Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety (해양환경안전학회지)

The Korean Society of Marine Environment and safety (해양환경안전학회)
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An Estimation of the Average Waiting Cost of Vessels Calling Container Terminals in Northern Vietnam

북베트남 컨테이너 터미널에 기항하는 선박의 평균대기비용 추정

  • Nguyen, Minh-Duc (Department of Logistics, Vietnam Maritime University) ;
  • Kim, Sung-june (Division of Navigation Science, Korea Maritime and Ocean University)
  • Received : 2019.01.05
  • Accepted : 2019.02.25
  • Published : 2019.02.28
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Abstract

Several studies have been completed on the topic of container terminals in Northern Vietnam. Few of them, however, deal with competition in terms of costs related to vessel waiting time or cargo handling. This paper estimates the average waiting cost per TEU for all the container terminals in Northern Vietnam. After average waiting time was first estimated by applying queuing theory, uncertainty theory was applied to estimated vessel daily cost. A simulation was performed to create a series of data representing waiting cost per TEU in relation to the rate of volume handled/capacity of each terminal. Non-linear regression based on this series was used to present a function for the relationship between the average waiting cost of each terminal and the rate of volume handled /capacity.

북베트남의 컨테이너 터미널을 주제로 한 연구는 다수 있지만, 선박의 대기시간이나 화물처리에 관련한 비용 측면에서의 경쟁을 다룬 연구는 거의 없다. 이 논문은 북 베트남에 입지한 컨테이너 터미널의 TEU당 평균대기비용을 추산해 본 연구다. 우선 대기행렬이론을 적용하여 평균대기시간을 추산한 뒤, 불확실성 이론을 적용하여 선박의 일당 비용을 추산할 것이다. 그리고 각 터미널의 하역능력 내지 물동량 처리율과 관련하여 TEU당 일련의 대기시간을 산정하기 위해 시뮬레이션을 실시하였다. 추산된 일련의 대기시간을 근거로 하여 각 항만의 평균대기시간과 물동량 처리율 / 하역률 간의 관계를 제시하기 위한 함수를 추정하기 위해 비선형회귀법을 적용하였다. 연구 결과는 북베트남의 컨테이너 터미널간의 경쟁상황에 관한 후속 연구에서 게임이론을 적용하는 데 이용될 수 있을 것이다.

Keywords

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