한국융합학회논문지 (Journal of the Korea Convergence Society)

  • 제9권7호
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  • Pages.33-40
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  • 2018
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  • 2233-4890(pISSN)
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  • 2713-6353(eISSN)
한국융합학회 (Korea Convergence Society)
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에너지-지능정보기술 융합에 따른 미래 에너지 서비스 산업 예측 연구

Backcasting of Future Energy Service Industry based on Energy-A ICBM technology Convergence

  • 이정우 (한국과학기술원 문술미래전략대학원) ;
  • 양재석 (한국과학기술원 문술미래전략대학원)
  • 투고 : 2018.05.08
  • 심사 : 2018.07.20
  • 발행 : 2018.07.28
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초록

지능정보기술과 에너지기술의 융합은 단순히 기술 자체 뿐 아니라 사회, 제도, 조직 전반의 변화를 수반하기 때문에 수많은 이해관계자들에게 영향을 미친다. 따라서 자원개발과 발전, 석유화학 중심의 전통 에너지 산업에 대한 경로 의존성에서 벗어나 새로운 산업을 창출하기 위해서는 미래에 도달하고자하는 선호 미래를 먼저 그리고 이를 실현하기 위한 전략을 고민하는, 백캐스팅(Backcasting) 관점의 접근이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 백캐스팅 관점에서 지능정보기술이 가져올 미래 에너지 산업의 변화 양상을 살펴보고 국가 관점에서의 에너지 정책 목표 달성, 그리고 각 이해관계자들의 이익을 동시에 만족시킬 수 있는 미래 에너지 서비스 모델을 도출하였다. 이후, 미래 에너지 서비스가 실현되기 위한 기술적 선결 조건을 분석하고, 세부적인 구성 기술과 현재 시점에서 중점 R&D가 필요한 분야를 제시하였다.

The convergence of intelligent information technology and energy technology affects many stakeholders because it involves not only technology itself but also social, institutional and organizational changes. Therefore, it is necessary to develop a back-casting approach to create a new industry that deviates from the path dependence on the traditional energy industry. This study examines the changes in the future energy industry that intelligence information technology will bring, and then we derived the future energy service model that can satisfy the energy policy goals from the national perspective and the interests of each stakeholder at the same time. After that, we analyzed the technical prerequisites for the realization of future energy services and presented the specific configuration technology and the areas that require R&D investment at present.

키워드

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