• 제목/요약/키워드: reliability index

검색결과 1,226건 처리시간 0.029초

Effects of selection index coefficients that ignore reliability on economic weights and selection responses during practical selection

  • Togashi, Kenji;Adachi, Kazunori;Yasumori, Takanori;Kurogi, Kazuhito;Nozaki, Takayoshi;Onogi, Akio;Atagi, Yamato;Takahashi, Tsutomu
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2018
  • Objective: In practical breeding, selection is often performed by ignoring the accuracy of evaluations and applying economic weights directly to the selection index coefficients of genetically standardized traits. The denominator of the standardized component trait of estimated genetic evaluations in practical selection varies with its reliability. Whereas theoretical methods for calculating the selection index coefficients of genetically standardized traits account for this variation, practical selection ignores reliability and assumes that it is equal to unity for each trait. The purpose of this study was to clarify the effects of ignoring the accuracy of the standardized component trait in selection criteria on selection responses and economic weights in retrospect. Methods: Theoretical methods were presented accounting for reliability of estimated genetic evaluations for the selection index composed of genetically standardized traits. Results: Selection responses and economic weights in retrospect resulting from practical selection were greater than those resulting from theoretical selection accounting for reliability when the accuracy of the estimated breeding value (EBV) or genomically enhanced breeding value (GEBV) was lower than those of the other traits in the index, but the opposite occurred when the accuracy of the EBV or GEBV was greater than those of the other traits. This trend was more conspicuous for traits with low economic weights than for those with high weights. Conclusion: Failure of the practical index to account for reliability yielded economic weights in retrospect that differed from those obtained with the theoretical index. Our results indicated that practical indices that ignore reliability delay genetic improvement. Therefore, selection practices need to account for reliability, especially when the reliabilities of the traits included in the index vary widely.

신뢰성지수를 이용한 효율적인 발파설계 (An Efficient Blast Design using Reliability Index)

  • 박연수;박선준;강성후
    • 소음진동
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    • 제8권5호
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    • pp.821-831
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    • 1998
  • The actual ground vibrations due to NATM and foundation blasting at Seoul(weathered rock), Pusan(weathered rock) and Youngkwang(quartz andesite) have been measured, and the data were analyzed using reliability index($\beta$) to determinate the vibration equations and the maximum charge weight for efficient blast. These were suggested with the division of ultimate limit state($\beta$=0), serviceability limit state($\beta$=1.28) and safety state($\beta$=3), respectively. The reliability index 0 mean 50% data line obtained by the least squares best-fit line. The reliability index 1.28 and 3 represent bounds below 90% and 99.9% of the data, respectively. In this study, reliability index $\beta$=1.28 with security and economy was suggested. The maximum charge weight equations for efficient blast were obtained in W=(Vc/384.90)1.5151.D3(Seoul), W=(Vc/579.82)1.4706.D3(Pusan). W=(Vc/1654.01)1.3456.D3(Youngkwang), and the blast vibration equatiions in V=385(SD)-1.98(Seoul), V=580(SD)-2.04(Pusan), V=1654(SD)-2.23(Youngkwang), respectively. From this study, inference and analysis methods of vibration equations using reliability theory were established.

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한계상태설계를 위한 단일 쇄석다짐말뚝의 목표신뢰도지수 (Target Reliability Index of Single Gravel Compaction Piles for Limit State Design)

  • 유영권;임희대;박준모
    • 한국지반환경공학회 논문집
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.5-15
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    • 2014
  • 목표신뢰도지수는 한계상태설계법에서 안전여유의 지표가 되며, 부분계수를 결정하는데 있어 매우 중요한 역할을 한다. 본 연구에서는 한계상태설계법에서 필요로 하는 목표신뢰도지수의 결정을 위하여 쇄석다짐말뚝이 적용된 6개소의 설계-시공사례를 조사하였다. 쇄석다짐말뚝의 주요 파괴모드인 팽창파괴에 대한 한계상태함수를 정의하고, 일계신뢰성해석법(FORM)을 이용하여 극한지지력, 이론식별, 신뢰도수준을 평가하였다. 현행 쇄석다짐말뚝의 신뢰도지수는 허용응력설계법에 의해 산정된 안전율과 비례하는 경향을 보였으며, 평균 신뢰도지수는${\beta}$=2.30으로 평가되었다. 신뢰성해석에 의해 평가된 신뢰도 수준과 기존 구조물 기초에 대한 목표신뢰도지수를 비교 분석한바, 쇄석다짐말뚝 기초는 말뚝기초 및 얕은기초에 비하여 비교적 낮은 안정성 수준이 요구되며, 쇄석다짐말뚝의 현재 신뢰도수준은 보강토옹벽, 쏘일네일링에서 제안된 목표신뢰도지수와 유사한 범위를 보이므로 쇄석다짐말뚝의 목표신뢰도지수를 ${\beta}_T$= 2.33으로 제안하였다.

교대 기초말뚝의 측방유동 판정식에 관한 신뢰성 해석 (Reliability Analysis on the Decision Method of Lateral Flow of Foundation Piles for Abutment)

  • 안종필;김규덕;김일구;최진호
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2008년도 추계 학술발표회
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    • pp.1090-1097
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    • 2008
  • This study conducted the decision method of lateral flow in abutment structures founded on the soft soils and the reliability analysis on the foundation pile for abutment. On the basis of the results, this study proposed the reliability design model. Reliability analysis was conducted by applying second moment method, point estimation method, and expected total cost minimization to lateral movement index, lateral movement decision index, modified lateral movement decision index, and circular failure safety factor for the decision criteria of lateral flow. The reliability index by analysis method had a similar tendency each other. Point estimation method was found as a practical method in the aspect of convenience because it could conduct the analysis only by mean and standard deviation as well as the partial derivative on random variables was not necessary. Optimum reliability index and optimum safety according to increasing in failure factors and load ratio were analyzed and loads and resistance factors of the design criteria of optimum reliability were estimated. It presented rational design model which can consider construction level and stability and economical efficiency overall.

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말뚝 기초지지력에 대한 안전율과 신뢰도지수 평가 (Relations of Safety Factor and Reliability Index for Pile Load Capacity)

  • 김대호;이준환
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2006년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.466-475
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    • 2006
  • Reliability analysis between safety factor and reliability index for driven and bored pile load capacity was analyzed in this study. 0.1B, Chin, De Beer, and Davisson's methods were used for determining pile load capacity by using load-settlement curve from pile load test. Each method define ultimate, yield and allowable pile load capacities. LCPC method using CPT results was performed for comparing with results of pile load test. Based on FOSM analysis using load factors, it is obtained that reliability indices for ultimate pile load capacity were higher than those of yield and allowable condition. Present safety factor 2 for yield and allowable load capacities are not enough to satisfy target reliability index $2.0\sim2.5$. However, it is sufficient for ultimate pile load capacity using safety factor 3.

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배전계통의 신뢰도 지수와 수용가 밀도에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Reliability Index and Customer Density of Distribution System)

  • 배인수;김진오
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제60권9호
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    • pp.1646-1650
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    • 2011
  • SAIDI(System Average Interruption Duration Index) is the index that signifies the power quality of customers. SAIDI is also used to know how well utilities operate their systems. The annual interruption time in the areas that consists of widely distributed customers, is generally longer than that in the areas that consists of heavily concentrated customers. The Reliability index of huge system is not necessarily better or worse than that of small system, because SAIDI is irrelevant to the total amount of power sold or the total number of customers. This paper proposes a customer density very relevant to SAIDI. The proposed customer density is used to modify the existing SAIDI to more clearly express the service level of power supply. A modified WSAIDI(weighted SAIDI) can be a useful indicator helping utilities improve the reliability of their systems and customers evaluate the service level of receiving power.

퇴행성 슬관절염 환자에 대한 한글판 WOMAC Index의 신뢰도와 타당성에 관한 연구 (Reliability and Validity of the Korean Western Ontario and McMaster Universities(WOMAC) Osteoarthritis Index in Patients with Osteoarthritis of the Knee)

  • 고태성;김성렬;이종수
    • 한방재활의학과학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.251-260
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    • 2009
  • Objectives : To investigate reliability and validity of Korean translation of Western Ontario and McMaster Universities(WOMAC) osteoarthritis index. Methods : The reliablity, construct validity of the Korean WOMAC Index in the patient of knee osteoarthritis was investigated. Test-retest reliability was quantified with pearson's correlation coefficient and intraclass correlation coefficient. Internal consistency was quantified with Cronbach's ${\alpha}$. and construct validity with pearson's correlation coefficient by correlating of the Visual Analog Scale(VAS). Results : Test-retest reliability of Korean WOMAC Index for pain was 0.76 to 0.95, stiffness was 0.89 to 0.94, and physical function was 0.71 to 0.95. Intraclass correlation coefficient for pain was 0.76 to 0.94, stiffness was 0.54 to 0.89, and physical function was 0.70 to 0.95. Internal consistency were 0.94 and 0.94 for the first and second time, respectively. Construct validity for pain was 0.79, for stiffness was 0.66, and physical function was 0.67. Conclusions : The Korean translation of Western Ontario and McMaster Universities(WOMAC) osteoarthritis index is reliable, valid assessment tool in knee osteoarthritis.

Maintenance Priority Index of Overhead Transmission Lines for Reliability Centered Approach

  • Heo, Jae-Haeng;Kim, Mun-Kyeom;Kim, Dam;Lyu, Jae-Kun;Kang, Yong-Cheol;Park, Jong-Keun
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.1248-1257
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    • 2014
  • Overhead transmission lines are crucial components in power transmission systems. Well-designed maintenance strategy for overhead lines is required for power utilities to minimize operating costs, while improving the reliability of the power system. This paper presents a maintenance priority index (MPI) of overhead lines for a reliability centered approach. Proposed maintenance strategy is composed of a state index and importance indices, taking into account a transmission condition and importance in system reliability, respectively. The state index is used to determine the condition of overhead lines. On the other hand, the proposed importance indices indicate their criticality analysis in transmission system, by using a load effect index (LEI) and failure effect index (FEI). The proposed maintenance method using the MPI has been tested on an IEEE 9-bus system, and a numerical result demonstrates that our strategy is more cost effective than traditional maintenance strategies.

Reliability-based assessment of steel bridge deck using a mesh-insensitive structural stress method

  • Ye, X.W.;Yi, Ting-Hua;Wen, C.;Su, Y.H.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.367-382
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    • 2015
  • This paper aims to conduct the reliability-based assessment of the welded joint in the orthotropic steel bridge deck by use of a mesh-insensitive structural stress (MISS) method, which is an effective numerical procedure to determine the reliable stress distribution adjacent to the weld toe. Both the solid element model and the shell element model are first established to investigate the sensitivity of the element size and the element type in calculating the structural stress under different loading scenarios. In order to achieve realistic condition assessment of the welded joint, the probabilistic approach based on the structural reliability theory is adopted to derive the reliability index and the failure probability by taking into account the uncertainties inherent in the material properties and load conditions. The limit state function is formulated in terms of the structural resistance of the material and the load effect which is described by the structural stress obtained by the MISS method. The reliability index is computed by use of the first-order reliability method (FORM), and compared with a target reliability index to facilitate the safety assessment. The results achieved from this study reveal that the calculation of the structural stress using the MISS method is insensitive to the element size and the element type, and the obtained structural stress results serve as a reliable basis for structural reliability analysis.

설계, 개발 및 양산 정보를 활용한 신뢰성 지수 개발 (Development of a Reliability Index using Design, Development and Production Information)

  • 김성규;박정원;김용수
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제43권3호
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    • pp.373-382
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: In this paper, we developed a reliability index (RI) to efficiently compare reliability of products based on the design, development and production information such as reliability tests, quality, product life-cycle management. RI also can be applied to reliability prediction of a novel product as well as comparison evaluation among existing products. Methods: For evaluating RI, we proposed evaluation process which is composed of five steps. Target modules are selected based on warranty data and correlation analysis. Scores of selected target modules are calculated by scoring function. Finally, weights of RI model are determined by optimization method. Results: This paper presented an empirical analysis based on failure data of mobile devices. In this case study, we demonstrated that there is a direct correlation between evaluated RI and field failure probability of each product. Conclusion: We proposed the index for comprehensive and effective assessment of product reliability level. From the procedure of this study, we expected to be applied for reliability estimation of novel products and deduction of field failure-related factors.