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Analysis of factors affecting Korean professional baseball pitcher salaries

한국프로야구에서 투수 연봉에 영향을 주는 요인

  • Received : 2017.02.11
  • Accepted : 2017.03.27
  • Published : 2017.03.31

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the effects of performance and non-performance variables attributed to Korean professional baseball pitchers on annual salary by the records about pitchers between 2010 and 2016. We select the variables in reference to previous research related to this topic. The models are then estimated using linear regression model. For pitchers, age, experience in the league, year, eligibility for free agency, the number of wins, WAR, the number of innings pitched, the number of games, the number of saves, the number of games started, and type of baseball team have a statistically significant effect. Among the notable factors, affecting pitchers salaries are largely measure of starting pitchers. Pitcher sabermetrics indexes were poorly reflected on annual salary. The model presented here can be used to remove any unobjective salary differences for Korean professional baseball pitchers.

한국프로야구에서 투수들의 연봉을 결정하는 중요한 요인들을 선형회귀모형을 통해서 살펴본다. 제안된 모형을 이용하여 투수들의 경기력과 연봉간의 패턴을 분석할 수 있으며, 구단 별로 차이점도 알 수 있다. 사용된 데이터는 2010년부터 2015년까지의 투수 기록과 다음 해의 연봉 자료를 이용하였으며, 고려된 설명변수들은 해당연도, 팀의 종류, 게임 수, 평균자책점, 수비무관 평균자책점, 이닝당 안타 및 볼넷 허용률, 대체선수 대비 승리기여도, 선발출장 게임의 수, 승, 패, 세이브, 투구 이닝수, 자유계약선수 여부, 나이, 경험연수이며 반응변수로는 연봉에 로그를 취한 로그연봉을 사용하였다. 그 결과 선발투수이며 경기수가 많고 승수가 많은 투수들에게 많은 연봉이 지급되고 있고 투수의 고유능력을 평가할 수 있는 기록들은 반영이 작게 되고 있음을 확인할 수 있었으며 연구의 결과는 연봉 결정에 중요한 참고자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 간주된다.

Keywords

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