Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society

한국데이터정보과학회 (The Korean Data and Information Science Society)
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시계열모형을 이용한 선거개입의 경제적 영향분석

Analysis of the Economic Effects of General Elections in Korea : Intervention Analysis

  • 발행 : 2000.10.31
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초록

이 연구의 목적은 '우리나라의 경우 선거시기를 전후하여 정부여당이 선거에서의 승리를 목적으로 주기적으로 경제문제에 개입하여왔는가?' 라는 질문에 대해 통계자료에 근거하여 답해 보려는 것이다. 이러한 연구목적을 효과적으로 달성하기 위해 여러 접근방법 중 단순하면서도 절약적인 방법으로 알려진 ARIMA-Intervention모형을 이용하였다.

The purpose of this study is to analyse the economic effects of General Elections in Korea, in other words, to test the Political Business Cycle hypothesis using ARIMA-Intervention Analysis.

키워드

참고문헌

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