Journal of Labour Economics (노동경제논집)

The Korean Labor Economic Association (한국노동경제학회)
권호 표지

Part-time Jobs of Korean Married Women -The recent change in their state dependence-

기혼여성 시간제일자리의 상태의존성(state dependence) 변화

  • 정민수 (한국은행 부산본부 경제조사팀)
  • Received : 2018.03.20
  • Accepted : 2018.07.23
  • Published : 2018.09.30
Download PDF
⟨ Previous Next ⟩

Abstract

This study tries to measure the change in the state dependence of the three labor supply choices (part-time, full-time, and the state of unemployed) in Korean married women's labor market by estimating the dynamic multinomial logit model based on MSL (maximum simulated likelihood) method. A component representing individual's unobserved characteristics has been introduced, because it is crucial to control for unobserved heterogeneity in assessing the state dependence. Estimation results show that the state dependences of the three alternatives have strengthened recently. Therefore, part-time job has become more likely to be functioning as an extra option to participate in labor market rather than a bridge(stepping stone) or shelter between unemployment and full-time job.

본 연구는 우리나라 기혼여성들의 시간제, 전일제 등 근로형태가 오래 지속되는지 아니면 근로형태간 이동이 활발한지를 상태의존성(state dependence) 추정을 통하여 살펴보고, 최근의 변화를 분석하였다. 동태적 다항로짓모형(dynamic multinomial logit model) 추정결과 시간제와 전일제 상호간 이동성이 최근 낮아지면서 각 근로형태의 상태의존성은 강화되는 모습을 보였다. 따라서 시간제일자리는 전일제와 미취업 사이에서 근로형태간 이동을 활발하게 하는 디딤돌 또는 쉼터의 역할이 약화되고 전일제 외에 노동시장 참여 옵션을 제공하는, 전일제와는 구분된 추가적 일자리형태로 기능하고 있는 것으로 판단된다.

Keywords

References

  1. 박진희.양수경. 시간제 일자리창출 정책을 통한 여성 고용률 제고 가능성과 시간제 일자리 선호 결정요인 분석. 입법과 정책 제3권 제1호. 국회입법조사처 (2011.6.)
  2. 이명숙.김영만.이동임. 유럽의 시간제 근로의 고용 및 실업효과. 국제지역연구 10권 3호. (2006)
  3. 최효미. 기혼 여성의 노동시장 참여에 관한 연구. 이화여자대학교 대학원 박사학위 청구논문 (2014)
  4. 한영선.정영금. 유연근무제도가 일-가정 갈등 및 촉진, 직무만족에 미치는 영향: 패널 분석 방법을 이용하여. 한국가족자원경영학회지 18권 4호 (2014)
  5. 현대경제연구원. 여성인력 활용의 선진사례와 시사점 (2013.11.)
  6. Ahn, Taehyun. "Employment dynamics of married women and the role of part time work: the case of Korea." Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics 53 (June 2012): 25-38.
  7. Blank, Rebecca M. "The role of part time work in women's labor market choices over time." The American Economic Review 79 (2) (May 1989): 295-299.
  8. Bolle, Patrick. "Part time work: Solution or trap?." International Labour Review 136 (4) (April 1997): 557-579.
  9. Chalmers, J., Hill, Trish. "Marginalising women in the labour market: 'Wage scarring' effects of part-time work." Australian Bulletin of Labour 33 (2007): 180-201.
  10. Cockx, Bart․ Goebel, Christian․ Robin, Stephan. "Can income support for part time workers serve as a stepping stone to regular jobs? An application to young long term unemployed women." Empirical Economics 44 (March 2013): 189-229. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-010-0357-8
  11. Connolly, Sara․Gregory, Mary. "Dual tracks: part time work in life cycle employment for British women." Journal of Population Economics 23 (June 2010) 907-931. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-009-0249-4
  12. Cuesta, Blazquez․Carcedo, Moral. "Women's part time job: Flexirisky employment in five European countries." International Labor Review 153 (2) (August 2014): 269-292. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1564-913X.2014.00204.x
  13. Drago, Robert․Wooden, Mark․Black, David. "Who wants and gets flexibility? Changing work hours preferences and life events." Industrial and Labor Relations Review 62 (3) (April 2009): 394-414, https://doi.org/10.1177/001979390906200308
  14. Eurofound, Part Time Work in Europe: European Company Survey 2009. European Foundation for the Improvement of Living and Working conditions, 2011.
  15. Gielen, A. C. "Working hours flexibility and older workers' labor supply." Oxford Economic Papers 61, Oxford University Press (October 2008): 240-274.
  16. Golden, Lonnie. "Limited access: Disparities in flexible work schedules and work at home." Journal of Family Economics 29 (February 2008): 86-109. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10834-007-9090-7
  17. Heckman, James J., Borjas, George J. "Does unemployment cause future unemployment? Definitions, questions and answers from a continuous time model of heterogeneity and state dependence." Econometrica 47 (1980)
  18. Heckman, James J. "Statistical models for discrete panel data." Structural Analysis of Discrete Data with Economic Applications. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA 1981.
  19. Hunt, Jennifer. "Flexible work time in Germany: Do workers like it and how have employers exploited it over the cycle?." Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik 14 (1-2) (March 2013): 67-98. https://doi.org/10.1111/pers.12005
  20. Hyslop, Dean R. "State dependence, serial correlation and heterogeneity in intertemporal labor force participation of married women." Econometrica 67 (6) (November 1999): 1255-1294. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00080
  21. Lee, Myoung-Jae ․ Tae, Yoon-Hee. "Analysis of labour participation behavior of Korean women with dynamic probit and conditional logit." Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 67 (1) (2005)
  22. Leth-Peterson, Soren․Bjorner, Thomas B. "A dynamic random effects multinomial logit model for household car ownership.",AKF working paper (May 2005)
  23. Miller, Carole. "Part time participation over the life cycle among married women who work in the market." Applied Economics 25: (1993): 91-99. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036849300000118
  24. Okamura, Kazuaki․Islam, Nizamul. "State dependence in a multinomial employment dynamics of married women in Japan." Kochi University, 2012.
  25. Olsen, W.Walby, S, "Modelling gender paygaps." Working Paper No. 17, Manchester : Equal Opportunities Commission, 2004.
  26. Prowse, Victoria. "Modeling employment dynamics with state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity." Department of Economics, University of Oxford (May 2007)
  27. Stewart, Mark B. "Maximum simulated likelihood estimation of random effects dynamic probit models with auto-correlated errors." University of Warwick (April 2006)
  28. Train, Kenneth. "Halton sequences for mixed logit." Department of Economics, University of California, Berkeley, Working Paper 278. (August 1999)
  29. Train, Kenneth. Discrete Choice Models with Simulation. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2003.
  30. Woittiez, Isolde․Kapteyn, Arie. "Social interactions and habit formation in a model of female labour supply." Journal of Public Economics 70: (1998): 185-205. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0047-2727(98)00021-8
  31. Wooldridge, Jeffrey M. "Simple solutions to the initial conditions problem in dynamics, nonlinear panel data models with unobserved heterogeneity." Journal of Applied Econometrics 20 (2005)