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Learning Method for Real-time Crime Prediction Model Utilizing CCTV

  • Bang, Seung-Hwan (Dept. of Industrial and Management Engineering, Pohang University of Science and Technology) ;
  • Cho, Hyun-Bo (Dept. of Industrial and Management Engineering, Pohang University of Science and Technology)
  • Received : 2016.02.19
  • Accepted : 2016.05.17
  • Published : 2016.05.31

Abstract

We propose a method to train a model that can predict the probability of a crime being committed. CCTV data by matching criminal events are required to train the crime prediction model. However, collecting CCTV data appropriate for training is difficult. Thus, we collected actual criminal records and converted them to an appropriate format using variables by considering a crime prediction environment and the availability of real-time data collection from CCTV. In addition, we identified new specific crime types according to the characteristics of criminal events and trained and tested the prediction model by applying neural network partial least squares for each crime type. Results show a level of predictive accuracy sufficiently significant to demonstrate the applicability of CCTV to real-time crime prediction.

Keywords

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