• Title/Summary/Keyword: trendextrapolation methods

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The proposed algorithm for the student numbers in local government (기초자치단체의 학생수 추계를 위한 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1167-1173
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    • 2011
  • The goal of this paper is to suggest an algorithm to get forecasting for the numbers of students in the city or county in local government by using the double exponential smoothing method. By 2044 year, the third year of high school students in the Chilgok, Gumi, Gyeongsan, Andong, Pohang and Gimchen are reduced about 40-70%, the those of in the remaining city or county are reduced about 70-95%. In conclusion, the forecasting numbers of students of the 23 counties in Kyungbuk Province are on the decrease to 40%-100% until 2044 year in comparison with the numbers of students on 2010 years.