• Title/Summary/Keyword: the discriminant function model

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A Study on the Optimal Discriminant Model Predicting the likelihood of Insolvency for Technology Financing (기술금융을 위한 부실 가능성 예측 최적 판별모형에 대한 연구)

  • Sung, Oong-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.183-205
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    • 2007
  • An investigation was undertaken of the optimal discriminant model for predicting the likelihood of insolvency in advance for medium-sized firms based on the technology evaluation. The explanatory variables included in the discriminant model were selected by both factor analysis and discriminant analysis using stepwise selection method. Five explanatory variables were selected in factor analysis in terms of explanatory ratio and communality. Six explanatory variables were selected in stepwise discriminant analysis. The effectiveness of linear discriminant model and logistic discriminant model were assessed by the criteria of the critical probability and correct classification rate. Result showed that both model had similar correct classification rate and the linear discriminant model was preferred to the logistic discriminant model in terms of criteria of the critical probability In case of the linear discriminant model with critical probability of 0.5, the total-group correct classification rate was 70.4% and correct classification rates of insolvent and solvent groups were 73.4% and 69.5% respectively. Correct classification rate is an estimate of the probability that the estimated discriminant function will correctly classify the present sample. However, the actual correct classification rate is an estimate of the probability that the estimated discriminant function will correctly classify a future observation. Unfortunately, the correct classification rate underestimates the actual correct classification rate because the data set used to estimate the discriminant function is also used to evaluate them. The cross-validation method were used to estimate the bias of the correct classification rate. According to the results the estimated bias were 2.9% and the predicted actual correct classification rate was 67.5%. And a threshold value is set to establish an in-doubt category. Results of linear discriminant model can be applied for the technology financing banks to evaluate the possibility of insolvency and give the ranking of the firms applied.

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Study on Classification Function into Sasang Constitution Using Data Mining Techniques (데이터마이닝 기법을 이용한 사상체질 판별함수에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Kyu Kon;Kim Jong Won;Lee Eui Ju;Kim Jong Yeol;Choi Sun-Mi
    • Journal of Physiology & Pathology in Korean Medicine
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1938-1944
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    • 2004
  • In this study, when we make a diagnosis of constitution using QSCC Ⅱ(Questionnaire of Sasang Constitution Classification). data mining techniques are applied to seek the classification function for improving the accuracy. Data used in the analysis are the questionnaires of 1051 patients who had been treated in Dong Eui Oriental Medical Hospital and Kyung Hee Oriental Medical Hospital. The criteria for data cleansing are the response pattern in the opposite questionnaires and the positive proportion of specific questionnaires in each constitution. And the criteria for variable selection are the test of homogeneity in frequency analysis and the coefficients in the linear discriminant function. Discriminant analysis model and decision tree model are applied to seek the classification function into Sasang constitution. The accuracy in learning sample is similar in two models, the higher accuracy in test sample is obtained in discriminant analysis model.

A Study of Discriminant Analysis about Korean Quick Response System Adoption (국내(國內) 신속대응(迅速對應)시스템 도입업체(導入業體)의 판별분석(判別分析) 연구(硏究))

  • Ko, Eun-Ju
    • Journal of Fashion Business
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.103-114
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study was to test the discriminant analysis model of Quick Response system and to examine the detailed relationship between each discriminant factor and Quick Response adoption. In this discriminant analysis model of Quick Response system, firm size, strategic type, product category, fashion trend, selling time and the Quick Response benefits were included as discriminant factors. Onehundred and two subjects were randomly selected for the survey study and discriminant analysis, descriptive analysis, t-test, and x square test were used for the data analysis. The results of this study were: 1. Wilks Lambda and F value support the discriminant analysis model that, taken together firm size, strategic type, product category, fashion trend, selling time and the Quick Response benefits significantly help to explain Quick Response adoption. 2. The importance of discriminant ability was, in order, firm size, the Quick Response benefits, women's wear, fashion trend, analyzer, selling time, reactor, defender and men's wear. 3. The discriminant function had the high hit ratio, so this can be well used for the classification of Quick Response adoption/nonadoption.

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Comparisons of Discriminant Analysis Model and Generalized Logit Model in Stroke Patten Identifications Classification (중풍변증분류에 사용되는 판별분석모형과 일반화로짓모형의 비교)

  • Kang, Byoung-Kab;Lee, Ju-Ah;Ko, Mi-Mi;Moon, Tae-Woong;Bang, Ok-Sun
    • Journal of Physiology & Pathology in Korean Medicine
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.318-321
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    • 2011
  • In this study, when a physician make a diagnosis of the Pattern Identifications(PIs) of stroke patients, the development methods of the PIs classification function is considered by diagnostic questionnaire of the PIs for stroke patients. Clinical data collected from 1,502 stroke patients who was identically diagnosed for the PIs subtypes diagnosed by two clinical experts with more than 3 years experiences in 13 oriental medical hospitals. In order to develop the classification function into PIs using the 44 items-Fire&heat(19), Qi-deficiency(11), Yin-deficiency(7), Dampness phlegm(7)- of them was significant statistically by univariate analysis in 61 questionnaires totally, we make some comparisons of the results of discriminant analysis model and generalized logit model. The overall diagnostic accuracy rate of the PIs subtypes for discriminant model(74.37%) was higher than 3% of generalized logit model(70.09%).

Discriminant Modeling for Pattern Identification Using the Korean Standard PI for Stroke-III (한국형 중풍변증 표준 III을 이용한 변증진단 판별모형)

  • Kang, Byoung-Kab;Ko, Mi-Mi;Lee, Ju-Ah;Park, Tae-Yong;Park, Yong-Gyu
    • Journal of Physiology & Pathology in Korean Medicine
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1113-1118
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, when a physician make a diagnosis of the pattern identification (PI) in Korean stroke patients, the development methods of the PI classification function is considered by diagnostic questionnaire of the PI for stroke patients. Clinical data collected from 1,502 stroke patients who was identically diagnosed for the PI subtypes diagnosed by two physicians with more than 3 years experiences in 13 oriental medical hospitals. In order to develop the classification function into PI using Korean Stroke Syndrome Differentiation Standard was consist of the 44 items (Fire heat(19), Qi deficiency(11), Yin deficiency(7), Dampness-phlegm(7)). Using the 44 items, we took diagnostic and prediction accuracy rate through of discriminant model. The overall diagnostic and prediction accuracy rate of the PI subtypes for discriminant model was 74.37%, 70.88% respectively.

Discriminant Analysis for the Prediction of Unlawful Company in Defense Procurement (국방조달에서 부정당업자 판별분석 모형 개발)

  • Han, Hong-Kyu;Choi, Seok-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.467-473
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    • 2011
  • The contractor management for the effective defense project is essential factor in the modern defense acquisition task. The occurrence of unlawful company causes hastiness for project manager and setback to the deployment of defense weapon system. In this paper, we develop a prediction model for the effective defense project by using the discriminant analysis and analyse the variables that discriminate the unlawful company in many variables. It is expected that our model can be used to improve the project management capability of defense acquisition and contribute to the establishment of efficient procurement procedure through entry of the reliable defense manufacturer.

A Study on the Poorly-posed Problems in the Discriminant Analysis of Growth Curve Model

  • Shim, Kyu-Bark
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.87-100
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    • 2002
  • Poorly-posed problems in the balanced discriminant analysis was considered. We restrict consideration to the case of observations and the number of variables are the same and small. When these problems exist, we do not use a maximum likelihood estimates(MLE) to estimate covariance matrices. Instead of MLE, an alternative estimate for the covariance matrices are proposed. This alternative method make good use of two regularization parameters, $\lambda$} and $\gamma$. A new test rule for the discriminant function is suggested and examined via limited hut informative simulation study. From the simulation study, it is shown that the suggested test rule gives better test result than other previously suggested method in terms of error rate criterion.

An Improved Scheme of Evaluation Process in the Advanced Construction Technology Endorsement System (건설신기술 지정제도의 평가프로세스 개선방안)

  • Tae Yong-Ho;Park Chan-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.363-366
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    • 2002
  • The advanced construction technology endorsement system(ACTES) has used the improper evaluation criteria. Because of its insufficiency of quantitative evaluation, it is difficult to attain the objective and fairness. This study used a survey to investigate a actual condition of ACTES. The survey found that ACTES needed a evaluation criteria and a quantitative evaluation method. In addition, This study proposes the evaluation model that uses a discriminant function. The model process consists of several phases that are brain storming, t-test and discriminant function analysis.

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A Study on the Discrimination of Use Intention by Critical T-Commerce Factors (T-Commerce 요인에 따른 사용의도 판별에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ju-An
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.71-95
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    • 2006
  • In recent, T-commerce is widely dispersed as alternative type of commerce. It is forecasted that t-commerce system is used more than e-commerce system. Therefore more and more t-commerce-related industries are also recognizing that t-commerce is a critical business model. It is needed to understand the concept of t-commerce and develop the t-commerce marketing strategy. CEO analyses consumer's behaviors according to the data about buyers and applies the advantage of t-commerce to the communication with customers. This t-commerce system plays an important role in maximizing customer satisfaction and affecting their intention to reuse it. Therefore this paper attempts to identify T-commerce critical success factors and divide between use-intention group and unuse-intention group by taking out a discriminant function by the discriminant analysis. This lays a foundation in developing T-commerce strategy. According to the discriminant function extracted, convenience factor, amusement factor, system quality factor, product perception factor are significant in the sequence of influential degree. However, usefulness factor and speedy connection factor are not significant. In result, the target hitting rate is 77.9% in the first unuse-intention group and it is 95.2% in the second use-intention group. The total discriminant target hitting rate is computed to higher value, 86.55%. The statistic package, SPSS 12.0, is used to survey and analyse data and test the hypothesis. The validity and reliability of variables are verified by both reliability analysis and factor analysis. The discriminant analysis is used to tell the difference between use-intention group and unuse-intention group.

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The Interactive Factors of Ubiquitous Media Affected on the Intention of Convergence Service Adoption (유비쿼터스 미디어의 수용의도에 영향을 미치는 상호작용성 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ju-An
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.19-40
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    • 2007
  • In recent, T-commerce is widely dispersed as alternative type of commerce. It is forecasted that t-commerce system is used more than e-commerce system. Therefore more and more t-commerce-related industries are also recognizing that t-commerce is a critical business model. It is needed to understand the concept of t-commerce and develop the t-commerce marketing strategy. CEO analyses consumer's behaviors according to the data about buyers and applies the advantage of t-commerce to the communication with customers. This t-commerce system plays an important role in maximizing customer satisfaction and affecting their intention to reuse it. Therefore this paper attempts to identify T-commerce critical success factors and divide between use-intention group and unuse-intention group by taking out a discriminant function by the discriminant analysis. This lays a foundation in developing T-commerce strategy. According to the discriminant function extracted, convenience factor, amusement factor, system quality factor, product perception factor are significant in the sequence of influential degree. However, usefulness factor and speedy connection factor are not significant. In result, the target hitting rate is 77.9% in the first unuse-intention group and it is 95.2% in the second use-intention group. The total discriminant target hitting rate is computed to higher value, 86.55%. The statistic package, SPSS 12.0, is used to survey and analyse data and test the hypothesis. The validity and reliability of variables are verified by both reliability analysis and factor analysis. The discriminant analysis is used to tell the difference between use-intention group and unuse-intention group.

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