• Title/Summary/Keyword: 매개변수 추정

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Long-term Runoff Analysis Using the TOPMODEL (TOPMODEL을 이용한 장기유출 해석)

  • Jo, Hong-Je;Kim, Jeong-Sik;Lee, Geun-Bae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.393-405
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    • 2000
  • Monthly runoff was estimated using TOPMODEL which simulates ground water movement as well as surface runoff in the area of catchment. SAYUN dam which is being operated by Korea Water Resources Corporation was selected for the study, and the topographic factors of the watershed were analyzed using 1/5,000 digital map and GIS software(Arc/Info). The comparison shows good agreement between observed monthly runoff and the computation results simulated by using TOPMODEL. The catchment area of SAYUN dam was modeled by using various grid sizes in order to check the sensitivity of grid size, and the grid size of 180m was found most proper among 6 different sizes. TOPMODEL was also found superior to the existing monthly runoff models such as Kajiyama, KRIHS and Tank. Because the model requires limited number of parameters and considers topographic aspects, it is reckoned to be very useful for practical use.

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Development of Hierarchical Bayesian Spatial Regional Frequency Analysis Model Considering Geographical Characteristics (지형특성을 활용한 계층적 Bayesian Spatial 지역빈도해석)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Lim, Jeong-Yeul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.469-482
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    • 2014
  • This study developed a Bayesian spatial regional frequency analysis, which aimed to analyze spatial patterns of design rainfall by incorporating geographical information (e.g. latitude, longitude and altitude) and climate characteristics (e.g. annual maximum series) within a Bayesian framework. There are disadvantages to considering geographical characteristics and to increasing uncertainties associated with areal rainfall estimation on the existing regional frequency analysis. In this sense, this study estimated the parameters of Gumbel distribution which is a function of geographical and climate characteristics, and the estimated parameters were spatially interpolated to derive design rainfall over the entire Han-river watershed. The proposed Bayesian spatial regional frequency analysis model showed similar results compared to L-moment based regional frequency analysis, and even better performance in terms of quantifying uncertainty of design rainfall and considering geographical information as a predictor.

Comparative Study on Calculation Method for Design Flood Discharge of Dam (댐 설계홍수량 산정방법에 관한 비교연구)

  • Lee, Jai-Hong;Lee, Jong-Kyu;Kim, Tae-Woong;Kang, Ji-Ye
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.12
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    • pp.941-954
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    • 2011
  • In this study, past method and recent method for flood discharge with domestic multi-purpose dams in Korea were compared and analyzed with respect to the scale of watershed. Rainfall depth, temporal pattern, rainfall excess, rainfall-runoff model, parameter estimation and base flow were selected as the principal factors affecting flood discharge and effects on flood discharge were analyzed quantitatively by using sensitivity analysis. The results showed that the flood discharges calculated by past and recent method increased and decreased with a wide range of discharge with respect to the scale of watershed. The reason for decrease of flood discharge is the exchange of temporal pattern of rainfall and the principal reasons for increase of flood discharge are the increase of rainfall depth by unusual weather phenomena and the difference of estimation method for parameters of unit hydrograph.

Probabilistic Distribution and Variability of Geotechnical Properties with Randomness Characteristic (무작위성을 보이는 지반정수의 확률분포 및 변동성)

  • Kim, Dong-Hee;Lee, Ju-Hyoung;Lee, Woo-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.25 no.11
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    • pp.87-103
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    • 2009
  • To determine the reliable probabilistic distribution model of geotechnical properties, outlier and randomness test for analysis data, parameter estimation of probabilistic distribution model, and goodness-of-fit test for model parameter and probabilistic distribution model have to be performed in sequence. In this paper, the probabilistic distribution model's geotechnical properties of Songdo area in Incheon are estimated by the above proposed procedure. Also, the coefficient of variation (COV) representing the variability of geotechnical properties is determined for several geotechnical properties. Reliable probabilistic distribution model and COV of geotechnical properties can be used for probability-based design procedure and reasonable choice of design value in deterministic design method.

Influence of Snow Accumulation and Snowmelt Using NWS-PC Model in Rainfall-runoff Simulation (NWS-PC 모형을 이용한 강우-유출 모의에서 적설 및 융설 영향)

  • Kang, Shin Uk;Rieu, Seung Yup
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.1B
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2008
  • The impact of snow accumulation and snowmelt in rainfall-runoff modelling was analyzed for the Soyanggang dam basin by comparing the measured and simulated discharges simulated by the NWS-PC model. Sugawara's conceptual model was used to simulate the snow accumulation and snowmelt phenomena and NWS-PC model was employed to simulate rainfall-runoff. Parameters in model calibration were estimated by the Multi-step Automated Calibration Scheme and optimized using SCE-UA algorithm in each step. The results of the model calibration and verification show that the model considering snowmelt process is better than the one without consideration of snowmelt under the performance criteria such as RMSE, PBIAS, NSE, and PME. The measured discharge time series has over 60 days of persistence. Correlograms for each simulation showed that the simulated discharge with snowmelt model reproduce the persistence closely to the measured discharge's while the one without snow accumulation and snowmelt model reproduce only 20 days of persistence. The study result indicates that the inclusion of snow accumulation and snowmelt model is important for the accurate simulation of rainfall-runoff phenomena in the Soyanggang dam basin.

Simulation-Based Material Property Analysis of 3D Woven Materials Using Artificial Neural Network (시뮬레이션 기반 3차원 엮임 재료의 물성치 분석 및 인공 신경망 해석)

  • Byungmo Kim;Seung-Hyun Ha
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.259-264
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we devised a parametric analysis workflow for efficiently analyzing the material properties of 3D woven materials. The parametric model uses wire spacing in the woven materials as a design parameter; we generated 2,500 numerical models with various combinations of these design parameters. Using MATLAB and ANSYS software, we obtained various material properties, such as bulk modulus, thermal conductivity, and fluid permeability of the woven materials, through a parametric batch analysis. We then used this large dataset of material properties to perform a regression analysis to validate the relationship between design variables and material properties, as well as the accuracy of numerical analysis. Furthermore, we constructed an artificial neural network capable of predicting the material properties of 3D woven materials on the basis of the obtained material database. The trained network can accurately estimate the material properties of the woven materials with arbitrary design parameters, without the need for numerical analyses.

Estimation of Structural Deformed Shapes Using Limited Number of Displacement Measurements (한정된 계측 변위를 이용한 구조물 변형 형상 추정)

  • Choi, Junho;Kim, Seungjun;Han, Seungryong;Kang, Youngjong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.1295-1302
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    • 2013
  • The structural deformed shape is important information to structural analysis. If the sufficient measuring points are secured at the structural monitoring system, reasonable and accurate structural deformation shapes can be obtained and structural analysis is possible using this deformation. However, the accurate estimation of the global structural shapes might be difficult if sufficient measuring points are not secure under cost limitations. In this study, SFSM-LS algorithm, the economic and effective estimation method for the structural deformation shapes with limited displacement measuring points is developed and suggested. In the suggested method, the global structural deformation shape is determined by the superposition of the pre-investigated structural deformed shapes obtained by preliminary FE analyses, with their optimum weight factors which lead minimization of the estimate errors. 2-span continuous bridge model is used to verify developed algorithm and parametric studies are performed. By the parametric studies, the characteristics of the estimation results obtained by the suggested method were investigated considering essential parameters such as pre-investigated structural shapes, locations and numbers of displacement measuring points. By quantitative comparison of estimation results with the conventional methods such as polynomial, Lagrange and spline interpolation, the applicability and accuracy of the suggested method was validated.

Modeling of Stochastic Process Noises for Kinematic GPS Positioning (GPS 이동측위를 위한 프로세스 잡음 모델링)

  • Chang-Ki, Hong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.123-129
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    • 2015
  • The Kalman filter has been widely used in the kinematic GPS positioning due to its flexibility and efficiency in computational points of view. At the same time, the relative positioning technique also provided the high precision positioning results by removing the systematic errors in the measurements significantly. However, the positioning quality may be degraded following to longer in baseline length. For this case, it is required that the remaining atmospheric effects, such as double-difference ionospheric delay and zenith wet delay, should be properly modeled by examining the characteristics of the stochastic processes. In general, atmospheric effects are estimated with the assumption of random walk, or the first-order Gauss-Markov stochastic process, which requires the precise modeling on the corresponding process noises. Therefore, we determined and provided the parameters for modelling the process noises for atmospheric effects. The auto-correlation functions are empirically determined at first, and then the parameters are extracted from the empirical auto-correlation function. In fact, the test results can be either applied directly, or used as guidance values for the modeling of process noises in the kinematic GPS positioning.

Dynamic Traffic Assignment Using Genetic Algorithm (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 동적통행배정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Kyung-Chul;Park, Chang-Ho;Chon, Kyung-Soo;Rhee, Sung-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.8 no.1 s.15
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    • pp.51-63
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    • 2000
  • Dynamic traffic assignment(DTA) has been a topic of substantial research during the past decade. While DTA is gradually maturing, many aspects of DTA still need improvement, especially regarding its formulation and solution algerian Recently, with its promise for In(Intelligent Transportation System) and GIS(Geographic Information System) applications, DTA have received increasing attention. This potential also implies higher requirement for DTA modeling, especially regarding its solution efficiency for real-time implementation. But DTA have many mathematical difficulties in searching process due to the complexity of spatial and temporal variables. Although many solution algorithms have been studied, conventional methods cannot iud the solution in case that objective function or constraints is not convex. In this paper, the genetic algorithm to find the solution of DTA is applied and the Merchant-Nemhauser model is used as DTA model because it has a nonconvex constraint set. To handle the nonconvex constraint set the GENOCOP III system which is a kind of the genetic algorithm is used in this study. Results for the sample network have been compared with the results of conventional method.

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A Time Domain Modal Parameter Estimation Method for Multiple Input-Output Systems (시간영역에서의 다중 입력-출력시스템의 모드매개변수 추정방법)

  • 이건명
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.18 no.8
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    • pp.1997-2004
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    • 1994
  • A model analysis method has been developed in the paper. The method estimates the modal parameters of multiple input-output systems, assesses their quality, and seperates structural modes form computation ones. The modal parameter extraction algorithm is the least squares method with a finite difference model relating input and output time data. The quality of the estimated system model can be assessed in narrow frequency bands by comparing the measured and model predicted responses in time domain with the aid of digital filters. Structural modes can be effectively separated from computational ones using the convergence factor which represents the pole convergence rate. The modal analysis method has been applied to simulated and experimental vibration data to evaluate its utility and limitations.