• 제목/요약/키워드: risk factor

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A Study on Incidence of Risk Factor for Assessing Maritime Traffic Risk

  • Kim, Inchul
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.217-223
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    • 2017
  • In order to assess risk as a basic step for securing safety, it requires to select risk factors and determine the frequency and the severity of the consequence of each risk factor. This research adopted common risk factors among well-known maritime risk assessment models, and proposed objective criteria to gauge the risk level of each risk factor. The starting points of risk evolution were chosen for criteria according to related studies and seafarers' experience. The rate of risk appearance over the criteria is named as the incidence of risk factor. Therefore, the total risk level is expressed as the combination of incidence of each risk factor and severity. This quantitative method would be applied to measuring and comparing the risk level of target maritime zones, and it would also be useful to survey which risk factor be focused for reducing the total risk of a certain maritime zone.

The Relationship between Default Risk and Asset Pricing: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan

  • KHAN, Usama Ehsan;IQBAL, Javed
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.717-729
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    • 2021
  • This paper examines the efficacy of the default risk factor in an emerging market context using the Fama-French five-factor model. Our aim is to test whether the Fama-French five-factor model augmented with a default risk factor improves the predictability of returns of portfolios sorted on the firm's characteristics as well as on industry. The default risk factor is constructed by estimating the probability of default using a hybrid version of dynamic panel probit and artificial neural network (ANN) to proxy default risk. This study also provides evidence on the temporal stability of risk premiums obtained using the Fama-MacBeth approach. Using a sample of 3,806 firm-year observations on non-financial listed companies of Pakistan over 2006-2015 we found that the augmented model performed better when tested across size-investment-default sorted portfolios. The investment factor contains some default-related information, but default risk is independently priced and bears a significantly positive risk premium. The risk premiums are also found temporally stable over the full sample and more recent sample period 2010-2015 as evidence by the Fama-MacBeth regressions. The finding suggests that the default risk factor is not a useless factor and due to mispricing, default risk anomaly prevails in the Pakistani equity market.

고유변동성, 조건부 유동성, 그리고 주식수익률의 횡단면에 관한 연구 (Idiosyncratic Volatility, Conditional Liquidity, and Cross-section of Stock Returns in Korea)

  • 윤상용;조성순;박순홍
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.121-134
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This study examines whether flight-to-liquidity (FTL) explains the dynamic liquidity risk on stock returns, and whether it has a significant influence on determinants the cross-section of stock returns. Design/methodology/approach - This study suggests a new risk factor, dynamic liquidity hedge portfolio (DLP), to reflect the dynamic impact of liquidity risk on stock returns and the Fama-MacBeth 2 stage regression analysis is employed in order to analyze the data. Findings - First, the DLP factor shows more positive and significant beta for the small or illiquidity stocks. Second, the DLP shows a different influence than SMB (size risk factor), HML (value risk factor), NMP (liquidity risk factor), FTVOL (total volatility factor) in determining the cross-section of stock returns. In addition, the DLP has a statistically significant risk premium of around 5%, which is relatively larger than other risk factors. Research implications or Originality - This study has academic value in terms of newly confirming that the DLP factor has a more significant impact on cross-sectional determination of stock returns than other risk factors by proposing a conditional liquidity factor that can explain the FTL phenomenon.

해상테러 위험요소의 구조와 우선순위 분석 (An Analysis on Structure of Risk Factor for Maritime Terrorism using FSM and AHP)

  • 장운재;금종수
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2004년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.343-348
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    • 2004
  • 신세계는 테러리스트에 의한 세계무역센터의 공격으로 인해 테러로부터의 안전과 보호를 강화하기 위해 초점이 맞추어져 있다. 본 연구는 해상테러 위험요소의 구조와 우선순위를 분석하고자 한다. 이를 위해 먼저 테러의 유형과 사례를 토대로 브레인스토밍법을 이용하여 해상테러 위험요소를 추출하였고, 퍼지구조모델법을 이용하여 위험요소를 그래프로 구조화 하였으며, 계층분석법을 이용하여 위험요소간의 우선순위를 분석하였다. 그 결과 외부영향이 가장 큰 것으로 나타났다.

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해상테러 위험요소의 구조와 우선순위 분석 (An Analysis on Structure of Risk Factor for Maritime Terror using FSM and AHP)

  • 장운재;양원재;금종수
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.487-493
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    • 2005
  • 전 세계는 테러리스트에 의한 세계무역센터의 공격으로 인해 테러로부터의 안전과 보호를 강화하기 위해 초점이 맞추어져 있다. 본 연구는 해상테러 위험요소의 구조와 우선순위를 분석하고자 한다. 이를 위해 먼저 테러의 유형과 사례를 토대로 브레인스토밍법을 이용하여 해상테러 위험요소를 추출하였고, 퍼지구조모델법을 이용하여 위험요소를 그래프로 구조화 하였으며, 계층분석법을 이용하여 위험요소간의 우선순위를 분석하였다. 그 결과 외부영향이 가장 큰 위험요소인 것으로 나타났다.

인터넷 패션 소비자의 의복관여도와 위험지각이 위험감소행동에 미치는 영향 (The effect of clothing involvement and risk preception of internet fashion consumers on the risk reduction behavior)

  • 임경복
    • 한국의상디자인학회지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.73-85
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was to discover the effects of clothing involvement and risk perception, which can influence risk reduction behavior. The subjects of this study were young male consumers living in Seoul and Kyunggi-do who had purchased fashion products from an Internet shopping mall. Questionnaires were collected from July 1, 2018 to July 8, 2018 and 300 questionnaires were used in the data analysis. The data was analyzed utilizing a factor analysis, a regression, ANOVA and a Duncan-test. The results of this study were as follows. Clothing involvement factors influenced various risk perceptions and risk perception influenced risk reduction behaviors. Among the various risk perception factors, psychological risk was the most important factor, which was influenced by clothing involvement factors. The usage of media was the most important factor, which was influenced by various risk perception factors. Finally clothing involvement and risk perception influenced risk reduction behaviors. Among the various risk reduction factors, the usage of media was the most important factor, which was influenced by clothing involvement and risk perception factors.

미확정 편평상피세포와 인체 유두종바이러스와의 비교 (Comparison of ASCUS and Human Papilloma Virus)

  • 박미순;장병수
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제13권8호
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    • pp.308-313
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    • 2013
  • 세포선별검사에서 ASCUS로 진단된 검체 중 F-UP이 진행되지 않은 검체 179건을 대상으로 HPV high risk factor, low risk factor를 확인하기 위해서 Hybrid Capture II Test를 하였다. 시험 결과 high risk factor 양성 및 low risk factor 양성은 전체 179 cases 중 26 cases로 나타났으며, 전체 검체 중 약 15%에 해당되었다. 또한 전체 15%의 양성검체 중 high risk factor 양성은 96%에 해당되는 것을 확인하였다. 결론적으로 효과적인 검진 체계를 갖춘 나라에서도 자궁경부암의 예방이 완전히 해결되지 않고 있는 문제점이 있는 여건을 고려해 볼 때 추적 관찰이 용이하지 않은 경우를 대비해 자궁경부암으로 진행될 수 있는 precancerous lesion의 원인 인자인 HPV 존재 유무를 세포선별검사와 HPV Hybrid Capture II Test를 동시에 시행하는 것이 효과적이라고 사료된다.

Adolescent Smoking Behaviors and the Related Risk Factors in Korea: A Descriptive Literature Review

  • Moon In-Ok
    • 보건교육건강증진학회지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2004
  • This study conducted descriptive literature review on adolescent smoking and the related factors to realize significance of adolescent smoking onset in Korea and to identify risk factors of smoking incidence. Korean adolescent smoking status was generated based on the cumulated data of the Korean Association of Smoking and Health. Risk factors of adolescent smoking were identified based on 18 studies written in English, with cross-sectional research design and published as a peer-reviewed journal article between 1994 and 2003. The results were as follows. 1. Korean adolescent smoking rate was the highest among OECD affiliated countries; in particular, male adolescent smoking incidence was very serious. 2. Risk factors related to smoking of adolescent population were personal factor, friend factor, family factor, and mass-media factor. Demographic characteristics, attitudes on smoking, and willingness of smoking, and health behaviors were selected as personal factor of smoking. 3. Best friends smoking was a strong factor of students' smoking set. Prevalent popularity of smoking in peer-group allowed students to feel free to smoking. 4. Concerning family factor related to smoking status, parents' smoking and sibling's smoking were significant indicators of adolescent smoking status. 5. Seeing smoking behaviors and scenes through films, TV shows, drama, and advertisement was a significant risk factor of adolescent smoking status.

Ergonomics Risk-Assessment Methods in Shipbuilding: Application of OWAS Considering Work load and Frequency for Risk Factor Analysis of WMSDs

  • Lee, Jun-Youb;Seo, Hyun-Soo
    • 대한인간공학회지
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.185-189
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    • 2012
  • Objective: The aim of this paper is to introduces Hyundai Heavy Industry's ergonomic risk assessment tool, H-OWAS, which is considering work load and frequency compared to the OWAS. Background: As prevalence of work-related musculoskeletal disorders(WMSDs) in ship building industries has been much higher than that in other industries, most of the large scaled corporations have implemented their own prevention program since legislation on the prevention of WMSDs had introduced in 2003. Method: This paper introduces WMSDs prevention program, HEMP(HHI Ergonomics Management Program) which consists of risk assessment, improvement efforts of working environments, medical treatment and training/evaluation and describes how to operate the program. We also describe application of OWAS method considering work load and frequency for risk factor analysis(H-OWAS) and shows methodology for assessing the ergonomic risk factor. And comparison of the assessment results between OWAS and H-OWAS is carried out by statistical analysis. Result: There was statistically significant difference in the assessment results between OWAS and H-OWAS, and regression shows H-OWAS explains the borg's scale of perceived exertion more clearly than OWAS. Conclusion: H-OWAS has been proved more effective tool than OWAS to evaluate ergonomic risk factor under real working condition. Application: H-OWAS can be widely applied to the many other companies when implementing the ergonomics risk assessment.

Korean Housing Cycle: Implications for Risk Management (Factor-augmented VAR Approach)

  • KWON, HYUCK-SHIN;BANG, DOO WON;KIM, MYEONG HYEON
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.43-62
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    • 2017
  • This paper proposes an integrated risk-management framework that includes 1) measuring the risk of credit portfolios, 2) implementing a (macro) stress test, and 3) setting risk limits using the estimated systematic latent factor specific to capture the housing market cycle. To this end, we extract information from a set of real-estate market variables based on the FAVAR methodology proposed by Bernanke, Boivin and Eliasz (2005). Then, we show the method by which the estimated systematic factor is applied to risk management in the housing market in an integrated manner within the Vasicek one-factor credit model. The proposed methodology is well fitted to analyze the risk of slow-moving and low-defaultable forms of capital, such as alternative investments.