• Title/Summary/Keyword: reliability theory

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Reliability analysis of laminated composite shells by response surface method based on HSDT

  • Thakur, Sandipan N.;Chakraborty, Subrata;Ray, Chaitali
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.72 no.2
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    • pp.203-216
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    • 2019
  • Reliability analysis of composite structures considering random variation of involved parameters is quite important as composite materials revealed large statistical variations in their mechanical properties. The reliability analysis of such structures by the first order reliability method (FORM) and Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) based approach involves repetitive evaluations of performance function. The response surface method (RSM) based metamodeling technique has emerged as an effective solution to such problems. In the application of metamodeling for uncertainty quantification and reliability analysis of composite structures; the finite element model is usually formulated by either classical laminate theory or first order shear deformation theory. But such theories show significant error in calculating the structural responses of composite structures. The present study attempted to apply the RSM based MCS for reliability analysis of composite shell structures where the surrogate model is constructed using higher order shear deformation theory (HSDT) of composite structures considering the uncertainties in the material properties, load, ply thickness and radius of curvature of the shell structure. The sensitivity of responses of the shell is also obtained by RSM and finite element method based direct approach to elucidate the advantages of RSM for response sensitivity analysis. The reliability results obtained by the proposed RSM based MCS and FORM are compared with the accurate reliability analysis results obtained by the direct MCS by considering two numerical examples.

Recent Development of Reliability Engineering and Research Trend Analysis in Korea (최근 국내 신뢰성 공학의 발전과 연구 동향 및 분석)

  • Lim, Ik Sung
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.253-271
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    • 2013
  • Since The Korean Reliability Society had been founded in 1999, development history of reliability engineering in Korea is reviewed and research outputs and papers from 2008 to current are analyzed in terms of types of industry, product life cycle, hardware vs software, and theory vs application. The purpose of this research is to review the recent reliability engineering research conducted in Korea including development history as well as published papers to identify the weakness and/or deficiencies in order to suggest the future research directions, which would contribute the development of industries in Korea.

The Estimation of Analytical Method for Axial Force-Moment Relationships of High-Strength Concrete Structures using Reliability Theory (신뢰성 이론을 이용한 고강도콘크리트 구조물의 축력-모멘트관계에 있어서의 해석방법에 대한 평가)

  • 최광진;장일영;송재호;홍원기
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 1998.04b
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    • pp.447-454
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    • 1998
  • The main object of the study is that axial force-moment relationships for high strength concrete structures using reliability theory(Linear statstical method, Monte Carlo Simulation) including probability conception. And mean stress factors and centroid factors proposed to high strength concrete structures using reliability theory(Linear statstical method, Monte Carlo Simulation). Finally, The established experimental data for axial force-moment relationships are compared to the analytical data(data for Linear statstical method and Monte Carlo Simulation) for axial force-moment relationships in this analytical method.

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The Analytical Study of Axial Force-Moment Relationships for High Strength Concrete Structures using Reliability Theory (신뢰성이론을 이용한 고강도콘크리트 구조물의 축력-모멘트관계에 관한 해석적인 연구)

  • 최광진;홍원기;장일영;송재호
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.500-506
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    • 1997
  • The main object of the study is that axial force-moment relationships for high strength concrete structures using reliability theory probability conception. And mean stress factors and centroid factors proposed to high strength concrete structures using reliability theory. Finally, the established experimental data for axial force-moment relationships are compared to the analytical data for the axial force-moment relationships in this analytical method.

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Development of the Tool for Measuring the Care Satisfaction of Home Health Nursing based on Watson's Theory of Human Caring (가정간호에 대한 돌봄만족도 측정도구 개발 - Watson의 돌봄개념을 중심으로 -)

  • Jun, Yeon-Sook;Kang, Kyung-Ah
    • Journal of Korean Public Health Nursing
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.57-70
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: This study is a methodological research study for development of a tool for measurement of care satisfaction of home health nursing in patients who have received care through home health nursing and to test the validity and reliability of the tool. Method: Based on Watson's theory of caring and its constituent factors, the literature related to home health nursing was reviewed, and the standard of home health nursing was compared and analyzed. For verification of the validation and reliability of the final tool which has been developed, data were collected from 166 people who were receiving home health nursing care. Result: According to results of analysis of the factors based on Kaiser and scree test, 10 factors with an eigenvalue greater than 1.0 were extracted, and they explained 72.26% of the total variance. In addition, the factor loadings of 56 questions were greater than .30. For verification of reliability, Cronbach's alpha for all 56 items was .98 and Guttman split half reliability coefficient was .90. Conclusion: This tool based on Watson's theory of caring contributed to development and application of the nursing theory through verification of the theory.

Degradation reliability modeling of plain concrete for pavement under flexural fatigue loading

  • Jia, Yanshun;Liu, Guoqiang;Yang, Yunmeng;Gao, Ying;Yang, Tao;Tang, Fanlong
    • Advances in concrete construction
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.469-478
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to establish a new methodological framework for the evaluation of the evolution of the reliability of plain concrete for pavement vs number of cycles under flexural fatigue loading. According to the framework, a new method calculating the reliability was proposed through probability simulation in order to describe a random accumulation of fatigue damage, which combines reliability theory, one-to-one probability density functions transformation technique, cumulative fatigue damage theory and Weibull distribution theory. Then the statistical analysis of flexural fatigue performance of cement concrete tested was carried out utilizing Weibull distribution. Ultimately, the reliability for the tested cement concrete was obtained by the proposed method. Results indicate that the stochastic evolution behavior of concrete materials under fatigue loading can be captured by the established framework. The flexural fatigue life data of concrete at different stress levels is well described utilizing the two-parameter Weibull distribution. The evolution of reliability for concrete materials tested in this study develops by three stages and may corresponds to develop stages of cracking. The proposed method may also be available for the analysis of degradation behaviors under non-fatigue conditions.

Meta-model-based Design Method for Frequency-domain Performance Reliability Improvement (주파수 영역에서의 성능 신뢰도 향상을 위한 메타 모델을 이용한 설계 방법)

  • Son, Young Kap
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2015
  • This paper proposes a design method for improving the frequency-domain performance reliability of dynamic systems with uncertain and degrading components. Discrete frequencies are used in this method as surrogates for the frequency band of interest, and the conformance of the frequency responses to the specification at these frequencies is utilized to model the frequency-domain performance reliability. A meta-model for the frequency responses, an extreme-value event, and the set-theory are integrated to improve the computational efficiency of the reliability estimation. In addition, a sample-based approach is presented to evaluate and optimize the estimated performance reliability. A case study of a vibration absorber system showed that the proposed design method has engineering applications.

Reliability Updates of Driven Piles Using Proof Pile Load Test Results (검증용 정재하시험 자료를 이용한 항타강관말뚝의 신뢰성 평가)

  • Park, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Dong-Wook;Kwak, Ki-Seok;Chung, Moon-Kyung;Kim, Jun-Young;Chung, Choong-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2010.03a
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    • pp.324-337
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    • 2010
  • For the development of load and resistance factor design, reliability analysis is required to calibrate resistance factors in the framework of reliability theory. The distribution of measured-to-predicted pile resistance ratio was constructed based on only the results of load tests conducted to failure for the assessment of uncertainty regarding pile resistance and used in the conventional reliability analysis. In other words, successful pile load test (piles resisted twice their design loads without failure) results were discarded, and therefore, were not reflected in the reliability analysis. In this paper, a new systematic method based on Bayesian theory is used to update reliability index of driven steel pile piles by adding more pile load test results, even not conducted to failure, into the prior distribution of pile resistance ratio. Fifty seven static pile load tests performed to failure in Korea were compiled for the construction of prior distribution of pile resistance ratio. Reliability analyses were performed using the updated distribution of pile resistance ratio and the total load distribution using First-order Reliability Method (FORM). The challenge of this study is that the distribution updates of pile resistance ratio are possible using the load test results even not conducted to failure, and that Bayesian update are most effective when limited data are available for reliability analysis or resistance factors calibration.

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Estimation of Mean Life and Reliability of Highway Pavement Based on Reliability Theory (신뢰성 개념을 이용한 포장의 평균수명 및 신뢰도 예측)

  • Do, Myung-Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.5D
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    • pp.497-504
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, the author presents a reliability estimation technique to analyze the effects of traffic loads on pavement mean life based on the national highway database of Suwon and Uijeongbu region from 1999 to 2008. The estimation of the mean life, its standard deviation and reliability for pavement sections are calculated by using an appropriate distribution, Lognormal distribution, based on reliability theory. Furthermore, the probability paper method and Maximum likelihood estimation are both used to estimate parameters. The author found that mean life of newly constructed sections and over-layed sections is about 6.5 to 7.9 years and 7.3 to 9.1 years, respectively. The author also ascertained that the results of cumulative failure probability for pavement life between the proposed methods and observed data are similar. Such an assessment methodology and measures based on reliability theory can provide useful information for maintenance plans in pavement management systems as long as additional life data on pavement sections are accumulated.

Necessity of Reliability Theory and Establishment of Effective Education System (신뢰성이론의 필요성과 효과적인 교육시스템 구축)

  • Park, Dong Ho
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.257-262
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    • 2016
  • Recently, the subject of reliability attracts a great deal of domestic and international attentions and the extensive research activities are being conducted as well. Such trend exists mainly due to the fact that the research on the subject of reliability not only contributes to the theoretical developments, but also may find a wide range of applications in practice over several fields. In particular, the research regarding the maintenance policy incorporating certain types of warranty for repairable system and its application is being performed extensively by many researchers, and their efforts seem more concentrated on developing new maintenance policies which minimize the expected operating cost incurred for replacement and repair of the system, while keeping the system at high reliability. Effective maintenance policy may reduce the operating cost and decrease the downtime of the system during its mission period and consequently, increase the productivity of the system. In this article, the major areas of interest in the field of reliability and its historic perspectives are given briefly and the theoretical aspects in several fields of reliability including the maintenance and warranty policies is also discussed. Furthermore, the current domestic situation regarding the education and research on reliability is presented, along with the importance of reliability theory and the difficulty of training reliability personnel. Finally, the author's opinion for effective education system is proposed.