• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.381-388
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• 2018

This study proposes marine traffic volume estimation method considering ship speed, a factor excluded from the existing method. Ten days of GICOMS marine traffic data from Pyeongtaek and Dangjin ports was applied to this study. As a result, converted traffic volume with the proposed estimation method showed an increase of 4.41 (${\pm}0.99$) times or decrease of 0.59 (${\pm}0.04$) at most, compared with the existing estimation method. Average marine traffic congestion for each time applying the proposed estimation method showed an increase of 1.43 (${\pm}0.10$) compared with the existing estimation method. The maximum marine traffic congestion for each time was 1.62 (${\pm}0.34$) times higher compared with the existing estimation method. Marine traffic peak time, defined as the highest point of marine traffic congestion, was evaluated to be different from that of the existing method because of distribution of vessel speed. In conclusion, considering ship speed is necessary when estimating marine traffic volume to produce a practical estimate of marine traffic capacity.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2013.06a
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• pp.249-251
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• 2013

해상교통안전에 영향을 미치는 여러 가지 해상 개발사업으로 인하여 발생할 수 있는 항해안전의 위험요인을 전문적으로 측정하고 평가하는 것으로 '해상교통안전진단제도'가 있다. 이제도의 주요 평가항목에는 해상교통 현황조사, 해상교통 현황측정, 해상 교통시스템 적정성 평가 및 해상교통 안전대책이 있다. 특히 해상교통 현황측정의 세부 항목 중에는 진단 대상 항만 또는 항로가 추정된 미래의 해상교통량을 수용할 수 있는지를 평가하고 필요 시 관련 해역의 교통 흐름을 조정할 목적으로 수행하는 해상교통혼잡도 평가 있다. 이 연구는 현재 교통혼잡도 평가를 위한 미래 해상교통량 추정기법의 문제점의 현황과 이를 개선하여 신뢰도 있는 교통량 예측이 가능한 통계기법을 개발하고자 하는 것이다.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.25 no.5
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• pp.527-534
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• 2019

Several types of mathematical analysis methods are used for port waterway risk assessment based on marine traffic volume. In Korea, a marine traffic congestion model that standardizes the size of the vessels passing through the port waterway is applied to evaluate the risk of the waterway. For example, when marine traffic congestion is high, risk situations such as collisions are likely to occur. However, a scientific review is required to determine if there is a correlation between high density of maritime traffic and a high risk of waterway incidents. In this study, IWRAP Mk2(IALA official recommendation evaluation model) and a marine traffic congestion model were used to analyze the correlation between port waterway risk and marine traffic congestion in the same area. As a result, the linear function of R2 was calculated as 0.943 and it was determined to be significant. The Pearson correlation coefficient was calculated as 0.971, indicating a strong positive correlation. It was confirmed that the port waterway risk and the marine traffic congestion have a strong correlation due to the influence of the common input variables of each model. It is expected that these results will be used in the development of advanced models for the prediction of port waterway risk assessment.

• Journal of Korea Ship Safrty Technology Authority
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• s.32
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• pp.72-83
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• 2012

중대한 해양사고를 예방하고 잠재적인 해양사고의 원인을 제거하기 위하여 해상교통안전진단 제도가 "해상교통안전법" 개정('09. 5. 27)을 통해 정식 제도화되었다. 법 시행 이후 수행된 연구 중 하나인 '해상안전진단제도의 기술기준 및 고도화 연구'에서는 관련 평가 중 하나인 해상 교통혼잡도 평가에 사용되는 환산교통량 및 표준선이 현재 선박의 대형화 및 고속화 추세를 반영하고 있지 못함을 제시, 개선의 필요성을 말하였다. 이에 먼저 관련한 일본의 이론과 국내 진단대행업자의 평가 이론 현황을 파악 분석한 바, 이론 및 진단대행업자 별로 분석요소들을 다르게 사용하고 있어 표준화의 필요성을 발견하였고 또한 2010년 선박 입출항 통계를 이용한 선박현황을 분석한바 이론에서 사용하는 표준선과는 상당이 차이가 있음이 나타났다. 이후 관련 개선을 위한 기술기준(안)을 제안하여 전문가들의 의견 수렴과 이를 분석한 결과, 비록 소수의 상반된 의견이 있었지만, 표준선 변경에 따른 환산교통량 변화가 해상교통혼잡도에 미치는 영향은 그리 크지 않음을 알 수 있었다. 마지막으로 평가관련 개선을 위한 최종 기술기준(안) 및 앞으로 발전방향을 제시하여 해상교통 혼잡도 평가 발전을 위한 연구기반을 마련하고자 하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.483-490
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• 2013

In this study, we analyzed AIS measured data for ten days by selecting the four main ports with many ships arriving in the national ports. The peak time congestion of the main ports, calculated by survey research, was about 3.8-5.7 times higher than the hourly average congestion. This is very different from the results of the advanced research, evaluating the marine traffic congestion of the Ulsan main port based on the existing Port-MIS statistical data, which showed a peak time congestion of about 1.7 times higher than the hourly average. This identifies the problem of distorting the traffic characteristics of the current passage. Therefore, in order to evaluate marine traffic congestion, it would be more appropriate to calculate it based on survey research, rather than Port-MIS statistical data.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.47-55
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• 1998

In this paper, authors try to assess the marine traffic environment from the viewpoint of the degree of congestion. First, the marine traffic flow simulation is carried out to get the information related to the assessment. The simulation is performed based on the wide investigation of marine traffic environment and some statistical methods. Then the degree of congestion is reasoned by using the reasoning methods of the degree of collision risk made to develop collision avoidance system. The quantified degree of congestion reasoned by this method provides much information needed to the design and the evaluation of marine traffic environment.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.23 no.2
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• pp.153-160
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• 2017

It may be reasonable to consider density per unit area over time rather than analyze traffic volume, which is simply the traffic volume per unit of time, in assessing the maritime traffic congestion of a certain area. This study contributes to the standardization of maritime traffic congestion assessment methods for the maritime traffic safety diagnosis institute while seeking a new method to minimize evaluation error due to converted traffic volume per ship tonnage level. To solve this problem, a method to evaluate maritime traffic congestion by comparing the area occupied by a vessel with the area of its route using vessel identification data from the Automatic Identification System (AIS) has been proposed. In this new model, it is possible to use actual data due to the development of information and communication technology, reducing conversion error while allowing for the evaluation of maritime traffic congestion by route.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.23 no.1
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• pp.1-8
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• 2017

In this study, a congestion assessment was conducted to verify seasonal differences in congestion for major coastal traffic routes and fairways in major ports with GICOMS Data for 7 days without issuing a special weather report. As a result, a maximum of 11 % and 82 % are shown, with an average of 3.5 % and a 30 % seasonal difference for hourly average congestion and peak time congestion. Therefore, seasonal differences for the target area should be taken into consideration to perform further congestion assessments, particularly for maritime traffic safety assessments, and keen attention should be given to setting up safety measures against congestion.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• v.2
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• pp.5-7
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• 2006

항행하는 선박은 자기선박 주변을 하나의 영역으로 생각하여 그 영역안에 타선박의 허가하지 않는 자기만의 영역을 가지고 있다. 지금까지 우리나라에서는 선박간의 항과거리를 일본의 자료를 이용하여 해상교통 환경평가의 하나인 해상교통혼잡도를 평가하고 있다. 이 일본의 자료는 30년전의 자료이며 선박의 고속화${\cdot}$대형화로 인하여 선박간 항과거리는 선박의 통항형태, 항로의 종류, 선박의 크기에 따라 상이할 것으로 사료된다. 하지만, 상기의 모든 요소를 다 가미하여 일반화한 연구는 찾아보기 힘들며 상당한 자료를 이용하여야 하므로 분석하는데 시간이 많이 걸릴 것으로 판단된다. 이 연구에서는 해상교통량이 대단히 높은 중국 상해항을 입출항하는 선박간의 항행거리를 기초로 선박간의 최소 항과거리를 모델화함으로써 우리나라 실정에 맞는 해상교통혼잡도 평가에 이용하고자 하며, 선박운항자들의 항행에 최소 항과거리를 제공함으로써 안전항행에 도움을 주고자 한다.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.18 no.5
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• pp.416-422
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• 2012

To prevent serious maritime accident and eliminate the cause of the potential maritime accidents, Maritime Safety Audit Scheme was formally institutionalized through amendment of Maritime Traffic Safety Act(May 27, '09). At the initial step of the enforcement of the law, it has risen the necessity of amending the present institution concerning with the range of applicable business, method of practice, detailed technical standards in the assessment articles, etc. Among them, the assessment of marine traffic congestion has been practiced as a mandatory assessment article, but it is analyzed that the assessment doesn't reflect current variation of ships' size and its speed. By analyzing the status of assessments on marine traffic congestion so far and collecting experts' opinion, this paper suggests draft amendments to improve technical standards on the assessment of marine traffic congestion.