giving some numerical illustrations of these formulas and real data estimation results.