Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety (해양환경안전학회지)

The Korean Society of Marine Environment and safety (해양환경안전학회)
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Spatiotemporal Analysis of Ship Floating Object Accidents

선박 부유물 감김사고의 시·공간적 분석

  • Yoo, Sang-Lok (Department of Computer Science, Chungbuk National University) ;
  • Kim, Deug-Bong (Mokpo National Maritime University) ;
  • Jang, Da-Un (Graduate School of Mokpo National Maritime University)
  • Received : 2021.01.26
  • Accepted : 2021.12.28
  • Published : 2021.12.31
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Abstract

Ship-floating object accidents can lead not only to a delay in ship's operations, but also to large scale casualties. Hence, preventive measures are required to avoid them. This study analyzed the spatiotemporal aspects of such collisions based on the data on ship-floating object accidents in sea areas in the last five years, including the collisions in South Korea's territorial seas and exclusive economic zones. We also provide basic data for related research fields. To understand the distribution of the relative density of accidents involving floating objects, the sea area under analysis was visualized as a grid and a two-dimensional histogram was generated. A multinomial logistic regression model was used to analyze the effect of variables such as time of day and season on the collisions. The spatial analysis revealed that the collision density was highest for the areas extending from Geoje Island to Tongyeong, including Jinhae Bay, and that it was high near Jeongok Port in the West Sea and the northern part of Jeju Island. The temporal analysis revealed that the collisions occurred most frequently during the day (71.4%) and in autumn. Furthermore, the likelihood of collision with floating objects was much higher for professional fishing vessels, leisure vessels, and recreational fishing vessels than for cargo vessels during the day and in autumn. The results of this analysis can be used as primary data for the arrangement of Coast Guard vessels, rigid enforcement of regulations, removal of floating objects, and preparation of countermeasures involving preliminary removal of floating objects to prevent accidents by time and season.

선박의 해양사고 중 부유물 감김사고는 운항지연에 그치지 않고 대형 인명 피해사고까지 이어질 수 있어 이에 대한 예방책이 요구되고 있다. 이에 본 연구는 영해와 베타적경제수역 등을 포함한 해역의 최근 5년간 선박의 부유물 감김사고 데이터를 시·공간적 측면에서 분석하고, 관련 연구 분야에 기초 자료를 제공하고자 한다. 부유물 감김사고의 상대적 밀도 분포를 시각화하기 위하여 이차원 평활 히스토그램을 적용하였으며, 시간대, 주·야간, 계절에 따른 각 변수가 감김사고에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위해 다항 로지스틱 회귀모형을 적용하였다. 공간적 분석결과 전체 사고에 대해 평활화된 밀도 값이 높은 곳은 진해만을 포함한 거제도~통영 해상이었으며, 서해 전곡항 인근 해상, 제주도 북부 해상으로 나타났다. 시간적 분석결과 부유물 감김사고는 주간에 71.4%로 가장 많이 발생하였으며, 계절별로는 가을철이 다른 계절에 비해 가장 많이 발생한 것으로 분석되었다. 또한, 어선, 수상레저기구, 낚시어선의 감김사고 발생 가능성이 화물선 보다 높은 것으로 조사되었다. 본 연구의 시·공간적 분석결과는 향후 부유물에 대한 단속강화 및 제거를 위한 해양경찰함정 배치와 시간별·계절별 사고방지를 위한 부유물 사전 제거작업 대책 마련의 기초자료로 활용될 것으로 기대된다.

Keywords

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