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DYNAMIC MODEL PREDICTING OVERWEIGHT AND OBESITY IN KOREAN ADOLESCENTS

  • Oh, Chunyoung (Department of Mathematics Education, Chonnam National University)
  • Received : 2018.09.09
  • Accepted : 2018.11.26
  • Published : 2018.12.25

Abstract

Adolescent obesity has a high risk of developing into adult obesity and may cause many psychological problems. This paper aims at giving a mathematical model for the obesity of Korean adolescents and predicting how much the prevalence of obesity among adolescents will increase using real data. We estimate that the obesity rate of boys will increase until about 28 ~ 29% in 2025.

Keywords

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FIGURE 1. The dynamics of transitions among subpopulations is depicted graphically.

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FIGURE 2. The graphs on the left show male students for parameters β = 0.07, and δ = 0.6. The graphs on the right represent male students for parameters β = 0.05, and δ = 0.8.Time

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FIGURE 3. The graphs on the left show female students for parameters β = 0.03, and δ = 0.10. The graphs on the right represent female students for parameters β = 0.04, and δ = 0.10.

TABLE 1. The estimated values of parameters for the model

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