한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집 (Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management)
- 한국건설관리학회 2004년도 제5회 정기학술발표대회 논문집
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- Pages.117-124
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- 2004
사례기반 기법을 이용한 공동주택 월간비용 예측모델 개발
A Study on Developing Dynamic Forecasting Model for Periodic Expenditures of Residential Building Projects using Case-Based Reasoning Logics
초록
Dynamic and fragmented characteristics ale two of the most significant factors that distinguish the construction industry from other industries. Previous forecasting techniques have failed to solve the problems derived from the above characteristics and do not provide considerable support. This paper deals with providing a more precise forecasting by applying Case-based Reasoning (CBR). The newly developed model in this study enables project managers to forecast monthly expenditures with less time and effort by retrieving and referring only projects of a similar nature, while filtering out irrelevant cases included in database. For the purpose of accurate forecasting. the choice of the numbers of referring projects was investigated. it is concluded that selecting similar projects at