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Marginal Abatement Cost Analysis for the Korean Residential Sector Using Bottom-Up Modeling

상향식 모형을 이용한 국내 주거부문의 온실가스 한계감축비용 분석

  • 정용주 (부산외국어대학교 e-비즈니스학과) ;
  • 김후곤 (경성대학교 경영정보학과) ;
  • 백천현 (동의대학교 산업경영공학과) ;
  • 김영진 (부경대학교 시스템경영공학부)
  • Received : 2014.11.03
  • Accepted : 2015.02.11
  • Published : 2015.03.31

Abstract

A marginal abatement cost analysis has been conducted to analyze the effects of abatement measures on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions for the Korean residential sector. A bottom-up model using MESSAGE has been developed by defining the energy demand and constructing the reference energy system for the residential sector. A great amount of activity data has also been analyzed. Abatement potentials and related costs of individual abatement measures are investigated. The result from the marginal abatement cost analysis may provide general guidelines and procedures for the establishment of GHG abatement polices.

상향식 모형을 이용하여 국내 주거부문의 온실가스 배출특성과 감축 잠재량을 도출하고 이를 바탕으로 한계감축 비용 분석을 수행하였다. 이를 위하여 먼저 상향식 모형의 필수 입력요소인 주거부문의 최종수요, 기준에너지시스템 (Reference Energy System; RES) 등을 정의하고 국내 통계데이터를 분석하여 필요한 활동량 데이터를 도출하였다. 기준 시나리오에서의 연도별 에너지 사용량 및 온실가스 배출량을 구하고 감축수단의 도입에 따른 감축잠재량 및 관련 비용을 분석하였다. 한계감축비용 분석 결과는 중장기적으로 부문별 온실가스 감축목표 달성을 위한 감축정책의 수립에 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

Keywords

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