• Title/Summary/Keyword: threshold-asymmetry

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News Impact Curve and Test for Asymmetric Volatility

  • Park, J.A.;Choi, M.S.;Kim, K.K.;Hwang, S.Y.
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.697-704
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    • 2007
  • It is common in financial time series that volatility(conditional variance) as a measure of risk exhibits asymmetry in such a manner that positive and negative values of return rates of the series tend to provide different contributions to the volatility. We are concerned with asymmetric conditional variances for Korean financial time series especially during the time span of 2000-2001. Notice that these periods suffer from 9-11 disaster in US and collapses of stock prices of dot-companies in Korea. Threshold-ARCH models are considered and a Wald test of asymmetry is suggested. News impact curves are illustrated for graphical representations of leverage effects inherent in various Korean financial time series.

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BAYESIAN INFERENCE FOR MTAR MODEL WITH INCOMPLETE DATA

  • Park, Soo-Jung;Oh, Man-Suk;Shin, Dong-Wan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.183-189
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    • 2003
  • A momentum threshold autoregressive (MTAR) model, a nonlinear autoregressive model, is analyzed in a Bayesian framework. Parameter estimation in the presence of missing data is done by using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. We also propose simple Bayesian test procedures for asymmetry and unit roots. The proposed method is applied to a set of Korea unemployment rate data and reveals evidence for asymmetry and a unit root.

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Volatility-nonstationary GARCH(1,1) models featuring threshold-asymmetry and power transformation (분계점 비대칭과 멱변환 특징을 가진 비정상-변동성 모형)

  • Choi, Sun Woo;Hwang, Sun Young;Lee, Sung Duck
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.713-722
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    • 2020
  • Contrasted with the standard symmetric GARCH models, we consider a broad class of threshold-asymmetric models to analyse financial time series exhibiting asymmetric volatility. By further introducing power transformations, we add more flexibilities to the asymmetric class, thereby leading to power transformed and asymmetric volatility models. In particular, the paper is concerned with the nonstationary volatilities in which conditions for integrated volatility and explosive volatility are separately discussed. Dow Jones Industrial Average is analysed for illustration.

Market Structure and Pricing Behavior in the Korean Transportation Fuel Market (국내 수송용 석유제품 시장의 시장구조와 가격행태)

  • Moon, Choon-Geol
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.311-342
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    • 2015
  • We evaluate two main rationales of massive policy intervention of Lee Administration in the Korean transportation fuel market: high market share of domestic refineries, perceived by the Administration as the result of high market concentration, and asymmetry in price adjustment, perceived as the result of collusion. Domestic refineries, huge in capacity and located at seaports, maintain international competitiveness in price. Considering market openness offering preferential treatment to importers, they set domestic prices competitively on the basis of MOPS prices. Yet, the price competitiveness of domestic refineries is so high that they are able to sustain high market share. We confirm that the Korean before-tax consumer prices of gasoline and diesel are lower than Japan's and the weighted averages of 27 EU countries by as much as 159KRW and 21KRW per liter in the case of gasoline and 170KRW and 63KRW in the case of diesel. Price asymmetry is caused by diverse economic and managerial reasons and, as FTC (2005) states, price asymmetry does not immediately imply exercise of market power or collusion. We analyzed price asymmetry in Korea, Japan and 14 EU countries, and found asymmetry in Korea and 11 EU countries in the case of gasoline and in Korea and 8 EU countries in the case of diesel.

Tests for the Structure Change and Asymmetry of Price Volatility in Farming Olive Flounder (양식 넙치가격 변동성의 구조변화와 비대칭성 검증)

  • Kang, Seok-Kyu
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2014
  • This study is to analyse the timing of the structural change of price volatility and the asymmetry of price volatility during the period before and after the timing of the structural change of price volatility using Jeju Farming Olive Flounder's production area market price data from January 1, 2007 to June 30, 2013. The analysis methods of Quandt-Andrews break point test and Threshold GARCH model are employed. The empirical results of this study are summarized as follows: First, the result of Quandt-Andrews break point test shows that a single structural change in price volatility occurred on May 4, 2010 over the sample period. Second, during the period before structural change, daily price change rate has averagely positive value which means price increase, but during the period after structural change daily price change rate has averagely negative value which means price decrease. Also, daily volatility of price change rate during the period before structural change is higher than during the period after structural change. This indicates that price volatility decreases after structural change. Third, the estimation results of Threshold GARCH Model show that the volatility response against price increase is larger during the period after structural change than during the period before structural change. Also the result shows the volatility response against price decrease is larger during the period after structural change than during the period before structural change. And, irrespective of the timing of structural change, price increase has an larger effect on volatility than price decrease. This means volatility is asymmetric at price increase.

Empirical Investigation to The Asymmetric Structure between Raw Material Price and Baltic Dry-bulk Index (원자재가격과 건화물선 운임지수의 비대칭구조 분석)

  • Kim, Hyun-Sok
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.181-190
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    • 2018
  • The goal of this study is empirically to investigate the asymmetric relationship between two variables using the dry cargo freight rates and raw material price data from January 2012 to May 2018. First, we estimate the asymmetry of macroeconomic indicators of commodity prices by using a two - step threshold cointegration test. Second, the asymmetric relation test of the trade balance of existing commodity price changes is tested by bypassing to the high frequency dry cargo freight rate index. As a result of the estimation, in contrast to the existing linear analysis, each boundary value for the lower limit and the upper limit has different asymmetry. This implies that the period of fluctuation of the sudden residual that causes irregular rate of return fluctuations does not establish a long term equilibrium relationship between the raw material price and the dry cargo freight rate. Therefore, in order to consider the sudden price change in the analysis, it is necessary to include the band of inaction that controls the irregular volatility, which is consistent with the asymmetry hypothesis.

Power extraction efficiency and lasing wavelength distribution of index-coupled DEB lasers above-threshold for various facet reflectivity combinations (문턱 전류 이상에서 양 단면 반사율 조합에 따른 index-coupled DFB 레이저의 파워 추출 효율과 발진 파장 분포)

  • 김상택;김부균
    • Korean Journal of Optics and Photonics
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.413-422
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    • 2003
  • We have calculated the power extraction efficiency and the lasing wavelength distribution of index-coupled DFB lasers at threshold for various kL and facet reflectivity combinations, and compared with those above-threshold. The power extraction efficiency increases as the asymmetry of the facet reflectivities increases. The power extraction efficiency above-threshold is slightly larger than that at threshold. Since the relative photon density around the center region increases as kL increases, the power extraction efficiency decreases. The uniformity of the distribution of lasing wavelength over the stop band increases due to the relief of mode degeneracy as the asymmetry of the facet reflectivities increases. In the case of AR-HR combination, the lasing wavelength distributions at threshold are similar to those above-threshold. However, in the case of AR-AR combination, the lasing wavelength at threshold is concentrated on both edges of the stop band, while it is concentrated only on the longer wavelength edge above-threshold. As kL increases, the range of the lasing wavelength distribution increases due to the increase of the stop band. The effect of AR reflectivity on the power extraction and the lasing wavelength distribution is very weak.

Asymmetrical Hearing Loss and Related Factors Among the Noise Exposed Male Workers (소음 노출 남성근로자에서 청력 역치의 비대칭성과 관련요인)

  • Lee, Nam-Soo;Lee, Kyung-Jae;Kim, Joo-Ja
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.94-101
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    • 2010
  • This study was performed to examine the asymmetry of hearing loss among the noise exposed male workers. Findings of otoscopic examination, pure tone audiometry and tympanometry were evaluated for 179 male workers working in the noise exposed workplace. And also selfadministered structured questionnaires were used for each worker's work-related and general characteristics including personal health behaviors. There were significant differences of hearing threshold between right and left ears at 1,000 Hz and 3,000 Hz(p<0.05). And also significant differences of hearing threshold were noted in the age group over 50 at 3,000 Hz, the high risk drinking group either at 3,000 Hz and 4,000 Hz, the work duration group 10-19 years at 3,000 Hz, the noise exposure group under 90 dB(A) at 3,000 Hz, the noise exposure group over 90 dB(A) at 1,000 Hz, the non-wearing protective device group at 4,000 Hz, and the wearing protective device group at 3,000 Hz(p<0.05). Further study is needed to explore the extent and the related factors of the asymmetry of hearing loss in the general population and occupationally noise exposed group.

Loss Aversion in International Environmental Agreements

  • Iris, Doruk;Tavoni, Alessandro
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.363-397
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    • 2018
  • We study the impact of loss-aversion and the threat of critical damages from insufficient pollutant abatement, which we jointly call threshold concerns, on the outcome of international environmental agreements. We aim to understand whether concerns for a critical level of damages induce cooperation among countries faced with the well-known free-riding problem, and yield sufficient emission reductions to avoid exceeding the threshold. Specifically, we focus on loss-averse countries negotiating under the threat of either high or low environmental damages. Under symmetry, when countries display identical degrees of threshold concern, we show that such beliefs have a positive effect on reducing the emission levels of both signatories to the treaty and non-signatories, leading to weakly larger coalitions of signatories than in the absence of reference dependence. We then introduce asymmetry, by allowing countries to differ in the degree of concern about the damages. We show that stable coalitions are mostly formed by the countries with higher threshold concerns. When enough countries exhibit standard preferences, the coalition size may diminish, regardless of the degree of concern by the others.

Development of EMG-Triggered Functional Electrical Stimulation Device for Upper Extremity Bilateral Movement Training in Stroke Patients: Feasibility and Pilot study

  • Song, Changho;Seo, Dong-kwon
    • Physical Therapy Rehabilitation Science
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.374-378
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    • 2021
  • Objective: Bilateral movement training is an effective method for upper extremity rehabilitation of stroke. An approach to induce bilateral movement through functional electrical stimulation is attempted. The purpose of this study is to develop an EMG-triggered functional electrical stimulation device for upper extremity bilateral movement training in stroke patients and test its feasibility. Design: Feasibility and Pilot study design. Methods: We assessed muscle activation and kinematic data of the affected and unaffected upper extremities of a stroke patient during wrist flexion and extension with and without the device. Wireless EMG was used to evaluate muscle activity, and 12 3D infrared cameras were used to evaluate kinematic data. Results: We developed an EMG-triggered functional electrical stimulation device to enable bilateral arm training in stroke patients. A system for controlling functional electrical stimulation with signals received through a 2-channel EMG sensor was developed. The device consists of an EMG sensing unit, a functional electrical stimulation unit, and a control unit. There was asymmetry of movement between the two sides during wrist flexion and extension. With the device, the asymmetry was lowest at 60% of the threshold of the unaffected side. Conclusions: In this study, we developed an EMG-triggered FES device, and the pilot study result showed that the device reduces asymmetry.